Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$418

Unrealized P&L

-$20

Hit rate

74.8%

Resolved

103

Trades

296

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

$380

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-26 13:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 52% -$675

Politics

18% 100% +$164

Tech

1% 100% +$52

Other

1% 100% +$41

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes		+508	$300	65¢	$331	+$31	10-23 04:31
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+179	$100	28¢	$49	-$51	10-23 04:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel strike iraq by january 31	1	$936	1,047	0	+1,047	No	+$111	01-09 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	11	$734	2,337	1,039	+1,298	Down	+$4	10-25 07:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	7	$662	546	446	+100	Up	+$52	10-24 20:38
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$617	612	612	+0	open	—	10-25 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	3	$514	450	450	+0	Down	+$304	10-25 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	5	$388	592	342	+250	Down	+$158	10-25 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	5	$369	469	244	+225	Up	-$51	10-25 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	5	$360	717	717	+0	Down	+$60	10-25 07:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$356	278	278	+0	Up	+$156	10-24 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	5	$340	243	243	+0	Down	+$140	10-23 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	5	$307	423	262	+161	Up	+$7	10-25 06:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	1	$300	508	0	+508	open	—	10-23 04:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	6	$297	752	252	+500	Down	+$27	10-25 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	3	$279	193	193	+0	Up	+$69	10-23 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	10	$278	198	198	+0	Up	+$8	10-24 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	5	$261	148	148	+0	Down	+$31	10-23 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$253	213	213	+0	Up	+$53	10-25 06:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	4	$240	133	133	+0	Up	+$20	10-25 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$223	145	145	+0	Up	+$23	10-24 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$209	112	112	+0	Up	+$9	10-23 13:22
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$150	313	0	+313	No	+$11	01-15 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	10	$145	563	0	+563	Up	-$145	10-25 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	9	$140	668	0	+668	Down	-$140	10-25 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	7	$129	631	131	+500	Down	+$39	10-25 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	6	$125	427	0	+427	Down	-$125	10-25 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$125	168	0	+168	Up	-$125	10-23 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	6	$125	1,058	0	+1,058	Up	-$125	10-25 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	6	$125	1,336	0	+1,336	Down	-$125	10-25 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	5	$120	363	0	+363	Up	-$120	10-24 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	4	$115	539	0	+539	Up	-$115	10-25 07:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 13:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xd3f54a…
10-26 13:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xa51b14…
10-26 13:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x3c2649…
10-26 13:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xa4d6b4…
10-26 13:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xc4e21c…
10-26 13:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xaa78a2…
10-26 13:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xd2d727…
10-26 10:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xaab8d8…
10-26 09:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	31	96¢	$30	0x644b2b…
10-26 09:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x55e2c7…
10-26 09:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	32	94¢	$30	0x2c1fd5…
10-26 09:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x7e2175…
10-26 08:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	49	67¢	$33	0xe0b397…
10-26 08:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xbc49b9…
10-26 08:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x9db5c5…
10-26 08:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x41b0d4…
10-26 08:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x81eae8…
10-26 08:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x85a4f8…
10-26 08:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe812ef…
10-26 08:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xefbe82…
10-26 08:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x265a20…
10-26 08:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xeabf73…
10-26 08:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x30ca6e…
10-26 08:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x104b77…
10-26 08:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe64739…
10-26 08:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0x4d7085…
10-26 08:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x76b82e…
10-26 05:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xe3beca…
10-26 05:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x47bb77…
10-25 18:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xafc822…
10-25 18:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	25	30¢	$7	0xc9ecae…
10-25 18:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xd65416…
10-25 17:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	12	75¢	$9	0x4e8f3c…
10-25 17:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xbc0188…
10-25 17:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x6cae82…
10-25 17:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x056644…
10-25 17:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	36	71¢	$25	0xd09334…
10-25 17:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xa5c77d…
10-25 17:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x82bdaa…
10-25 17:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x5c98b8…
10-25 17:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8c3457…
10-25 17:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xad1ad2…
10-25 17:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x618870…
10-25 16:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x160925…
10-25 16:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb0bf79…
10-25 16:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xc8306e…
10-25 16:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x8e27d0…
10-25 16:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0x437b7c…
10-25 11:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xe54bc5…
10-25 11:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x50f9ea…
10-25 11:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xcb6eeb…
10-25 11:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xfa24a5…
10-25 11:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd85153…
10-25 11:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x4945a1…
10-25 11:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x7ce70c…
10-25 11:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5d025c…
10-25 11:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x6a95b7…
10-25 11:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x7a80cb…
10-25 11:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x8dd193…
10-25 11:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x2a66a8…
10-25 11:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x58d411…
10-25 11:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xd150c2…
10-25 11:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x0e07f5…
10-25 10:20:59	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	612	52¢	$317	0x41e1b8…
10-25 10:20:50	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	250	14¢	$35	0x307bf7…
10-25 09:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x569051…
10-25 09:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xbe4fd8…
10-25 09:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	88	6¢	$5	0x4f7a0a…
10-25 09:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xe9bd6b…
10-25 09:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x45180b…
10-25 09:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xb5b0d0…
10-25 09:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x80d8f3…
10-25 09:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x11bc88…
10-25 09:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xd23c71…
10-25 09:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0xe34cc9…
10-25 09:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xe2bc96…
10-25 09:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x091a5d…
10-25 09:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x97c1b5…
10-25 09:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x4a1078…
10-25 09:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x319381…
10-25 09:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x428220…
10-25 09:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x4159b6…
10-25 09:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x2c4c8d…
10-25 09:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x95d33c…
10-25 09:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	30	37¢	$11	0x2a35a0…
10-25 09:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x36481f…
10-25 09:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x08cf11…
10-25 09:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	222	68¢	$151	0xcb6bb6…
10-25 09:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x5b6dc6…
10-25 09:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0x530ce5…
10-25 09:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x2c65df…
10-25 09:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x512412…
10-25 09:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x4f7b0d…
10-25 09:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xdfdadc…
10-25 09:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x36489e…
10-25 09:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	364	28¢	$100	0x377b23…
10-25 09:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x10f608…
10-25 09:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xd93643…
10-25 09:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xebab3d…
10-25 09:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	126	63¢	$79	0x12e4d1…