Ambitious-Archives — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.2%

Resolved

157

Trades

431

lifetime

Volume

$621

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 06-08 18:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 80% +$3

Politics

3% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	10	$19	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-18 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	12	$16	10	9	+1	Up	+$0	05-21 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	9	$15	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	05-19 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	5	$11	7	7	+0	Up	$-1	05-20 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	4	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-19 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	7	$11	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	05-18 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	4	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-19 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	6	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-17 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	5	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-19 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	6	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-19 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	6	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-19 17:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	4	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-20 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	5	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-19 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	7	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-19 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	4	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-21 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	4	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-20 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	4	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-19 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	6	$8	8	3	+4	Down	$-2	05-18 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$7	5	2	+3	Up	+$0	05-20 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	6	$7	9	0	+9	Down	+$2	05-21 16:39
btc updown 5m 1780942200	4	$7	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	06-08 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	4	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-20 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	4	$7	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-19 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	4	$7	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-20 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	4	$6	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-17 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	4	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-21 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	5	$6	7	3	+3	Down	$-0	05-16 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	4	$6	5	2	+3	Down	+$1	05-21 10:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-31 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	4	$6	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-20 17:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 18:15:01	btc updown 5m 1780942200	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x7a80b6…
06-08 18:14:13	btc updown 5m 1780942200	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7ec70d…
06-08 18:12:49	btc updown 5m 1780942200	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc5ce88…
06-08 18:12:49	btc updown 5m 1780942200	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x21b221…
06-01 07:44:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x15ef63…
05-31 20:49:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x90dceb…
05-29 05:43:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x4a3d3c…
05-29 05:43:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x2d93f2…
05-22 04:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xafc821…
05-21 20:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xbd7298…
05-21 20:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa93a18…
05-21 20:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc3353d…
05-21 20:42:26	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x4bf322…
05-21 20:39:50	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xcb503e…
05-21 20:33:57	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x30a4a9…
05-21 20:32:43	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1d5fc9…
05-21 20:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x1a3555…
05-21 20:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa7e01a…
05-21 20:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4aef00…
05-21 18:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x400c74…
05-21 18:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x042508…
05-21 18:16:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe6f8ca…
05-21 18:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x39b6a0…
05-21 18:14:35	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x5f07de…
05-21 18:14:18	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xafc3b1…
05-21 18:14:07	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xda0b19…
05-21 18:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x6fb09e…
05-21 18:13:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xb9a80f…
05-21 18:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf0e0e8…
05-21 18:12:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5e3082…
05-21 18:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xdabe2b…
05-21 18:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6df1b1…
05-21 18:10:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x20ff25…
05-21 18:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xfe46d5…
05-21 18:09:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x071ada…
05-21 18:08:49	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xce1089…
05-21 18:07:44	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2b0c59…
05-21 18:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xbba5b5…
05-21 18:05:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x5a2eb5…
05-21 18:04:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9360ac…
05-21 18:04:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x2648da…
05-21 18:03:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb5f932…
05-21 18:03:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x9de255…
05-21 18:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x941505…
05-21 18:02:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc46fa9…
05-21 18:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc27fe7…
05-21 18:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xbc9221…
05-21 18:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf1fd90…
05-21 17:55:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2e388b…
05-21 17:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xd5818f…
05-21 17:55:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x73ba75…
05-21 17:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xff56dc…
05-21 17:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x43e007…
05-21 17:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfae25d…
05-21 17:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa2c717…
05-21 17:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x368674…
05-21 17:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb698b2…
05-21 17:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$3	0x4d276d…
05-21 17:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x4e62ed…
05-21 17:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf4bb0e…
05-21 17:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9795e9…
05-21 17:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb96636…
05-21 17:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd21b4b…
05-21 17:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbf7e2e…
05-21 17:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4b639d…
05-21 17:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5b259b…
05-21 17:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0cfc4c…
05-21 17:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xfa0d22…
05-21 17:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe5ebda…
05-21 17:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x475a28…
05-21 17:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4f346d…
05-21 17:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x94350e…
05-21 17:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x370bfe…
05-21 17:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x64f512…
05-21 17:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0x189d39…
05-21 17:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x664597…
05-21 17:05:01	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe83ad2…
05-21 17:05:00	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa0ba40…
05-21 17:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x79aa1d…
05-21 17:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0d85e3…
05-21 17:03:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9eb87a…
05-21 17:03:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x3342d4…
05-21 17:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd03f61…
05-21 17:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xcb3a1f…
05-21 16:49:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xea4754…
05-21 16:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbc1345…
05-21 16:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7d8dd7…
05-21 16:49:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xaf1829…
05-21 16:49:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0d182d…
05-21 16:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x309b2b…
05-21 16:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa55518…
05-21 16:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x376514…
05-21 16:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe4ba23…
05-21 16:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb291ea…
05-21 16:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x6ad13e…
05-21 16:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x76c41d…
05-21 16:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7f5cdc…
05-21 16:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x357c43…
05-21 16:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x666c8e…
05-21 16:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x295672…