Misguided-Lilac — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$391

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.2%

Resolved

280

Trades

5,135

lifetime

Volume

$32.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 06-12 12:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 97% $-391

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 333 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Down	+$2	05-11 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Up	$-200	05-12 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Up	+$2	05-11 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Up	+$2	05-13 06:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Up	+$2	05-11 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Down	+$2	05-13 06:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Down	+$2	05-11 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Up	+$2	05-11 07:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Down	+$2	05-11 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Down	+$2	05-11 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Up	+$2	05-13 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Down	+$2	05-11 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Down	+$2	05-12 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Down	+$2	05-11 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Up	+$2	05-11 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Up	+$2	05-11 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$200	202	0	+202	Up	+$2	05-11 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$200	208	0	+208	Up	+$8	05-11 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$200	204	0	+204	Up	$-200	05-13 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$198	101	101	+0	Down	$-2	05-14 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$161	81	81	+0	open	—	05-15 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$151	153	0	+153	Down	$-151	05-14 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$150	152	0	+152	Up	+$2	05-14 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$150	152	0	+152	Up	+$2	05-14 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$150	152	0	+152	Down	+$2	05-14 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$150	152	0	+152	Down	+$2	05-14 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$150	152	0	+152	Up	+$2	05-14 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$150	152	0	+152	Down	+$2	05-14 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$150	152	0	+152	Up	+$2	05-14 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$150	152	0	+152	Down	+$2	05-14 03:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 12:21:09	btc updown 5m 1781266800	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x1617b0…
06-12 12:20:10	btc updown 5m 1781266800	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0f6f8d…
06-12 12:15:48	btc updown 5m 1781266500	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe3ff8f…
06-12 12:15:07	btc updown 5m 1781266500	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x324223…
06-12 12:10:12	btc updown 5m 1781266200	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x24aab4…
06-12 12:10:09	btc updown 5m 1781266200	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf7cc82…
06-12 12:06:37	btc updown 5m 1781265900	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x87acf3…
06-12 12:06:07	btc updown 5m 1781265900	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xea0512…
06-12 09:30:30	btc updown 5m 1781256600	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8918a3…
06-12 09:30:30	btc updown 5m 1781256600	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x19ce68…
06-12 09:30:25	btc updown 5m 1781256600	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x12d957…
06-12 09:25:39	btc updown 5m 1781256300	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa2a104…
06-12 09:25:12	btc updown 5m 1781256300	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x2390bd…
06-12 09:20:19	btc updown 5m 1781256000	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4df90f…
06-12 09:20:16	btc updown 5m 1781256000	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x2b6505…
06-12 09:20:15	btc updown 5m 1781256000	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x6aa07b…
06-12 09:16:04	btc updown 5m 1781255700	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x9e2eb6…
06-12 09:16:03	btc updown 5m 1781255700	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd94929…
06-12 09:05:27	btc updown 5m 1781255100	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x9337d4…
06-12 09:05:27	btc updown 5m 1781255100	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x808a0f…
06-12 09:05:16	btc updown 5m 1781255100	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xde7aa1…
06-12 09:02:55	btc updown 5m 1781254800	Down	SELL	3	17¢	$1	0x19f82b…
06-12 09:00:57	btc updown 5m 1781254800	Down	BUY	1	57¢	$0	0x537596…
06-12 09:00:57	btc updown 5m 1781254800	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$3	0x092161…
06-12 09:00:45	btc updown 5m 1781254800	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x518b0f…
06-12 09:00:40	btc updown 5m 1781254800	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8456cc…
06-12 09:00:30	btc updown 5m 1781254800	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x83eb11…
06-12 09:00:27	btc updown 5m 1781254800	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x518b97…
06-12 09:00:25	btc updown 5m 1781254800	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc4a16a…
06-12 09:00:25	btc updown 5m 1781254800	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x90ea50…
06-12 08:55:57	btc updown 5m 1781254500	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x3ee09c…
06-12 08:55:40	btc updown 5m 1781254500	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xaafe5d…
06-12 08:55:40	btc updown 5m 1781254500	Up	BUY	1	57¢	$1	0x8ed5c6…
06-12 06:54:39	btc updown 5m 1781247000	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x0f4f66…
06-12 06:54:07	btc updown 5m 1781247000	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x869931…
06-12 06:53:34	btc updown 5m 1781247000	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x17f22e…
06-12 06:50:55	btc updown 5m 1781247000	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xeb2f0e…
06-12 06:50:43	btc updown 5m 1781247000	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x612199…
06-12 06:50:43	btc updown 5m 1781247000	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x09295d…
06-12 06:50:18	btc updown 5m 1781247000	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xbc159e…
06-12 06:50:18	btc updown 5m 1781247000	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0xb790b6…
06-12 06:48:49	btc updown 5m 1781246700	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x9e23de…
06-12 06:45:16	btc updown 5m 1781246700	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x0e6bf5…
06-12 06:40:45	btc updown 5m 1781246400	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf1a686…
06-12 06:40:34	btc updown 5m 1781246400	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x4974a3…
06-12 06:35:24	btc updown 5m 1781246100	Up	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0xed61ad…
06-12 06:35:24	btc updown 5m 1781246100	Up	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0xe75c46…
06-12 06:35:18	btc updown 5m 1781246100	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xac0b68…
06-12 06:35:16	btc updown 5m 1781246100	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xaff5ac…
06-12 06:30:16	btc updown 5m 1781245800	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xda01f5…
06-12 06:30:16	btc updown 5m 1781245800	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x5569ff…
06-12 06:30:16	btc updown 5m 1781245800	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x374978…
06-12 06:25:12	btc updown 5m 1781245500	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xcb8cc3…
06-12 06:20:28	btc updown 5m 1781245200	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0dc49d…
06-12 06:20:15	btc updown 5m 1781245200	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$3	0xeb9bfe…
06-12 06:20:13	btc updown 5m 1781245200	Up	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0xd410ba…
06-12 06:15:13	btc updown 5m 1781244900	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xed9a02…
06-12 06:10:37	btc updown 5m 1781244600	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xdf31f7…
06-12 06:10:36	btc updown 5m 1781244600	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4129ba…
06-12 06:10:16	btc updown 5m 1781244600	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x4f1dc0…
06-12 06:08:40	btc updown 5m 1781244300	Up	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x13f1b2…
06-12 06:05:15	btc updown 5m 1781244300	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x80d3f7…
06-12 06:05:12	btc updown 5m 1781244300	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x4ebd44…
06-12 06:00:25	btc updown 5m 1781244000	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x666bbd…
06-12 06:00:24	btc updown 5m 1781244000	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x0aa2ff…
06-12 05:55:33	btc updown 5m 1781243700	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x99d667…
06-12 05:55:15	btc updown 5m 1781243700	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x066b86…
06-12 05:50:28	btc updown 5m 1781243400	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x1a8720…
06-12 05:50:12	btc updown 5m 1781243400	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x8a1ff1…
06-12 05:50:12	btc updown 5m 1781243400	Down	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x79733e…
06-12 05:50:12	btc updown 5m 1781243400	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x45bb16…
06-12 05:45:40	btc updown 5m 1781243100	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xa33ed8…
06-12 05:45:16	btc updown 5m 1781243100	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xad4801…
06-12 05:40:22	btc updown 5m 1781242800	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5aa48e…
06-12 05:40:13	btc updown 5m 1781242800	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x08c625…
06-12 05:35:16	btc updown 5m 1781242500	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1cd551…
06-12 05:35:13	btc updown 5m 1781242500	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe28737…
06-12 05:30:19	btc updown 5m 1781242200	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd4b624…
06-12 05:30:15	btc updown 5m 1781242200	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa023e7…
06-12 05:30:13	btc updown 5m 1781242200	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x4ac643…
06-12 05:25:15	btc updown 5m 1781241900	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbe431c…
06-12 05:25:13	btc updown 5m 1781241900	Down	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0xcd3f30…
06-12 05:25:13	btc updown 5m 1781241900	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x310f32…
06-12 05:21:06	btc updown 5m 1781241600	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5291eb…
06-12 05:20:12	btc updown 5m 1781241600	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x789fa0…
06-12 05:15:13	btc updown 5m 1781241300	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x441236…
06-12 05:15:12	btc updown 5m 1781241300	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x3e64e3…
06-12 05:10:12	btc updown 5m 1781241000	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x5dcaa9…
06-12 05:05:13	btc updown 5m 1781240700	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x34c922…
06-12 05:05:12	btc updown 5m 1781240700	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe9abfa…
06-12 05:05:12	btc updown 5m 1781240700	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x89c9c9…
06-12 05:00:27	btc updown 5m 1781240400	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xdeffa7…
06-12 05:00:10	btc updown 5m 1781240400	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x0aba38…
06-12 04:55:16	btc updown 5m 1781240100	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x1243e2…
06-12 04:55:12	btc updown 5m 1781240100	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x40f390…
06-12 04:50:12	btc updown 5m 1781239800	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x6e4b9f…
06-12 04:50:12	btc updown 5m 1781239800	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x316968…
06-12 04:45:25	btc updown 5m 1781239500	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xbb40ce…
06-12 04:45:24	btc updown 5m 1781239500	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x991658…
06-12 03:45:48	btc updown 5m 1781235900	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb1cd70…