Runny-Crow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$238

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.7%

Resolved

937

Trades

3,538

lifetime

Volume

$8.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 09-30 07:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Other

93% 29% -$156

Crypto

6% 43% -$76

Politics

0% 50% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in wellington on april 9 2026 21c	32	$248	200	54	+146	Yes	+$6	04-09 10:26
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 29c	15	$220	100	155	-55	Yes	+$34	04-09 11:51
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	32	$203	367	188	+180	Yes	-$155	09-30 07:39
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 21?	1	$198	720	0	+720	No	-$198	05-21 07:48
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 15?	33	$194	264	58	+206	Yes	+$33	05-15 07:58
highest temperature in toronto on march 31 2026 8corhigher	38	$169	181	0	+181	Yes	+$12	03-30 07:40
highest temperature in singapore on march 30 2026 33c	27	$151	101	101	+0	Yes	+$52	03-30 14:20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 21?	29	$144	240	0	+240	Yes	-$17	05-21 05:40
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 10?	10	$132	145	0	+145	Yes	+$13	05-10 06:00
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	18	$114	136	40	+96	Yes	+$23	09-28 15:47
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 20?	22	$109	149	0	+149	Yes	+$13	05-20 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 20?	20	$99	140	0	+140	Yes	+$7	05-20 09:18
highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 18c	22	$98	110	0	+110	Yes	+$12	04-08 07:13
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or higher on May 15?	13	$89	142	0	+142	No	+$53	05-15 04:04
highest temperature in shanghai on march 30 2026 22c	25	$89	90	53	+37	Yes	+$53	03-30 12:13
highest temperature in wellington on april 8 2026 20c	13	$80	89	0	+89	Yes	+$8	04-08 03:19
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 21?	16	$79	83	0	+83	No	+$4	05-21 05:28
highest temperature in tokyo on march 30 2026 20c	20	$78	81	21	+59	Yes	+$25	03-30 14:55
highest temperature in chengdu on april 7 2026 22c	6	$75	80	0	+80	Yes	+$6	04-07 07:30
highest temperature in warsaw on april 8 2026 9c	15	$68	70	0	+70	Yes	+$1	04-08 14:16
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 15?	11	$67	117	15	+102	Yes	+$44	05-15 06:33
highest temperature in beijing on april 20 2026 23c	14	$64	103	0	+103	No	+$39	04-20 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28?	7	$60	69	0	+69	Yes	+$8	09-28 07:21
highest temperature in shanghai on april 20 2026 19c	9	$57	107	0	+107	Yes	-$45	04-20 06:43
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on May 16?	16	$55	66	0	+66	No	+$11	05-16 08:00
highest temperature in beijing on april 9 2026 13c	11	$54	55	0	+55	Yes	+$1	04-09 06:13
highest temperature in busan on april 8 2026 17c	9	$54	56	34	+22	Yes	+$15	04-08 04:50
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 14?	6	$52	55	0	+55	Yes	+$3	05-14 08:44
highest temperature in chongqing on april 9 2026 28c	11	$49	51	0	+51	Yes	+$2	04-09 08:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 10:05 UTC	18	$48	99	0	+99	Down	+$2	04-01 10:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 07:39:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	SELL	180	11¢	$19	0xfdfb7a…
09-30 07:17:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xe200ec…
09-30 07:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xc7436a…
09-30 06:55:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x1bf9c0…
09-30 06:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xc091bd…
09-30 06:49:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xd56b27…
09-30 06:49:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xff9137…
09-30 06:48:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x5d97f4…
09-30 06:47:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xc193bf…
09-30 06:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x5d27dc…
09-30 06:46:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xcdbdc1…
09-30 06:46:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x0c4627…
09-30 06:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xd5b6c6…
09-30 06:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5a6c12…
09-30 06:44:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x14e169…
09-30 06:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x22cc63…
09-30 06:44:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xe36a98…
09-30 06:42:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x0ff920…
09-30 06:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x5ffd39…
09-30 06:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xedf9fb…
09-30 06:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x3d4fc6…
09-30 06:36:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x1f2b8f…
09-30 06:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x8399de…
09-30 06:33:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x63fee2…
09-30 06:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xdda1b4…
09-30 06:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x8c0622…
09-30 06:31:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xca47c8…
09-30 06:24:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xa129ed…
09-30 06:23:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x004e00…
09-30 06:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xdf858a…
09-30 06:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x23db8c…
09-30 06:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	8	56¢	$5	0x7efe42…
09-30 05:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x0f0bb2…
09-30 04:51:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on September 30?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xeb30ac…
09-30 04:17:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on September 30?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x68c15b…
09-30 03:37:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on September 30?	No	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0xc41b60…
09-30 03:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on September 30?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x03addb…
09-30 02:19:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on September 30?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x6144a2…
09-30 02:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x660446…
09-30 02:13:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	171	1¢	$1	0x0b2236…
09-29 06:37:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 29?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xb52bee…
09-29 03:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 29?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xfc3e6f…
09-28 23:50:02	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x9e9061…
09-28 15:47:11	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x50c5c6…
09-28 15:46:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x3bb1bd…
09-28 15:45:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x567cbe…
09-28 15:44:05	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x063ad6…
09-28 15:43:23	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xfb56fb…
09-28 15:43:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	89¢	$14	0x1f7e95…
09-28 15:36:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x631966…
09-28 15:34:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	18¢	$2	0x6d963c…
09-28 15:27:56	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x6334c3…
09-28 15:24:47	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x6d670e…
09-28 15:23:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x51da77…
09-28 15:21:23	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	30¢	$8	0xf863b4…
09-28 15:18:42	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x3568ee…
09-28 14:51:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	55¢	$5	0x08fcc6…
09-28 14:50:11	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xfc7958…
09-28 14:42:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0x676569…
09-28 14:41:05	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x039994…
09-28 14:40:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x759053…
09-28 14:25:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x635664…
09-28 14:24:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x037b34…
09-28 13:29:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x7549ed…
09-28 13:16:02	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x14ed8f…
09-28 12:58:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xee93da…
09-28 12:45:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x00683d…
09-28 12:30:05	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x175ca8…
09-28 10:11:02	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x924931…
09-28 07:21:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x5b9c3d…
09-28 07:20:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xa17cd2…
09-28 07:20:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x6fef6c…
09-28 07:18:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xb9b28a…
09-28 07:17:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xf9346b…
09-28 07:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x6204c2…
09-28 06:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x0f1400…
09-28 06:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2fb716…
09-28 06:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x3327b9…
09-28 02:26:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb6ba30…
09-28 02:26:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 28?	No	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x07b95c…
09-24 03:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x0b58a8…
09-24 02:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x4bfe17…
09-24 01:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xeb95c3…
09-23 08:27:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 23?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4dcaed…
09-23 08:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0xdf0c74…
09-23 06:46:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xd83225…
09-23 06:41:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xe694db…
09-23 06:36:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x3771f5…
09-23 06:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf1ea89…
09-23 06:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x09211a…
09-23 06:31:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xfc7323…
09-23 06:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 23?	Yes	SELL	4	67¢	$2	0x2d087f…
09-23 06:29:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 23?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdaff8f…
09-23 06:07:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 23?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7025ff…
09-23 04:20:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x39b533…
09-23 03:58:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xeba7a3…
09-23 03:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x459349…
05-31 00:53:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xeffe77…
05-31 00:51:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xfd989a…
05-30 23:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on May 30?	No	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x7a8a45…