Monumental-Scimitar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

9.3%

Resolved

Trades

112

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-12 06:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

70% 80% -$6

Politics

13% 67% $0

Sports

13% 0% -$1

Crypto

5% 98% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	3	$1.5K	771	771	+0	No	-$1	01-07 01:24
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	3	$1.5K	746	746	+0	No	-$1	01-13 02:00
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	2	$1.4K	729	705	+24	No	-$1	01-03 02:33
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$1.4K	704	700	+4	No	-$1	01-03 02:34
will the next dutch government be glpvda	2	$1.4K	692	692	+0	No	-$1	01-06 07:44
will the next dutch government be vvd cda ja21	2	$1.4K	691	691	+0	No	-$1	01-06 07:44
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	2	$1.4K	690	690	+0	No	-$1	01-06 07:45
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$44	23	23	+0	No	+$2	01-19 03:12
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	09-07 05:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 12?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	10-12 06:10
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May?	2	$28	15	13	+2	No	+$0	05-19 05:56
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 580plus	2	$27	14	13	+1	No	+$0	03-31 01:46
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 500 519	2	$27	14	13	+1	No	+$0	03-31 01:47
Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	2	$26	14	12	+2	No	+$0	05-19 05:56
will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	02-20 08:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$24	13	13	+0	No	+$0	01-25 04:18
will solana dip to 20 in february 2026	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	02-20 08:02
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	04-30 11:56
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts first half	1	$20	25	0	+25	No	+$4	07-19 08:46
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$20	12	12	+0	No	+$0	01-25 04:18
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$19	10	9	+1	No	$0	06-13 06:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on August 21?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	08-19 07:35
bitcoin above 72k on august 22 2026	1	$16	16	0	+16	Yes	-$16	08-19 07:35
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	05-26 05:51
will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 26	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	01-25 04:27
bitcoin above 58k on august 21 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	08-19 07:35
bitcoin above 50k on july 7 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	07-04 06:08
Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	01-25 04:28
Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	05-11 01:42
bitcoin above 78k on april 8	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	04-07 03:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 06:10:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x6c8d3a…
09-07 05:45:25	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x012bb3…
08-19 07:35:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on August 21?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x95d4f2…
08-19 07:35:22	bitcoin above 72k on august 22 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf7cc42…
08-19 07:35:09	bitcoin above 58k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xad7e45…
08-02 08:11:42	bitcoin above 52k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x80ae42…
08-02 08:11:32	bitcoin above 74k on august 6 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x242fc9…
08-02 08:11:18	bitcoin above 74k on august 5 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe3eff0…
08-02 08:11:06	bitcoin above 56k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd80e6b…
08-02 08:10:14	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22efca…
08-02 08:10:02	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x576c08…
08-02 08:09:51	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4cb1d3…
07-19 08:48:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	No	BUY	22	47¢	$11	0xabf1a7…
07-19 08:47:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts second half	Yes	BUY	22	28¢	$6	0xab03c4…
07-19 08:46:55	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts first half	No	BUY	25	83¢	$20	0x937735…
07-19 08:46:16	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0x30de58…
07-19 08:45:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	22	28¢	$6	0xf2a07a…
07-04 06:08:49	bitcoin above 50k on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa33ef4…
07-04 06:08:40	bitcoin above 56k on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc7acc9…
07-04 06:08:29	bitcoin above 56k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2e6516…
07-04 06:08:16	bitcoin above 66k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe23821…
07-04 06:07:50	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xee3d35…
07-04 06:07:41	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe9bd21…
07-04 06:07:29	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x56c906…
06-26 04:54:26	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf2283c…
06-26 04:53:08	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd5c3b8…
06-13 06:14:43	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca093a…
06-13 06:14:36	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x246b56…
06-13 06:14:27	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x446772…
06-13 06:04:19	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x6e9c3c…
06-04 03:47:34	Will Baidu have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd6fc05…
06-04 03:47:13	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0af370…
06-04 03:46:57	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x99c456…
06-04 03:46:40	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa65c66…
05-26 05:51:58	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x671588…
05-26 05:51:39	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6f82d5…
05-19 05:59:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x58586e…
05-19 05:58:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3e2ed8…
05-19 05:56:35	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x51b351…
05-19 05:56:28	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x1dcc56…
05-11 01:43:13	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc08db9…
05-11 01:42:56	Will XRP dip to $0.20 in May?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x36f891…
05-11 01:42:36	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd1c585…
05-11 01:42:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfbe035…
04-30 11:56:32	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd58393…
04-09 03:27:27	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 460 479	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x111bfc…
04-09 03:27:15	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 360 379	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x507db6…
04-07 03:29:09	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x613e7f…
04-07 03:28:59	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8cf5d3…
04-07 03:28:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3b2a9c…
04-07 03:28:33	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3831a5…
04-07 03:28:23	bitcoin above 60k on april 7	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d4ee5…
03-31 01:55:37	bitcoin above 80k on april 1	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbc1ff8…
03-31 01:55:29	bitcoin above 72k on march 31	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x32dfd1…
03-31 01:47:07	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 500 519	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x52c0ab…
03-31 01:46:55	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 580plus	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x5a3bd5…
03-28 03:22:17	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 580plus	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe9c005…
03-28 03:22:01	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 500 519	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6d9bfe…
03-17 11:07:55	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 240plus	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x42403d…
03-17 11:07:47	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 215 239	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb29c53…
03-13 05:56:53	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 13	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x019121…
03-13 05:56:43	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1ee16b…
03-13 05:56:33	will bitcoin dip to 56k march 9 15	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8861d4…
03-13 05:56:23	will ethereum dip to 1300 march 9 15	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeadfae…
03-13 05:56:15	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbaed5b…
03-13 05:56:05	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xadb362…
03-13 05:55:59	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x256905…
03-13 05:55:49	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf14fed…
03-13 05:55:43	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5e0179…
03-03 10:08:51	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc8f7aa…
03-03 10:08:31	elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 190 214	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2b6d16…
03-03 10:08:15	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 580plus	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa460db…
03-03 10:07:59	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 480 499	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x459243…
03-03 10:07:43	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 260 279	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb8b421…
02-20 08:02:16	will solana dip to 20 in february 2026	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x607192…
02-20 08:02:08	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x7e3848…
02-08 02:10:45	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x1ee7c1…
02-08 02:10:21	will ethereum dip to 1500 february 2 8	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x0ca818…
02-08 02:10:03	will solana dip to 20 in february 2026	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd3fe4a…
02-08 02:09:31	bitcoin above 78k on february 8	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x62b4d9…
02-08 02:09:13	ethereum above 1800 on february 8	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2f1c6a…
01-30 03:30:18	elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 40 64	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3e661b…
01-30 03:30:00	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 740plus	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c8be3…
01-30 03:29:38	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 740plus	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb73225…
01-30 03:29:14	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 480 499	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x95e4cd…
01-25 04:28:16	Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xc2acf4…
01-25 04:27:48	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 26	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x832716…
01-25 04:27:18	will ethereum dip to 2500 january 19 25	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa8e8dd…
01-25 04:26:52	ethereum above 3200 on january 25	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbae948…
01-25 04:18:24	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	No	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0x0fe2fd…
01-25 04:18:18	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0xd164df…
01-19 03:15:14	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	No	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0xc59671…
01-19 03:15:00	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xead446…
01-19 03:12:02	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0xfb6b23…
01-13 02:11:43	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	23	89¢	$21	0xcbf6e4…
01-13 02:00:47	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xeb29f1…
01-07 01:24:49	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x6f7459…
01-07 01:23:39	us strike on somalia by january 31	Yes	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x21584a…
01-06 07:45:57	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	No	SELL	690	100¢	$688	0x686dca…
01-06 07:45:33	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	No	BUY	690	100¢	$689	0xdf20b3…