Confused-Chasm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

48.3%

Resolved

257

Trades

270

lifetime

Volume

$636

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-21

last 05-11 15:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 46% -$36

Other

7% 50% +$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-11).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes		+11	$3	6¢	$1	-$2	04-29 15:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 09:10 UTC	2	$7	15	+15	Up	-$7	04-24 09:07
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 17:35 UTC	3	$7	13	+13	Up	-$7	04-24 17:35
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 16:20 UTC	1	$7	13	+13	Up	-$7	04-24 16:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 09:10 UTC	1	$7	14	+14	Up	-$7	04-24 09:09
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 08:05 UTC	1	$6	13	+13	Down	+$6	04-24 08:04
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 13:55 UTC	1	$6	13	+13	Up	-$6	04-24 13:52
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 08:05 UTC	1	$6	12	+12	Down	+$6	04-24 08:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 13:55 UTC	1	$6	13	+13	Up	-$6	04-24 13:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 08:45 UTC	1	$6	12	+12	Up	-$6	04-24 08:45
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 13:45 UTC	1	$6	12	+12	Down	+$6	04-24 13:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 08:05 UTC	1	$6	13	+13	Down	+$7	04-24 08:04
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 08:20 UTC	1	$6	12	+12	Up	+$6	04-24 08:18
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 13:35 UTC	1	$6	12	+12	Down	+$6	04-24 13:33
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 08:50 UTC	1	$6	12	+12	Up	+$6	04-24 08:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 08:05 UTC	1	$6	12	+12	Up	-$6	04-24 08:04
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 13:45 UTC	1	$6	12	+12	Down	+$6	04-24 13:42
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 08:40 UTC	1	$6	11	+11	Down	+$6	04-24 08:36
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$5	10	+10	Down	+$5	04-25 01:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 16:25 UTC	1	$5	11	+11	Down	+$5	04-24 16:18
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 13:35 UTC	1	$5	10	+10	Down	+$5	04-24 13:32
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 08:40 UTC	1	$5	10	+10	Down	+$5	04-24 08:36
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 09:00 UTC	1	$5	10	+10	Down	+$5	04-24 08:58
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 08:50 UTC	1	$5	10	+10	Down	-$5	04-24 08:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 08:55 UTC	1	$5	10	+10	Down	-$5	04-24 08:50
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 08:45 UTC	2	$5	18	+18	Up	-$5	04-24 08:48
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 08:55 UTC	1	$5	9	+9	Down	-$5	04-24 08:50
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 08:10 UTC	1	$4	9	+9	Up	-$4	04-24 08:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 13:25 UTC	1	$4	8	+8	Down	+$4	04-24 13:24
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 16:40 UTC	1	$4	8	+8	Down	-$4	04-21 16:38
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 08:25 UTC	1	$4	8	+8	Down	-$4	04-24 08:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 15:17:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x42bf2b…
05-11 15:16:49	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb796ab…
05-11 15:16:44	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5dcc6e…
05-11 15:11:52	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x158802…
05-11 15:01:53	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x73bf32…
05-11 14:56:33	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0578d3…
05-06 13:21:40	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe0a0d3…
05-06 13:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0xd0cedd…
05-06 12:56:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0x2a0ec3…
05-06 12:51:56	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x0459a3…
05-06 12:48:38	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xa6b1ed…
05-06 12:37:12	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xa3299c…
05-06 12:36:32	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0xf35b70…
05-06 12:36:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0x3f7e77…
05-06 12:33:04	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7b3600…
05-06 12:27:32	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x07f708…
05-06 12:22:40	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xdd0905…
05-06 12:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa51d2c…
05-06 12:14:36	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x09703c…
05-06 12:13:54	BNB Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x2e9bdc…
05-06 12:05:18	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x13c93d…
05-06 12:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x42f66d…
05-05 13:21:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8c59c9…
05-05 13:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x14a6d8…
04-30 17:45:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1247e9…
04-30 15:10:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x07fb0c…
04-30 14:31:46	XRP Up or Down - April 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x091956…
04-30 14:23:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6407e2…
04-30 14:12:08	Solana Up or Down - April 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xa408fa…
04-30 13:44:00	XRP Up or Down - April 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4ea560…
04-30 13:27:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x558cae…
04-30 11:41:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x844e17…
04-30 11:12:40	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd82fa3…
04-30 10:34:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6d8f45…
04-30 10:04:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb0be94…
04-30 09:40:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc3bcc2…
04-29 15:11:50	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xd1ba94…
04-29 15:10:32	Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xfee4a2…
04-28 07:33:54	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	22¢	$1	0x273513…
04-28 07:31:52	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	24¢	$1	0x0e1bc7…
04-28 07:31:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf15ee0…
04-28 07:31:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5e67a0…
04-28 07:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x30afdb…
04-28 07:26:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfdfe0d…
04-28 07:17:14	Solana Up or Down - April 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0x9ed7ce…
04-28 07:17:14	XRP Up or Down - April 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x9c1228…
04-27 08:10:16	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa0a501…
04-27 08:09:38	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x501f65…
04-27 08:00:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa780b1…
04-27 08:00:10	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x98ae03…
04-27 07:59:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5f41d9…
04-27 07:59:30	BNB Up or Down - April 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x0718a2…
04-27 07:58:18	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x3c2062…
04-27 07:44:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x08b902…
04-26 16:46:46	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x5433e2…
04-26 16:40:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x863c06…
04-26 16:22:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0xb8bacf…
04-26 15:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x50e544…
04-26 14:48:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbf133f…
04-26 14:46:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x6d0fcc…
04-26 14:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x4d023c…
04-26 14:19:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xef7116…
04-26 14:19:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xddee2b…
04-26 12:49:06	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xfd0bfe…
04-26 12:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x5db02d…
04-26 12:32:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x0e1532…
04-25 09:29:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6c33a1…
04-25 08:31:20	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x452b9c…
04-25 08:20:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x003718…
04-25 07:35:18	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xe67b34…
04-25 07:25:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x4e9f9c…
04-25 06:52:56	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x466a18…
04-25 06:36:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1e5b3b…
04-25 06:34:36	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x85bb15…
04-25 06:03:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x54cf8c…
04-25 05:03:00	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x579187…
04-25 04:44:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x4d89cf…
04-25 03:35:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc5e963…
04-25 02:43:12	XRP Up or Down - April 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x588b41…
04-25 02:27:40	XRP Up or Down - April 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x290005…
04-25 02:04:00	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9c3540…
04-25 01:38:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x9208da…
04-25 01:37:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x697e56…
04-25 01:17:44	XRP Up or Down - April 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xc9c657…
04-25 01:16:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x83708e…
04-25 00:26:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8b4f0f…
04-24 22:46:26	Solana Up or Down - April 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x10c0ce…
04-24 22:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xd97932…
04-24 22:40:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xc13175…
04-24 22:33:44	XRP Up or Down - April 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xffeea5…
04-24 22:32:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x439d29…
04-24 21:18:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xfb6b1e…
04-24 21:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xea25a2…
04-24 21:16:14	BNB Up or Down - April 24, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x53777c…
04-24 21:16:14	XRP Up or Down - April 24, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x20186c…
04-24 20:37:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xd4e427…
04-24 20:36:06	XRP Up or Down - April 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0153aa…
04-24 20:35:22	Solana Up or Down - April 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe5a7b0…
04-24 20:34:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x86794f…
04-24 20:10:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x01582d…