Finished-World-Metaphor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$781

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 06-01 14:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 56% +$801

Other

2% 0% $-20

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	5	$1.1K	732	732	+0	Up	+$324	05-08 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$773	486	486	+0	Up	+$190	05-07 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$493	397	397	+0	Up	+$293	05-09 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	4	$438	399	399	+0	open	—	05-25 08:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$420	222	222	+0	Up	+$20	05-07 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$414	317	317	+0	Up	+$214	05-10 14:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$348	250	250	+0	Up	+$148	05-07 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$292	653	0	+653	Down	$-292	05-08 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	3	$285	227	227	+0	Up	+$165	05-07 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	3	$225	117	117	+0	Down	+$5	05-07 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$110	187	0	+187	Down	$-110	05-07 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	8	$106	55	55	+0	Up	+$4	05-07 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$105	206	0	+206	Up	+$101	05-12 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$100	183	0	+183	Down	$-100	05-08 16:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	1	$100	435	0	+435	open	—	05-07 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$100	179	0	+179	Down	$-100	05-07 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$100	207	0	+207	Down	$-100	05-08 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$100	235	0	+235	Up	+$135	05-08 10:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$100	169	0	+169	Up	$-100	05-08 16:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	05-25 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$100	175	0	+175	Down	$-100	05-07 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$100	185	0	+185	Down	$-100	05-08 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$100	143	0	+143	Up	+$43	05-08 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$100	156	0	+156	Up	+$56	05-08 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$85	61	61	+0	open	—	05-14 13:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	3	$79	263	263	+0	Down	+$29	05-12 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$77	53	53	+0	Up	+$27	05-13 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	3	$71	211	154	+57	open	—	05-25 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$69	192	192	+0	open	—	05-14 13:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	1	$57	0	164	-164	open	—	06-01 14:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 14:52:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	164	35¢	$57	0x037365…
05-25 08:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xa85f87…
05-25 08:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	154	20¢	$31	0xaf7416…
05-25 08:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x0b2212…
05-25 08:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x3ee884…
05-25 08:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	232	58¢	$134	0x581ad5…
05-25 08:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	232	43¢	$100	0x01fe12…
05-25 08:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	167	62¢	$103	0xda8e1a…
05-25 08:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xe9f860…
05-25 08:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	121	17¢	$20	0xc6a810…
05-25 08:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x6fbdfe…
05-14 13:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xb134e1…
05-14 13:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x1f4dc5…
05-14 13:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	72	47¢	$34	0x4bd649…
05-14 13:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	120	13¢	$16	0xae586d…
05-14 13:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	192	10¢	$19	0xed03b1…
05-14 13:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	183	14¢	$25	0x8381ef…
05-14 13:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x31c5d2…
05-14 13:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x7e0379…
05-14 13:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	61	98¢	$60	0x5283f1…
05-14 13:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xfe16dc…
05-14 12:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x4451b8…
05-14 12:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xe3b6ab…
05-14 12:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xdc2722…
05-14 12:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xf95d24…
05-14 12:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x242d78…
05-14 10:08:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	77	19¢	$15	0xbbed1c…
05-13 13:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xc5f2bb…
05-13 07:28:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x0d3005…
05-13 07:26:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xcd448b…
05-13 07:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xa48d8d…
05-13 07:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xb8920a…
05-13 07:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x28492a…
05-13 07:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0xb56833…
05-13 07:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	53	97¢	$52	0x367541…
05-13 07:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xebf1dd…
05-12 14:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x07d08f…
05-12 14:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x53e304…
05-12 14:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xe1919e…
05-12 14:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xc2ac8d…
05-12 14:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x824328…
05-12 14:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd4cc93…
05-12 14:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x3fe028…
05-12 13:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x700065…
05-12 13:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x32bb72…
05-12 13:40:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x448fff…
05-12 13:40:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	261	20¢	$53	0x45337d…
05-12 13:37:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xfbf1a0…
05-12 13:36:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	263	9¢	$25	0x6bbb18…
05-12 13:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xcb81c4…
05-12 13:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xdcdc0e…
05-12 13:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x2d6aa1…
05-12 13:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x6aae55…
05-10 14:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	317	99¢	$314	0x60bcd1…
05-10 14:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	317	32¢	$100	0xa96263…
05-10 14:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xf253ad…
05-10 14:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x5437ae…
05-09 14:46:50	Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0xc52c73…
05-09 14:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	397	99¢	$393	0x1bca0c…
05-09 14:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	397	25¢	$100	0xda4272…
05-08 16:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	653	45¢	$292	0xc74b82…
05-08 16:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	318	3¢	$10	0xdc5e81…
05-08 16:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0x8c788e…
05-08 16:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x0ef002…
05-08 12:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x0b3bda…
05-08 12:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	207	48¢	$100	0x80889b…
05-08 11:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xa52735…
05-08 10:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	235	43¢	$100	0xce5388…
05-08 10:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xa219c8…
05-08 10:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	732	99¢	$724	0xcab213…
05-08 10:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x95143c…
05-08 10:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xffe23f…
05-08 10:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	178	56¢	$100	0x91ce1b…
05-08 10:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x261237…
05-07 13:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	486	99¢	$482	0x88cd5c…
05-07 13:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	486	60¢	$292	0xf529a7…
05-07 13:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	187	59¢	$110	0xdde70b…
05-07 12:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xf30df4…
05-07 12:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	250	99¢	$248	0xd48240…
05-07 12:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x0e4077…
05-07 12:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	222	99¢	$220	0x8b83d4…
05-07 11:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0xe8ac39…
05-07 11:56:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0xd2588d…
05-07 11:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	117	99¢	$115	0xa28195…
05-07 11:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xf7a6fb…
05-07 11:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x32426a…
05-07 11:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xe89981…
05-07 11:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	227	99¢	$225	0x22f4f6…
05-07 11:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x99cf37…
05-07 11:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0xc76652…
05-07 11:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0xd8f58b…
05-07 11:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb91e79…
05-07 11:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe57f9c…
05-07 11:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x765822…
05-07 11:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xada3c5…
05-07 11:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x3e06df…
05-07 11:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xda306e…
05-07 11:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x65f613…