Superficial-Hallway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$38

1 position

First seen

2026-04-23

last 06-09 22:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

40% — —

Sports

31% 100% +$3

Other

29% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No		+39	$38	98¢	$38	+$0	06-03 00:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$555	291	291	+0	No	+$3	04-26 23:01
Will Alberta join the US?	15	$284	219	219	+0	open	—	06-08 00:59
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	7	$183	175	175	+0	open	—	05-29 02:10
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$138	598	598	+0	No	+$0	04-24 11:59
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	13	$126	3,195	3,195	+0	open	—	04-26 13:46
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	3	$106	74	35	+39	open	—	06-03 00:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$106	110	110	+0	open	—	06-02 10:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	7	$104	104	104	+0	open	—	06-07 12:56
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	5	$99	93	93	+0	open	—	06-04 20:58
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	5	$91	83	83	+0	open	—	06-09 08:59
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$77	51	51	+0	open	—	06-10 03:45
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$70	50	50	+0	open	—	06-06 22:32
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	4	$70	43	43	+0	open	—	06-05 23:38
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	3	$69	63	63	+0	open	—	06-05 17:30
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$69	36	36	+0	open	—	06-09 22:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	2	$63	32	32	+0	open	—	05-21 02:55
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$62	34	34	+0	open	—	05-28 07:04
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$33	520	520	+0	open	—	04-24 22:02
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$10	38	38	+0	open	—	05-23 00:33
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	2	$4	79	79	+0	open	—	06-08 17:06
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	2	$3	39	39	+0	open	—	05-28 13:31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	2	$2	37	37	+0	open	—	06-06 06:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 03:45:49	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	51	76¢	$39	0x3de02a…
06-10 02:24:58	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	51	75¢	$38	0x5c7bf9…
06-09 22:11:37	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	36	95¢	$34	0x6e1f5e…
06-09 16:11:03	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0xba84c8…
06-09 08:59:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	43	81¢	$35	0xdde311…
06-09 03:47:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	43	82¢	$35	0xf92a71…
06-08 17:06:57	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	79	2¢	$2	0xe1ccbb…
06-08 15:42:01	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	79	2¢	$2	0x605cb8…
06-08 00:59:15	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	74	5¢	$3	0xa848c8…
06-07 23:36:22	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x7ef877…
06-07 23:36:22	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0x710ea5…
06-07 23:36:22	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0x00f2fd…
06-07 12:56:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	63	54¢	$34	0xf8a149…
06-07 12:56:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x4b1171…
06-07 10:24:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x947f69…
06-07 10:24:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	53¢	$22	0x1c254f…
06-06 22:32:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0xb5a66f…
06-06 20:48:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x807dbb…
06-06 11:52:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0x88b82a…
06-06 10:03:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	34	27¢	$9	0x94ee9d…
06-06 10:03:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x1d553e…
06-06 06:12:52	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	37	3¢	$1	0x488d40…
06-06 04:08:00	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x966e15…
06-05 23:38:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	37	81¢	$30	0x5d8fd2…
06-05 23:38:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x28c8cc…
06-05 20:31:45	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd4202e…
06-05 20:31:37	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	42	81¢	$34	0x57cc61…
06-05 17:30:06	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xdae619…
06-05 17:30:06	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	58	55¢	$32	0xb0efa6…
06-05 14:03:10	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	63	55¢	$35	0x8d0533…
06-04 20:58:13	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	37	69¢	$26	0xdf0673…
06-04 20:58:13	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	18	69¢	$12	0x1cd3b8…
06-04 20:57:27	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	55	69¢	$38	0xbd1055…
06-03 22:19:46	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x5bea1c…
06-03 22:19:46	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	34	95¢	$32	0x159a72…
06-03 19:20:10	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	36	96¢	$34	0xabe954…
06-03 00:21:53	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0x331477…
06-02 10:01:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	36	40¢	$14	0x3c2ca4…
06-02 07:41:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	36	40¢	$14	0x33eed7…
06-02 00:14:26	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0xa336a5…
06-01 23:09:39	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x26a269…
06-01 01:23:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	74	52¢	$38	0x9ad750…
06-01 01:22:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	74	52¢	$38	0x6f7d0e…
05-31 12:28:54	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x9599ef…
05-31 12:28:54	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x8a3a3d…
05-31 07:59:16	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x760068…
05-31 07:59:16	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x07f9fe…
05-31 07:57:17	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x0a0180…
05-31 06:14:26	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x0a0bcf…
05-30 18:56:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	44¢	$12	0x8c2145…
05-30 18:56:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x6b6a72…
05-30 18:54:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	44¢	$17	0x9a1796…
05-30 08:39:31	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	38	31¢	$12	0xfe1865…
05-30 06:16:36	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	38	31¢	$12	0x0e2d6f…
05-29 17:08:44	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0x9208c5…
05-29 11:58:17	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x74e685…
05-29 02:10:50	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	49	78¢	$38	0x60f173…
05-29 02:10:03	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	49	78¢	$38	0xd0e36c…
05-28 20:00:02	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	70	28¢	$20	0x0954ba…
05-28 18:41:10	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	54	24¢	$13	0x5da1cb…
05-28 18:41:10	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	24¢	$4	0x195483…
05-28 13:31:02	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	39	4¢	$2	0xcfbd09…
05-28 11:34:10	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	39	4¢	$2	0x7b4e51…
05-28 07:04:44	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	34	92¢	$31	0x4ae229…
05-28 04:59:10	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0x964f58…
05-28 04:59:10	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x79f72b…
05-28 03:38:28	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	56	62¢	$35	0xd208e4…
05-28 03:37:40	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	56	63¢	$35	0x827c17…
05-23 00:33:29	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xb8b88e…
05-21 08:24:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	34	4¢	$1	0x66c909…
05-21 03:51:01	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0x587957…
05-21 02:55:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	98¢	$32	0x307997…
05-21 00:40:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x7091a0…
05-20 10:25:52	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x0d5bb5…
04-26 23:01:06	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	67	96¢	$64	0xe9cc02…
04-26 23:01:06	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	224	96¢	$215	0xc27dcf…
04-26 19:33:32	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	291	95¢	$276	0x9839b9…
04-26 13:46:10	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	300	3¢	$8	0xe1f699…
04-26 13:46:10	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	285	3¢	$7	0xd3133b…
04-26 13:46:10	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	137	3¢	$4	0xcaf8bc…
04-26 13:46:10	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	290	3¢	$8	0x4af153…
04-26 09:48:38	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	1,012	3¢	$26	0x2df7ca…
04-24 22:02:14	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	520	3¢	$16	0x1f8a0a…
04-24 19:33:20	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	233	3¢	$8	0xe9f94b…
04-24 19:33:20	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	52	3¢	$2	0x48cef9…
04-24 19:33:20	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	235	3¢	$8	0x141842…
04-24 11:59:48	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x60eca8…
04-24 11:59:44	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	290	12¢	$33	0xd46f46…
04-24 11:59:44	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	305	12¢	$35	0x93094a…
04-24 07:36:12	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	598	12¢	$69	0x6ea25a…
04-24 02:17:30	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	188	2¢	$3	0xd8236f…
04-24 02:17:30	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	254	2¢	$4	0xba0bf0…
04-24 02:17:30	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	245	2¢	$4	0xb623fc…
04-24 02:17:30	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	353	2¢	$6	0x720a3c…
04-24 00:23:52	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	1,040	2¢	$17	0x4b7c88…
04-23 07:04:22	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	856	2¢	$15	0xa09315…
04-23 07:04:22	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	287	2¢	$5	0x2b0254…
04-23 02:23:44	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	1,143	2¢	$21	0xe5effe…