Memorable-Observation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

2,055

Trades

2,124

lifetime

Volume

$20.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 11-08 04:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 223 days

Categories

Other

81% 98% -$3

Sports

15% 100% +$3

Crypto

3% 98% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 04:25:46	Rockets vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6e8c2…
11-07 17:13:40	Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Jurij Rodionov	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x4a4bf5…
11-07 16:38:45	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e2c81…
11-07 16:03:30	Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0487d2…
11-06 20:34:52	Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe75234…
11-05 06:26:28	Heat vs. Clippers	Heat	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0f9d6b…
11-01 02:37:49	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x19123b…
11-01 01:38:54	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6cfa4f…
11-01 01:09:45	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d5fe4…
11-01 00:43:15	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb815a4…
11-01 00:05:43	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dakota Hope	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x257812…
10-31 23:20:33	Florida vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x291383…
10-31 16:00:15	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbec4a2…
10-30 22:23:21	Queretaro: Tatjana Maria vs Valeriya Strakhova	Tatjana Maria	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x87c217…
10-30 16:48:00	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x65789a…
10-29 15:14:20	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb5ce5b…
10-27 13:12:08	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc1e550…
10-25 09:30:59	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01dcb6…
10-24 20:04:00	LSU vs. Auburn	LSU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0658f2…
10-24 19:01:00	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x32a9c8…
10-24 14:15:03	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x76d911…
10-24 13:22:44	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x812534…
10-24 13:22:12	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x00fa7b…
10-24 12:44:54	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ea222…
10-23 16:52:27	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe18fd1…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x036393…
10-22 20:12:26	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb1be4f…
10-21 21:00:51	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f91d8…
10-21 17:04:05	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xde839b…
10-20 18:47:41	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc61fc0…
10-20 18:36:03	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc4a0e2…
10-19 18:51:57	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa61555…
10-18 03:35:38	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa0cb76…
10-15 20:32:41	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x738c3f…
10-15 19:37:41	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc464dc…
10-14 20:56:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9fb5b5…
10-14 13:12:35	wta krueger tararud 2026 10 14	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd13b39…
10-14 11:41:28	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf83b3a…
10-13 20:58:54	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa9b287…
10-13 14:15:22	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x270fba…
10-13 01:33:57	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd6baed…
10-12 09:05:07	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0eb8e3…
10-11 10:49:53	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa55e60…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf4d2e…
10-10 11:08:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f01da…
10-09 02:09:59	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbcd921…
10-07 06:30:54	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfc3310…
10-06 20:46:24	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb981b9…
10-06 16:07:35	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xab3bd9…
10-04 23:23:16	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5f5038…
10-04 20:17:38	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf71dee…
10-04 07:45:13	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x72d284…
10-03 14:50:27	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x42bcc7…
10-03 02:52:56	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3f3493…
10-02 18:26:14	Columbus: Darwin Blanch vs Dylan Dietrich	Dylan Dietrich	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1d706a…
10-02 14:15:30	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2c8d32…
10-02 14:13:38	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x178409…
10-01 20:46:18	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a2451…
10-01 20:36:03	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1be209…
10-01 16:08:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ad92c…
10-01 14:12:20	atp giustin donald 2026 10 01	Matthew William Donald	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeef402…
10-01 12:05:05	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff9416…
10-01 11:43:51	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x54238c…
10-01 06:03:11	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3dc040…
10-01 05:13:27	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x769b59…
09-30 23:54:45	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa42820…
09-30 12:28:00	atp kuzmano sachko 2026 09 30	Vitaliy Sachko	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3ea974…
09-30 01:58:17	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x309169…
09-29 20:38:39	Will Slovakia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x52e8d6…
09-29 13:58:53	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa6c266…
09-29 13:15:59	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x39f66f…
09-28 16:53:20	atp angelin johns 2026 09 28	Lorenzo Angelini	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc060a1…
09-27 20:20:11	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x50dd76…
09-27 14:05:50	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x527b6f…
09-27 13:30:41	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfe0a2f…
09-27 12:13:44	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x208864…
09-26 23:23:50	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31552d…
09-26 20:01:33	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x628dbd…
09-26 19:53:23	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x229e6c…
09-26 16:16:12	cs2 hero sng2 2026 09 26	Heroic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d2cf1…
09-26 12:18:24	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41caf4…
09-25 23:27:47	Army vs. Temple	Army	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5c6ec6…
09-25 22:56:38	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa5b7c3…
09-25 10:16:00	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa99dc1…
09-24 20:45:15	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf95d9f…
09-23 22:37:46	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf45ca2…
09-23 16:22:07	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e6fce…
09-23 04:45:13	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd18787…
09-21 18:44:34	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac4a81…
09-21 02:19:40	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa397dc…
09-20 21:48:07	Will Panaitolikos Agrinio win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa490db…
09-20 21:08:26	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf13aa4…
09-20 12:23:12	Counter-Strike: Color vs UPGRADE - Map 1 Winner	Color	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb9cb3e…
09-20 02:59:37	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13a57d…
09-20 01:26:42	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d1571…
09-18 20:03:36	Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ee0cc…
09-17 17:27:43	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf927bc…
09-17 14:00:55	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe1c51c…
09-17 13:02:49	itf lagarr1 khazim1 2026 09 17	Florent Lagarrigue	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3b5c85…
09-17 00:30:42	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd6b9fc…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:15
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	Asterisk	+$0	05-28 16:31
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-06 21:03
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-05 08:56
Will knight Win MSI Finals MVP	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-12 14:02
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 0.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-28 16:31
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:02
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-09-14?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	09-16 10:16
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:36
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-31 03:59
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	03-23 13:58
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-01 01:30