Realized P&L
-$589
Unrealized P&L
+$29
Hit rate
80.1%
Resolved
474
Trades
643
lifetime
Volume
$23.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$665
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 00:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 136 days
Categories
Crypto
65% 81% +$9
Other
29% 35% -$539
Politics
5% 33% -$12
Sports
0% 0% -$48
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +185 $172 94¢ $173 +$1 10-29 00:42
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +214 $148 78¢ $168 +$20 10-27 20:24
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +174 $152 92¢ $160 +$8 10-27 20:23
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +134 $110 82¢ $110 +$0 10-25 19:08
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +52 $34 72¢ $37 +$3 10-27 00:02
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +56 $21 30¢ $17 -$4 10-27 17:44