Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$431

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.7%

Resolved

Trades

117

lifetime

Volume

$13.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$115

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-17 16:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

39% 57% -$241

Other

31% 80% +$147

Politics

29% 40% -$379

Sports

0% 100% +$42

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$2.0K	1,153	1,153	+0	No	+$274	04-30 09:33
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	2	$960	589	589	+0	No	+$88	01-31 13:34
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$859	614	614	+0	No	+$12	01-16 18:10
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	2	$832	443	443	+0	No	+$15	01-16 17:19
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	3	$731	402	402	+0	Yes	+$8	01-08 11:35
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	13	$613	128,190	128,207	-17	No	-$183	01-04 00:41
cilia flores released from custody by january 9 2026	2	$588	304	304	+0	No	+$4	01-03 21:52
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$524	759	0	+759	Yes	+$235	01-31 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$500	531	0	+531	Down	+$31	04-30 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$500	506	0	+506	Down	+$6	05-01 22:34
Will Trump say "Percent" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	3	$496	616	0	+616	Yes	-$496	05-01 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$445	500	0	+500	Down	+$55	05-01 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$400	435	0	+435	Down	+$35	05-01 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$400	408	0	+408	Up	+$8	05-01 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$300	715	0	+715	Down	-$300	05-01 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$300	309	0	+309	Up	+$9	05-01 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$300	305	0	+305	Down	+$5	04-30 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$267	411	0	+411	Up	+$144	05-01 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$200	210	0	+210	Up	+$10	05-01 23:48
will xrp dip to 1 in june 2026	2	$199	161	161	+0	No	-$81	06-28 23:22
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	1	$175	177	0	+177	Yes	+$2	01-03 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$120	134	0	+134	Down	+$14	04-30 18:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 22:10 UTC	2	$110	153	0	+153	Down	+$20	04-22 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$107	197	0	+197	Down	+$90	05-01 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$105	162	0	+162	Down	-$105	05-01 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$105	110	0	+110	Down	+$5	04-30 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$100	333	0	+333	Down	-$100	05-01 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$100	188	0	+188	Down	-$100	04-30 17:19
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?	1	$100	139	0	+139	Yes	-$100	05-01 13:33
Will Trump say "Tax" 15+ times at The Villages on May 1?	1	$100	299	0	+299	Yes	-$100	05-01 13:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 16:14:31	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	102	59¢	$60	0xe24f21…
07-01 15:49:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0xf09885…
06-28 23:22:41	will xrp dip to 1 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	161	37¢	$59	0x00aa1a…
06-26 02:16:55	will xrp dip to 1 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	161	87¢	$140	0x5651f7…
05-01 23:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xc665d9…
05-01 23:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	210	95¢	$200	0xc776ba…
05-01 23:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	715	42¢	$300	0x2d509a…
05-01 22:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	500	89¢	$445	0x7a4475…
05-01 22:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	506	99¢	$500	0xcd97ab…
05-01 22:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	435	92¢	$400	0xe6f550…
05-01 22:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	408	98¢	$400	0x6d178c…
05-01 22:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	411	65¢	$267	0x11f0b6…
05-01 22:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0x5a8828…
05-01 22:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	73	65¢	$48	0x957d8d…
05-01 13:41:18	Will Trump say "Save America" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x88ac2e…
05-01 13:41:06	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0xa4c639…
05-01 13:40:16	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	787	1¢	$10	0xbedf4b…
05-01 13:37:56	Will Trump say "Percent" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	602	81¢	$485	0x6a8483…
05-01 13:36:40	Will Trump say "Percent" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x5a48fb…
05-01 13:36:34	Will Trump say "Percent" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x08c864…
05-01 13:33:48	Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xa8a770…
05-01 13:33:04	Will Trump say "Beautiful Bill" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x3552da…
05-01 13:32:10	Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xb8f633…
05-01 13:30:38	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x4af943…
05-01 13:27:58	Will Trump say "Tax" 15+ times at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	299	33¢	$100	0xf4828e…
05-01 12:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	162	65¢	$105	0x1d6e2b…
05-01 12:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	185	55¢	$101	0x6a40a1…
05-01 12:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xaa7e82…
05-01 12:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x94ae49…
05-01 12:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd6df77…
05-01 12:27:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x87acad…
05-01 12:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x07279a…
05-01 11:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x778321…
05-01 11:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xed54c4…
04-30 18:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x2fdb6c…
04-30 18:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	123	89¢	$110	0x2d8015…
04-30 18:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xadbab6…
04-30 18:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7e2cf7…
04-30 18:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa3189b…
04-30 18:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xfb943f…
04-30 18:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x1b2a4a…
04-30 18:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x04bbf9…
04-30 17:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0x853096…
04-30 17:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xcad956…
04-30 17:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0079a9…
04-30 17:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0x2d8559…
04-30 17:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x668626…
04-30 17:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2c8768…
04-30 16:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	531	94¢	$500	0x3ea1f6…
04-30 16:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	305	98¢	$300	0xa60152…
04-30 16:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x99720f…
04-30 16:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xd32f21…
04-30 16:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0x9b39eb…
04-30 16:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x512a65…
04-30 16:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	39	44¢	$17	0x40849f…
04-30 16:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x79a912…
04-30 16:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xa0e7a7…
04-30 16:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x85bb7e…
04-30 16:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0xbb87ae…
04-30 16:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xaa39fa…
04-30 16:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xcdd825…
04-30 16:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x20e7e8…
04-30 13:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x03e038…
04-30 13:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x702b09…
04-30 13:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x559bed…
04-30 11:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa551c8…
04-30 09:33:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1,153	100¢	$1,151	0x765a64…
04-22 22:38:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	124	94¢	$117	0x6098aa…
04-22 22:31:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc83067…
04-22 22:21:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3baf24…
04-22 22:16:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x8bedb5…
04-22 22:14:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x6bf17a…
04-22 22:14:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xfb5e85…
04-22 22:08:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x187566…
04-22 22:04:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xc97463…
04-22 22:02:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa0533a…
04-22 21:57:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x998552…
04-22 21:52:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xe2503d…
04-22 21:51:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xef5aad…
04-22 21:48:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x10f0e5…
04-22 21:44:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x1ddb06…
04-22 21:43:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc8bb71…
04-22 21:39:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	116	81¢	$94	0xad8c93…
04-22 21:35:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd2b897…
04-22 21:30:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd77fce…
04-22 21:22:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xb79a45…
04-20 10:17:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,028	74¢	$759	0xde6cea…
01-31 13:42:58	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	759	69¢	$524	0xf98c3d…
01-31 13:34:16	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	SELL	589	89¢	$524	0xd8d3a2…
01-19 20:53:42	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	BUY	589	74¢	$436	0x1a5dca…
01-16 18:10:04	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	SELL	614	71¢	$436	0xed0bc0…
01-16 17:32:36	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	614	69¢	$424	0x588a32…
01-16 17:19:50	will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	No	SELL	443	96¢	$424	0x1d3e41…
01-08 12:10:53	will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	No	BUY	443	92¢	$409	0xfbd09a…
01-08 11:35:33	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	402	92¢	$370	0xbeb209…
01-04 00:41:51	will eleven die in stranger things season 5	Yes	SELL	12,500	0¢	$12	0x6f8f7b…
01-04 00:16:01	will eleven die in stranger things season 5	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0x4dd97a…
01-04 00:10:45	will eleven die in stranger things season 5	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x1db7c7…
01-04 00:06:33	will eleven die in stranger things season 5	Yes	SELL	28,927	0¢	$29	0x6010b6…
01-03 22:45:19	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	393	90¢	$354	0x5d2087…