Kind-Railway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

10.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$20.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$597

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 09-12 00:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

90% 88% -$9

Crypto

10% 100% +$5

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$18.2K	9,150	9,150	+0	No	-$9	03-31 00:54
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 7am et	16	$1.5K	1,454	0	+1,454	Up	+$4	03-30 11:58
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 8am et	3	$602	603	0	+603	Up	+$1	03-30 12:55
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-06 06:14
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	04-12 00:22
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	05-06 06:14
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	04-12 00:23
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	07-18 00:35
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	06-09 05:54
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	08-11 04:54
Will ByteDance be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	09-12 00:58
will google have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	03-29 00:13
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on May 7?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-06 06:15
Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-09 05:55
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-09 05:56
highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 6corbelow	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	04-12 00:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-12 00:58:21	Will ByteDance be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3710d5…
08-11 04:54:22	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x8664ff…
07-18 00:35:27	Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3e8ded…
06-09 05:56:03	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x55c64a…
06-09 05:55:18	Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5c8f64…
06-09 05:54:46	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1d6ea0…
05-06 06:15:20	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc23b8f…
05-06 06:14:46	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$2	0x704956…
05-06 06:14:20	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x87fc79…
04-12 00:25:09	highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 6corbelow	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xba2a9d…
04-12 00:23:59	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x3ee4b6…
04-12 00:22:57	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0x1f8f85…
03-31 00:54:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	9,150	100¢	$9,104	0x02d861…
03-31 00:13:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9,150	100¢	$9,113	0xb8ba24…
03-30 12:55:24	bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x039bb9…
03-30 12:55:20	bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x367a1b…
03-30 12:54:56	bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x5602a0…
03-30 11:58:06	bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xa2975b…
03-30 11:58:02	bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x6cffc4…
03-30 11:57:18	bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	226	100¢	$226	0x02a14f…
03-30 11:57:02	bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x9d85fa…
03-30 11:52:56	bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x5851d7…
03-30 11:52:38	bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xe98e3b…
03-30 11:52:24	bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xff2510…
03-30 11:52:22	bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xad7f97…
03-30 11:52:22	bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7834fa…
03-30 11:52:22	bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x731e4f…
03-30 11:52:20	bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9e148f…
03-30 11:52:18	bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x222d99…
03-30 11:52:16	bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb57806…
03-30 11:52:16	bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb2ca52…
03-30 11:52:14	bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe7b4b3…
03-30 11:52:14	bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x1a124c…
03-29 00:13:58	will google have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb5305d…