Square-Plum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$111

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.1%

Resolved

Trades

431

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 09-14 15:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

84% 66% +$30

Crypto

12% 61% -$69

Sports

2% 0% -$91

Politics

2% 100% +$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	14	$1.0K	860	900	-40	Yes	+$64	04-14 15:52
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	11	$1.0K	532	532	+0	No	+$19	03-19 20:01
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?	21	$842	658	658	+0	No	-$20	05-22 10:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	4	$836	692	192	+500	No	+$2	04-30 10:11
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	13	$826	578	578	+0	Yes	-$27	05-23 20:36
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	13	$684	700	700	+0	Yes	-$4	06-25 13:58
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in December?	8	$546	618	0	+618	Yes	+$72	05-29 14:15
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (HIGH) in December?	5	$475	503	0	+503	Yes	+$28	05-08 15:02
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	3	$429	3,580	2,045	+1,535	No	-$102	03-14 10:28
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	12	$356	250	250	+0	Yes	+$4	03-20 18:34
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	34	$303	3,451	492	+2,958	No	-$177	06-29 19:08
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	11	$298	400	400	+0	No	+$22	06-25 13:47
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	6	$267	307	0	+307	Yes	+$40	05-12 19:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?	1	$243	262	0	+262	Yes	+$18	03-27 09:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	3	$243	273	0	+273	Yes	+$30	04-14 07:20
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 2?	6	$212	203	203	+0	Yes	$0	06-02 07:13
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$175	200	200	+0	No	+$15	03-12 07:57
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	6	$170	400	400	+0	No	+$18	01-11 11:42
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	2	$170	100	100	+0	Yes	+$20	03-23 18:12
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	4	$160	200	200	+0	No	+$8	03-09 05:38
bitcoin above 84k on february 2	8	$158	160	0	+160	No	+$2	02-01 17:45
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 479 558	3	$156	100	100	+0	Yes	+$4	03-27 07:49
will croatia be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003086	2	$153	89	89	+0	No	-$1	06-14 09:12
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 2	8	$152	160	0	+160	No	+$8	02-01 17:45
bitcoin above 88k on february 7	1	$115	115	0	+115	No	+$0	02-04 21:22
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on february 7	1	$114	115	0	+115	No	+$1	02-04 21:23
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on february 7	1	$114	115	0	+115	No	+$1	02-04 21:22
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	6	$100	25,000	25,000	+0	No	-$50	05-25 21:49
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	87	$90	20,000	0	+20,000	No	-$90	07-01 17:52
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	3	$70	100	0	+100	Portugal	+$30	07-02 08:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 15:43:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14?	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x3d7b57…
07-02 08:20:13	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	63	70¢	$44	0x930fc6…
07-02 08:18:20	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0x339c4f…
07-02 08:17:28	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x6a8b9f…
07-01 17:52:50	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	341	0¢	$1	0x5c06e1…
07-01 17:52:17	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x494826…
07-01 17:51:43	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xeb2ad3…
07-01 17:51:34	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	407	0¢	$2	0x94e184…
07-01 17:51:32	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x87ac85…
07-01 17:51:32	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0x7f236d…
07-01 17:51:32	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	356	0¢	$1	0x348e7a…
07-01 17:49:02	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x676b3f…
07-01 17:49:01	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0xdec862…
07-01 17:49:01	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x32538a…
07-01 17:48:58	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	105	0¢	$0	0xf417aa…
07-01 17:48:58	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xf060c8…
07-01 17:48:56	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	105	0¢	$0	0x854264…
07-01 17:48:50	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x781382…
07-01 17:48:08	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	297	0¢	$1	0x94a36e…
07-01 17:46:59	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x43bf28…
07-01 17:46:59	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x214f1b…
07-01 17:44:47	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0xd2dc43…
07-01 17:44:47	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x5a7fd3…
07-01 17:44:20	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x4af716…
07-01 17:44:20	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x3a5855…
07-01 17:43:19	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	39	0¢	$0	0x2e1f36…
07-01 17:42:43	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x865e84…
07-01 17:41:52	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x553c58…
07-01 17:39:22	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	115	0¢	$0	0x535aaf…
07-01 17:39:20	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$1	0xc153fb…
07-01 17:39:13	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0x3f2f0d…
07-01 17:39:07	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x456ab5…
07-01 17:39:07	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x2fea5c…
07-01 17:39:05	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xaabb2c…
07-01 17:39:04	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x5d889b…
07-01 17:39:04	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x47790f…
07-01 17:39:02	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xfba6af…
07-01 17:39:01	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x26f4c1…
07-01 17:38:58	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xfe1825…
07-01 17:38:56	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xba88c8…
07-01 17:38:56	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	120	0¢	$0	0x457282…
07-01 17:38:55	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	780	0¢	$3	0x956e4e…
07-01 17:38:55	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0x791436…
07-01 17:38:46	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	161	0¢	$1	0xfa1783…
07-01 17:38:43	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	39	0¢	$0	0xbf207d…
07-01 17:38:31	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0xb9ace8…
07-01 17:38:29	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x0af15c…
07-01 17:38:28	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xc64ef2…
07-01 17:38:02	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0xbc06e7…
07-01 17:38:01	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0xc5a217…
07-01 17:38:01	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	114	0¢	$0	0xabfd12…
07-01 17:37:53	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xd68acf…
07-01 17:37:52	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	310	0¢	$1	0xcffdc8…
07-01 17:37:32	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	199	0¢	$1	0x72caf7…
07-01 17:37:31	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x6eeb00…
07-01 17:37:29	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x97f2d1…
07-01 17:37:29	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0x37c381…
07-01 17:37:29	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	74	0¢	$0	0x0f38c4…
07-01 17:37:25	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xffc614…
07-01 17:37:25	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xb58e06…
07-01 17:37:25	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x7baedf…
07-01 17:37:25	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x349328…
07-01 17:37:23	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x98c574…
07-01 17:37:23	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	76	0¢	$0	0x31dcf7…
07-01 17:37:22	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xbd1e6c…
07-01 17:37:22	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x8609dc…
07-01 17:37:22	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	122	0¢	$0	0x78b1d8…
07-01 17:37:20	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xe002c1…
07-01 17:37:20	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x7eef71…
07-01 17:37:19	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x456fc0…
07-01 17:37:19	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x209c10…
07-01 17:37:17	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xc44362…
07-01 17:37:17	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x242d98…
07-01 17:36:49	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x965eb9…
07-01 17:36:47	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xe5f6fd…
07-01 17:36:47	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xce9c33…
07-01 17:36:47	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	430	0¢	$2	0xcd64a7…
07-01 17:36:47	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xbe90cc…
07-01 17:32:37	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	232	0¢	$1	0xff0000…
07-01 17:32:35	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xa54a9a…
06-29 19:08:17	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	63	0¢	$0	0x1cd47e…
06-29 19:08:14	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	133	0¢	$0	0xfd6ac2…
06-29 19:08:14	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xa85cd8…
06-29 19:08:14	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x5b98c9…
06-29 19:08:14	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x20a845…
06-29 19:08:14	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	133	0¢	$0	0x066dd5…
06-29 19:06:53	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xca66e1…
06-29 19:06:53	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x9e32a9…
06-29 18:24:52	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	310	0¢	$0	0xefd0db…
06-25 13:58:17	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x16ddcc…
06-25 13:57:32	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0x4212f0…
06-25 13:57:22	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	133	45¢	$60	0xce0a24…
06-25 13:47:23	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	SELL	200	37¢	$74	0xc96a74…
06-25 07:33:08	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	131	40¢	$52	0x6cafde…
06-25 07:11:56	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x358393…
06-25 06:39:28	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x01e052…
06-25 06:32:56	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x8a1524…
06-25 05:02:37	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x711b98…
06-25 04:59:59	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2a0a42…
06-25 04:05:34	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x08d463…