Frosty-Driveway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved

113

Trades

257

lifetime

Volume

$1.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 08-31 03:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

97% 65% +$7

Politics

3% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	06-19 20:39
Will Adele be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$1	05-05 02:02
Critical Discord Incident by May 31?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$1	05-31 10:45
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$1	05-14 21:18
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	06-29 02:31
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	05-20 21:34
Will Derek Merrin be the Republican nominee for OH-09?	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	05-06 02:07
Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	05-27 05:19
First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	06-02 15:56
Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	2	$22	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	06-04 04:18
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	06-25 12:42
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 30?	3	$16	32	0	+32	No	+$0	05-29 09:51
highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 17c	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	04-23 08:30
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on May 4?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-04 02:13
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 3?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-03 05:21
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 5?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-04 19:51
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 14?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-14 15:49
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on April 30?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-29 15:21
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on June 1?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-31 18:57
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 2?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-01 16:02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 26?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-25 23:51
lowest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 28c	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-23 05:22
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on May 3?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-03 00:57
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 26?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-25 17:41
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 26?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-25 13:12
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 28?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-28 04:21
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 25?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-24 22:24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 5?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-05 02:43
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on June 6?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-05 22:44
highest temperature in ankara on april 21 2026 20c	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-20 18:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 03:10:51	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $90 in August?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3ac6c5…
08-02 06:16:18	Will Robert Lulgjuraj be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x05afc7…
06-29 17:46:04	Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x3634c2…
06-29 02:31:38	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x125396…
06-29 00:27:41	Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x8c1b69…
06-28 13:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x3d05ac…
06-28 12:50:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x0bf610…
06-28 12:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June 29?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd6993d…
06-28 02:00:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xbe91b0…
06-27 20:25:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 28?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x0ae172…
06-27 05:33:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc3e7dc…
06-27 05:30:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd857ba…
06-25 17:41:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x02b1f0…
06-25 16:53:55	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 26?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xfbc710…
06-25 12:42:46	Jimmy Lai released by June 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x198e8e…
06-24 22:24:10	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xb0bc99…
06-24 13:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x926171…
06-24 13:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x79acba…
06-24 12:32:44	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 25?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x39bf11…
06-23 14:58:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 24?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x55c376…
06-22 15:17:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x756e3e…
06-22 12:24:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 23?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x731f88…
06-21 13:50:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xecd5f5…
06-21 13:20:02	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd7b419…
06-21 13:08:13	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x077c8e…
06-20 17:27:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 21?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x7f2910…
06-19 20:39:17	Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x6513cc…
06-19 16:37:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xf1e941…
06-19 16:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x70a4c5…
06-19 16:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 20?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xb37bd9…
06-18 01:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xf0d457…
06-18 01:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 18?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xa1a162…
06-17 00:52:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x9ee308…
06-16 12:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 17?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9a28d4…
06-15 10:01:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 15?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x158110…
06-15 09:58:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 15?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x6d4481…
06-14 15:49:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x1b01f4…
06-14 06:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 14?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x72c05a…
06-13 08:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13?	No	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xc53a31…
06-13 08:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xda3055…
06-12 09:46:45	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xc5700d…
06-12 09:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on June 12?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x9f502d…
06-11 16:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x53a560…
06-11 14:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 12?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf9ffab…
06-10 16:33:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on June 11?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xdced0e…
06-10 16:28:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on June 11?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x7567e0…
06-10 16:19:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on June 11?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x9c4659…
06-10 16:14:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on June 11?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x0fe588…
06-10 15:43:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on June 11?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xcca701…
06-09 00:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x76068d…
06-09 00:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 9?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x6edd84…
06-08 09:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xbc3aec…
06-08 06:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 8?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x08bc71…
06-07 17:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x094ed9…
06-07 14:34:43	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 8?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x97fd7a…
06-07 05:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xda4e34…
06-07 04:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 7?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x8d4bde…
06-07 03:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x347d40…
06-06 12:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 7?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x59d826…
06-05 22:44:01	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x7f4909…
06-05 22:12:18	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x77cbcc…
06-05 12:05:25	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on June 6?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7e8d03…
06-04 19:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x7ff135…
06-04 12:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 5?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4f18b5…
06-04 04:18:25	Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x3dcbef…
06-03 05:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 3?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xa27d1c…
06-03 05:03:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x08df71…
06-02 15:56:59	First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x0f1f5b…
06-02 12:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xf82db8…
06-02 12:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 3?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xce2208…
06-02 07:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x70c58e…
06-02 01:37:41	Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x3c3d4c…
06-01 13:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6c2633…
06-01 06:18:36	First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x967d47…
05-31 18:57:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on June 1?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x886aa1…
05-31 12:08:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on June 1?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x28e8d0…
05-31 10:45:27	Critical Discord Incident by May 31?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x5c05c0…
05-31 06:03:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x022009…
05-31 00:45:17	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on May 31?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xc758d8…
05-30 22:41:57	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x411182…
05-30 22:41:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xf67d68…
05-30 12:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x526938…
05-30 00:03:23	Critical Discord Incident by May 31?	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x75a5a5…
05-29 09:51:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x98b986…
05-29 09:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xa7e0f4…
05-29 07:27:35	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 30?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xd6dc31…
05-28 17:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x538bcf…
05-28 16:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 29?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x35db1a…
05-28 15:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xc33b22…
05-28 12:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 29?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd7941c…
05-28 04:21:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x30fbb9…
05-27 15:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 28?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xd5aabc…
05-27 10:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x35d850…
05-27 10:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on May 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7c1b65…
05-27 05:19:02	Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xf0f3cd…
05-26 22:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x9ec30b…
05-26 22:49:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xc33417…
05-26 22:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa32831…
05-26 14:54:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x4f7903…
05-26 14:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe2167c…