Fortunate-Pickaxe-Attenuation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$54

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

60.0%

Resolved

614

Trades

1,028

lifetime

Volume

$3.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 11-03 01:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Other

100% 46% +$54

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	Liquid		+7	$3	20¢	$1	-$2	11-03 01:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will FURIA Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	5	$174	212	212	+0	Yes	+$10	10-31 15:40
Will Nemiga Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	4	$169	332	332	+0	No	+$29	10-30 14:09
Will BC.Game Esports qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?	4	$94	84	84	+0	open	—	10-02 07:50
Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	6	$66	66	66	+0	No	+$9	10-29 13:53
Map Handicap: Noir Verse (-1.5) vs MORROW (+1.5)	8	$66	62	62	+0	cancelled	-$2	10-05 13:55
Will Ninjas in Pyjamas qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?	6	$63	61	61	+0	open	—	10-13 01:08
cs2 biga maybe 2026 09 30	2	$50	33	33	+0	maybe	+$10	09-30 13:00
cs2 leo2 noirve 2026 09 28	5	$38	28	28	+0	Noir Verse	+$2	09-28 14:53
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Sökerorg (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #8 Group D	3	$35	37	20	+17	ENCE	-$12	10-08 14:19
Will 1w Team qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?	2	$26	19	19	+0	open	—	10-10 17:29
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs MORROW (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A	4	$23	20	13	+7	Just Players	+$3	10-06 10:41
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs DENDELE CS (BO5) - FRAG University Playoffs	4	$22	24	24	+0	Wildcard	+$14	10-12 03:44
Will LOUD win VALORANT Champions 2026?	2	$22	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	10-17 13:02
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group A	4	$21	122	122	+0	NIP	-$1	10-12 12:51
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	4	$21	20	20	+0	Team WE	+$7	10-15 13:07
cs2 meg1 ep 2026 09 30	3	$21	25	15	+10	eternal premium	+$7	09-30 13:03
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO5) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs	4	$21	14	14	+0	Legacy	+$7	09-13 12:31
Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs	6	$20	31	31	+0	LOUD	+$2	10-18 10:23
cs2 rustec mellre 2026 10 14	4	$20	23	23	+0	ex-RUSTEC	+$2	10-14 13:28
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #10 Group Stage	2	$19	13	13	+0	Noir Verse	+$7	10-01 16:25
Counter-Strike: mellren vs Gothic (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B	2	$19	13	13	+0	mellren	+$7	10-06 21:52
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)	4	$19	18	18	+0	MOUZ	+$3	10-26 09:58
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)	2	$17	12	12	+0	FURIA	+$7	10-07 13:44
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	4	$16	13	13	+0	Vitality	-$2	10-29 12:33
cs2 mellre tsa 2026 10 04	4	$16	19	19	+0	Spirit Academy	-$2	10-04 12:45
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C	3	$15	11	11	+0	Paper Rex	+$3	09-24 11:20
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	3	$15	16	8	+8	MOUZ	-$5	10-05 13:57
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	2	$15	12	12	+0	PARIVISION	+$5	10-06 14:44
cs2 ctrles psna 2026 10 04	3	$14	12	12	+0	Passion Academy	+$2	10-04 12:08
Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	2	$14	14	14	+0	Yes	+$4	10-11 07:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 01:59:25	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	Liquid	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x6c2743…
11-02 11:46:28	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Team Falcons	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xb2b10e…
11-02 10:15:01	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner	FaZe	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xda2cc7…
11-02 10:04:43	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner	FaZe	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x39141a…
11-02 09:49:57	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner	FaZe	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x827c6b…
11-02 09:22:24	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner	FaZe	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2f5632…
11-02 09:06:52	Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Under	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xd05e3d…
11-02 08:57:52	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FaZe	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0xcc85c9…
11-02 08:45:10	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FaZe	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb08169…
11-02 06:21:58	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xada4e1…
11-02 06:15:33	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 - Map 1 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xb7ba3f…
11-02 06:10:34	Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)	G2	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0xc34406…
11-02 06:02:52	Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)	G2	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x1fafb3…
11-02 05:39:31	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x5b5efb…
11-02 03:16:06	Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Heroic	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x323873…
11-02 00:53:43	Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Heroic	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf12965…
11-01 22:35:27	Will 100 Thieves qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xef1b1f…
11-01 22:21:54	Map Handicap: DEN (-1.5) vs Imperial (+1.5)	DENDELE CS	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0x053667…
11-01 20:29:12	Counter-Strike: Metizport vs WBT Academy (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs	WBT Academy	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x61446d…
11-01 20:02:03	Map Handicap: DEN (-1.5) vs Imperial (+1.5)	DENDELE CS	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x3959f4…
11-01 19:33:46	Counter-Strike: Metizport vs WBT Academy (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs	WBT Academy	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x63bea8…
11-01 12:37:40	Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Metizport - Map 2 Winner	JiJieHao	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xc08cf5…
11-01 12:28:36	Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Metizport - Map 2 Winner	JiJieHao	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x95a2a0…
10-31 23:26:55	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0xb0ec66…
10-31 23:23:36	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf6c486…
10-31 22:41:48	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2bf4a4…
10-31 22:12:24	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x7d7b38…
10-31 17:49:57	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner	Movistar KOI	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x8a94a2…
10-31 17:49:22	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner	Karmine Corp	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xf74dcf…
10-31 17:43:46	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner	Karmine Corp	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xcf7499…
10-31 15:40:42	Will FURIA Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x2f9b96…
10-31 15:39:43	Will FURIA Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0x17b4c0…
10-31 14:35:52	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA - Map 4 Winner	FURIA	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x28baf7…
10-31 13:35:12	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA - Map 4 Winner	FURIA	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x48ac59…
10-31 12:43:58	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA - Map 3 Winner	FURIA	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb7857d…
10-31 12:42:52	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Nemiga	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x6ece9e…
10-31 09:34:13	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Vitality	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0x31f779…
10-31 09:30:43	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x7d8984…
10-31 04:23:45	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Nemiga	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xd7cf0d…
10-30 15:19:31	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x99d426…
10-30 14:09:52	Will Nemiga Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	SELL	332	30¢	$99	0xdd5f31…
10-30 14:06:37	Will Nemiga Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	25¢	$17	0x06cf2f…
10-30 13:57:36	Will Nemiga Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xbd8173…
10-30 13:57:01	Will Nemiga Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	251	20¢	$50	0xe315fc…
10-30 12:56:01	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xd65364…
10-30 12:20:43	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xb8088a…
10-30 12:14:27	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)	Vitality	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0x7feac0…
10-30 12:00:33	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x89f174…
10-30 04:54:33	Counter-Strike: NEXVOID vs FlyQuest (BO3) - DFRAG Invitational Playoffs	NEXVOID	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xff0b1f…
10-30 04:53:24	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x826a29…
10-29 21:38:42	Will FURIA Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	SELL	141	15¢	$21	0x8cafd2…
10-29 17:29:05	Will FURIA Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0xf68570…
10-29 15:53:52	Will FURIA Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	8¢	$10	0xd8feb0…
10-29 15:50:11	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner	BetBoom Team	SELL	4	12¢	$0	0xc76b35…
10-29 15:46:20	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7bd19b…
10-29 15:41:46	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	BetBoom Team	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x0d7da0…
10-29 15:21:31	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	BetBoom Team	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x932aca…
10-29 13:53:56	Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	61¢	$10	0xd2ada5…
10-29 13:27:26	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x256712…
10-29 13:02:22	Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	55¢	$27	0x3d5fb2…
10-29 12:59:55	Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9384ad…
10-29 12:58:38	Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xf21276…
10-29 12:55:53	Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xf0e82d…
10-29 12:39:40	Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x7e598b…
10-29 12:33:25	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Vitality	SELL	6	59¢	$3	0xda48a5…
10-29 12:10:07	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x9a53b6…
10-29 11:04:37	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xbe7279…
10-29 10:51:46	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Vitality	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0x3f2de8…
10-29 10:20:55	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x3b0403…
10-29 10:18:29	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x936f46…
10-29 09:25:20	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	FUT Esports	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xd33fce…
10-29 09:22:37	Will FUT Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	9¢	$3	0x8a6dc4…
10-29 09:22:22	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	FUT Esports	SELL	7	35¢	$2	0x70f057…
10-29 09:19:49	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	FUT Esports	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xb6b2ef…
10-29 07:07:29	Will FUT Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0xcc55e0…
10-29 07:06:07	Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)	FUT Esports	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x05a931…
10-29 06:11:58	Will 5star eSports qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xfe83fa…
10-28 16:59:04	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0x2db88e…
10-28 16:34:37	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x7df9e2…
10-28 16:18:08	Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Spirit	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x6f02ea…
10-28 15:53:52	Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Spirit	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x14a572…
10-28 15:28:38	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	Liquid	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x127b3b…
10-28 14:42:19	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	Liquid	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2eafd1…
10-28 11:32:04	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner	Nemiga	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x11c8d9…
10-28 11:00:46	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner	Nemiga	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x653eb1…
10-28 08:35:31	Counter-Strike: B8 vs Alliance (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A	B8	SELL	6	59¢	$3	0x8f0e56…
10-28 06:02:10	Counter-Strike: B8 vs Alliance (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A	B8	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x5b7231…
10-27 16:08:45	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x72a3e3…
10-27 16:05:53	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	MOUZ	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x77a21a…
10-27 14:26:05	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	MOUZ	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x137ae6…
10-27 13:12:15	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	TheMongolz	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x2a3d73…
10-27 12:42:38	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	TheMongolz	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x218666…
10-27 11:36:14	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Nemiga	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0xf2913b…
10-27 02:50:29	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Nemiga	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xd98564…
10-26 16:48:42	Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs DENDELE CS (+1.5)	G2	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x8550bd…
10-26 16:27:29	Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs DENDELE CS (+1.5)	G2	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xbd4aeb…
10-26 15:59:20	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner	Liquid	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x4c18fe…
10-26 15:41:30	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	SELL	6	57¢	$4	0x3a31ae…
10-26 14:32:26	Will Legacy Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	1¢	$1	0xc1de7f…
10-26 14:27:03	Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	Legacy	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xc191c6…