Memorable-Observation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,366

lifetime

Volume

$13.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 06-30 10:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

78% 96% +$0

Sports

17% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 10:12:46	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf2403e…
06-30 04:26:02	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x140e79…
06-30 04:16:11	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0406af…
06-30 02:55:19	mlb min hou 2026 06 29 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfc4957…
06-30 01:50:29	mlb pit phi 2026 06 29 spread home 2pt5	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf3dfbf…
06-30 00:35:04	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c155f…
06-29 23:35:43	will germany reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149725	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdf0860…
06-29 22:38:16	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals kai havertz gte2	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x24ce1b…
06-29 19:57:49	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ece67…
06-29 19:22:28	val ucam fks1 2026 06 29 game1	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x40797c…
06-29 16:24:25	val jl bar 2026 06 29 game1	Barça eSports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53be0b…
06-29 16:05:04	val mdr bjk 2026 06 29 game1	Mandatory	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xccea41…
06-29 13:52:41	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ea30d…
06-29 11:36:34	wta pegula vidmano 2026 06 29 set 2 winner Pegula vs Vidmanova	Pegula	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6dde1b…
06-28 20:53:40	mlb phi nym 2026 06 28	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf3c368…
06-28 17:22:32	cs2 yaw bk 2026 06 28 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xba0275…
06-28 12:25:17	kbo han ssg 2026 06 28	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0f38ce…
06-28 09:55:26	cs2 hon1 oly 2026 06 28 game1	OlyBet SB	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1b8fae…
06-28 04:01:44	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c5a59…
06-28 03:01:26	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ba06f…
06-27 18:39:14	ufc mic6 sha28 2026 06 27 magomedov win by ko tko	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x00c7ef…
06-27 18:05:49	ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x719813…
06-27 16:44:01	ufc abu2 mic1 2026 06 27 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0f0c2a…
06-26 20:12:50	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd03181…
06-26 18:09:47	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb1a258…
06-26 18:09:38	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd0527b…
06-26 12:36:11	kbo han ssg 2026 06 26	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x334974…
06-26 11:54:01	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x05ffdb…
06-26 08:41:23	val t1a soswee 2026 06 26	T1 Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdca5f3…
06-26 00:54:41	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 btts first half	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15ebb8…
06-25 22:21:13	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x22937a…
06-25 22:16:16	will ivory coast be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003075	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3fae25…
06-25 17:51:13	cs2 ace1 shk 2026 06 25 game1	Sharks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf3a99…
06-25 02:00:26	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5d75c1…
06-25 01:49:29	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa7b8dc…
06-25 00:04:47	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6db47b…
06-25 00:02:40	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x29bc79…
06-24 21:13:58	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 corners team home 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf586ca…
06-24 20:58:34	itf lemaitr mladen 2026 06 23	Tiphanie Lemaitre	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x43c7ac…
06-24 12:54:02	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfc3d4b…
06-24 09:08:34	cs2 mana1 hon1 2026 06 24 game1	ex-MANA eSports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5022cb…
06-24 04:00:29	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8ebafc…
06-23 20:00:55	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbfaf7f…
06-23 19:04:52	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 2pt5	Portugal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5a590a…
06-23 18:25:05	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc95e21…
06-23 18:10:41	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdc5892…
06-23 13:18:31	kbo nc lot 2026 06 23	Lotte Giants	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x29e9bf…
06-23 00:54:53	mlb kc tb 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	Kansas City Royals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xedc1f0…
06-21 20:34:01	mlb cws det 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	Chicago White Sox	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6ae6b6…
06-21 18:13:07	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5f4b26…
06-21 18:03:16	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x372257…
06-20 22:09:10	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9346fa…
06-20 18:24:01	atp ofner assche 2026 06 20	Luca Van Assche	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd8d2a0…
06-20 05:14:19	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaf14fc…
06-20 01:49:01	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd801a2…
06-19 20:07:14	cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19 game3 round total 21pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb1ba85…
06-19 15:45:29	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d22b8…
06-18 22:59:26	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xebfe87…
06-17 19:26:19	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc19696…
06-17 19:17:58	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x44fb36…
06-17 19:04:17	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x771bb2…
06-17 16:10:17	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbeaecf…
06-17 16:08:10	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c46db…
06-17 16:06:19	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x76f5b0…
06-17 12:13:35	cs2 tdk nem 2026 06 17 game1	Team Nemesis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x55b568…
06-17 11:41:56	itf photiad inchaus 2026 06 17 first set total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfdac60…
06-17 00:03:11	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6996c2…
06-16 14:06:22	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8bb0aa…
06-16 02:29:40	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3ae7c7…
06-15 19:57:06	cs2 sparta g2a 2026 06 15 game2 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x91e17d…
06-15 18:27:52	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x600f13…
06-15 12:41:37	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa5202b…
06-15 01:32:10	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc0bb08…
06-14 19:23:13	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8fa390…
06-14 19:02:27	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeb0f84…
06-13 11:10:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x329686…
06-13 09:23:28	cs2 bmb gbl 2026 06 13 game2	BASEMENT BOYS	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeca269…
06-13 01:54:58	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd0c945…
06-12 23:27:34	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa67a3a…
06-12 20:27:01	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2c2b53…
06-12 20:18:57	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x80ce11…
06-12 20:17:22	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf37db2…
06-12 13:30:16	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x433492…
06-11 22:13:42	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c21d7…
06-11 21:05:00	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x964837…
06-11 16:53:30	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8403c9…
06-11 16:05:51	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2f0f87…
06-11 13:11:28	kbo sam kt 2026 06 11	Samsung Lions	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf0f9e…
06-10 20:16:54	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcbd521…
06-10 20:05:15	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41a255…
06-09 16:28:55	lol ckz ps1 2026 06 09	Partizan Sangal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb09bb6…
06-09 12:20:12	itf khayndr aydemir 2026 06 09	Defne Aydemir	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x46710c…
06-08 21:36:58	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4f03bf…
06-08 12:03:37	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb51904…
06-07 23:59:21	lol lll vks 2026 06 07 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x32ca57…
06-07 21:58:16	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ae60a…
06-07 21:09:30	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xab79a4…
06-07 19:14:04	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07 set handicap away 1pt5	Cobolli	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e6038…
06-07 18:11:22	itf urgesi mazzola 2026 06 07	Federica Urgesi	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd2888…
06-07 17:38:58	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c9b73…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 05:36
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-05 08:56
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 16:02
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 03:59
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:58
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:30
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
lal gir bet 2026 04 21 total 4pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-21 21:14
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on April 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 07:07
wta avanesy garcia 2026 04 07	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-07 15:10
highest temperature in chengdu on april 11 2026 25c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-11 06:07
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 18:12
highest temperature in taipei on april 24 2026 19c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 17:05
atp schwaer samuel 2026 04 10 first set winner Schwaerzler vs Samuel	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-10 11:28
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 18c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-05 06:24
cs2 leo2 brute 2026 04 07 game2	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-07 18:04
elc lei swa 2026 04 11 swa	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-11 16:02
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-25 00:04
arg tal rie 2026 04 19 btts	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-20 02:57
kor uls seo 2026 03 07 btts	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-15 19:33