Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

58.6%

Resolved

2,619

Trades

4,627

lifetime

Volume

$26.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-01

last 11-14 11:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 105 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 60% +$95

Other

2% 46% -$80

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 177 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 14?	Yes		+6	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	11-14 06:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 04:40 UTC	5	$78	216	0	+216	Down	-$78	08-17 04:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:30 UTC	9	$76	112	0	+112	Down	+$36	08-02 07:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 01:45 UTC	9	$72	138	0	+138	Down	+$18	08-03 01:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:40 UTC	21	$70	202	0	+202	Up	-$70	10-14 23:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 00:10 UTC	7	$67	113	0	+113	Up	+$31	08-02 00:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 03:35 UTC	18	$67	69	59	+10	Down	-$1	03-03 03:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:10 UTC	10	$66	134	0	+134	Up	-$5	08-02 07:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 00:40 UTC	7	$65	116	0	+116	Down	-$18	08-02 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 07:05 UTC	8	$65	123	0	+123	Down	+$30	08-03 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	11	$65	119	0	+119	Down	-$48	10-01 23:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 10:40 UTC	9	$64	167	0	+167	Up	-$24	08-01 10:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 05:55 UTC	7	$62	162	0	+162	Up	+$68	08-15 05:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 04:05 UTC	10	$61	124	0	+124	Up	-$8	08-01 04:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 15:55 UTC	8	$60	94	0	+94	Down	-$45	08-01 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	7	$59	107	0	+107	Up	-$1	08-02 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 14:40 UTC	6	$57	147	0	+147	Up	+$11	08-01 14:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 02:55 UTC	4	$56	125	0	+125	Up	-$22	08-01 02:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 11:35 UTC	7	$52	508	0	+508	Up	+$2	08-01 11:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 05:40 UTC	6	$52	92	0	+92	Down	-$52	08-02 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	13	$52	71	0	+71	Up	+$19	10-25 18:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 02:15 UTC	6	$52	118	0	+118	Up	-$37	08-01 02:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 05:55 UTC	8	$49	88	0	+88	Up	+$17	08-02 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	4	$49	76	0	+76	Down	-$49	07-29 05:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 23:15 UTC	8	$48	100	0	+100	Up	+$41	08-07 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	4	$48	90	0	+90	Down	-$1	07-29 00:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 18:35 UTC	3	$48	90	0	+90	Down	+$42	08-08 18:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 11:35 UTC	7	$48	95	0	+95	Down	+$47	07-28 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	5	$48	101	0	+101	Up	+$18	07-29 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 13:30 UTC	7	$48	78	0	+78	Up	+$17	08-02 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 22:25 UTC	4	$48	77	0	+77	Down	+$29	08-08 22:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 11:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xdf725d…
11-14 10:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x500124…
11-14 09:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xf0fe82…
11-14 09:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x6ffb5d…
11-14 09:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x6a6055…
11-14 09:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x34b965…
11-14 09:26:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-14 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xcb8810…
11-14 09:15:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-14 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x92e86b…
11-14 06:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xe9a1f4…
11-14 02:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xb995a1…
11-14 00:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xc7f04a…
11-13 23:55:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x633bb9…
11-13 23:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc8840a…
11-13 23:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x5dfa4e…
11-13 23:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x1f79d3…
11-13 23:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xf033f6…
11-13 23:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xb53910…
11-13 23:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x955d70…
11-13 23:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x543e56…
11-13 23:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0x44fb44…
11-13 23:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x2b6cf1…
11-13 19:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xb0aa65…
11-13 19:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0xf0c921…
11-13 19:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	27¢	$3	0x250473…
11-13 19:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x115375…
11-13 14:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xafb0a3…
11-13 13:39:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on November 14?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8691bd…
11-13 13:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xcf3181…
11-13 13:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0xc1ec6c…
11-13 13:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x27d19b…
11-13 13:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xb3778c…
11-13 11:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0xbe4483…
11-13 10:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 13?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1e2230…
11-13 07:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xe2f97a…
11-13 07:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xe3a3fb…
11-13 02:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x6d1a68…
11-13 02:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x786d9f…
11-13 02:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x4bf431…
11-13 02:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x7fe2b7…
11-13 02:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x0841b3…
11-13 02:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0x658d74…
11-13 02:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x4351f9…
11-13 02:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0x3d1c7b…
11-13 02:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0xef5d07…
11-13 02:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xeb20e8…
11-13 02:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x6c5611…
11-12 22:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x209469…
11-12 22:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xa5e843…
11-12 22:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x7ff9dc…
11-12 22:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x35aaa5…
11-12 22:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0xf0a992…
11-12 22:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xc7adc2…
11-12 22:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa04b5a…
11-12 22:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0c6506…
11-12 21:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf09d21…
11-12 20:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x7be153…
11-12 11:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x529692…
11-12 04:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0f1642…
11-12 01:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0xba3eb9…
11-12 01:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0x5fe70c…
11-12 01:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x062d24…
11-12 01:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf65c79…
11-12 01:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xf01a64…
11-12 01:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x866411…
11-12 01:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x45186e…
11-12 01:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xada95a…
11-12 01:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xbc7bbf…
11-12 01:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x05532d…
11-12 01:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x08ec0f…
11-12 01:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xbc8f19…
11-12 01:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x7ea944…
11-12 00:28:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xa6fc66…
11-11 19:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	23¢	$3	0x4f08b9…
11-11 19:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0x4c8f5e…
11-11 19:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0xff193f…
11-11 15:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x77c995…
11-11 15:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x2ca10f…
11-11 11:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xc8bfc5…
11-11 11:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xa334f4…
11-11 09:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x7908de…
11-11 09:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x4f6985…
11-11 08:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x1da47b…
11-11 08:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x7dcb0b…
11-11 08:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0xfe0ada…
11-11 08:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	25¢	$4	0xb2e70a…
11-11 08:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0xb21671…
11-11 08:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x90495f…
11-11 08:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xe32a72…
11-11 08:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x06e9d2…
11-11 08:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0xffd962…
11-11 08:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x7f93b4…
11-10 23:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x28144d…
11-10 22:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x2d8b69…
11-10 21:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xcb3bce…
11-10 21:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x69cab7…
11-10 14:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x40764b…
11-10 13:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xccc4ae…
11-10 13:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xaebc18…
11-10 13:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x53885e…
11-10 11:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xdf0937…