Runny-Crow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

87.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$73

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$31

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-10 04:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

88% 67% $-4

Politics

7% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (1)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 10?	Yes	+21	$17	85¢	$18	+$1	05-10 04:54
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	+7	$5	70¢	$5	+$0	05-10 01:53
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 10?	Yes	+7	$3	51¢	$4	+$1	05-10 04:36
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	Yes	-7	$-4	50¢	$-4	+$0	05-07 11:58
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 10?	Yes	+3	$1	12¢	$0	$-1	05-10 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 10?	Yes	+34	$2	0¢	$0	$-2	05-10 02:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 04:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xef52e9…
05-10 04:53:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x018da7…
05-10 04:41:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xcf4860…
05-10 04:41:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xc20180…
05-10 04:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x133a55…
05-10 04:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x555600…
05-10 02:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb8a24f…
05-10 02:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xeeeeb6…
05-10 01:53:46	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x9deb1d…
05-09 05:39:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on May 9?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x31dc28…
05-08 09:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xd39706…
05-08 08:35:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x26787d…
05-08 08:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x851932…
05-08 08:25:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb13fa4…
05-08 08:24:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7de20d…
05-07 11:58:05	Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x54a625…
05-06 04:19:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x7d5d66…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 8?	4	$35	36	0	+36	Yes	+$1	05-08 08:35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 10?	4	$17	21	0	+21	open	—	05-10 04:54
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 9?	1	$5	18	0	+18	No	$-5	05-08 09:46
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-10 01:53
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	1	$4	0	7	-7	open	—	05-07 11:58
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 10?	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	05-10 04:36
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 10?	2	$2	34	0	+34	open	—	05-10 02:46
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on May 9?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-09 05:39
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 10?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-10 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 6?	1	$0	0	25	-25	No	+$0	05-06 04:19