Intent-Kickoff — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.7%

Resolved

Trades

124

lifetime

Volume

$1.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 06-15 00:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 53% $-13

Sports

7% 100% +$67

Other

4% 0% $-19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$103	86	86	+0	Sean Strickland	+$67	05-10 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$79	64	64	+0	Up	+$29	05-10 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$78	66	52	+14	Down	+$26	05-10 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$77	52	52	+0	Up	+$27	05-10 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	2	$71	51	51	+0	Down	+$21	05-10 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$70	45	45	+0	Up	+$20	05-10 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$65	40	40	+0	Up	+$15	05-11 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	2	$65	41	41	+0	Up	+$15	05-10 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$61	37	36	+0	Down	+$11	05-10 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	3	$60	75	50	+25	Up	+$8	05-11 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$57	32	32	+0	Up	+$7	05-10 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$56	31	31	+0	Down	+$6	05-10 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$55	30	30	+0	Up	+$5	05-10 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$52	27	27	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$52	27	27	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$50	45	45	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 21:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$50	26	26	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	4	$35	29	29	+0	Down	+$5	05-11 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	4	$35	45	21	+24	Up	$-9	05-10 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	4	$27	21	21	+0	Up	$-3	05-11 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$25	50	0	+50	Up	$-25	05-10 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	1	$25	46	0	+46	Down	$-25	05-10 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$25	46	0	+46	Up	+$21	05-10 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$25	60	0	+60	Up	$-25	05-10 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$25	52	0	+52	Up	$-25	05-10 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$25	42	0	+42	Up	$-25	05-10 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	1	$25	89	0	+89	Up	$-25	05-10 23:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$25	41	0	+41	Down	$-25	05-11 03:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	1	$25	29	0	+29	Up	+$4	05-10 07:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$25	27	0	+27	Down	+$2	05-10 21:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 00:12:21	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14	Michael Chandler	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x4fa5e0…
06-14 00:08:09	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 corners total 7pt5	Over	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x7b423f…
06-13 21:20:55	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 btts	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0xdebe32…
06-13 21:19:10	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x11bdb8…
06-12 23:40:43	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x0af266…
06-12 20:59:06	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14	Michael Chandler	SELL	18	16¢	$3	0x477f61…
06-12 15:58:00	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xd0f7e3…
06-12 05:12:15	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14	Michael Chandler	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xbda301…
06-11 22:05:16	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x522872…
05-30 19:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x806da9…
05-30 19:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x2ae199…
05-30 18:43:41	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb61bc8…
05-22 07:24:51	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8f3e30…
05-17 19:07:33	Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x4edc90…
05-17 19:02:58	Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x0bf50b…
05-17 18:59:54	Ferran Torres: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x05d8ac…
05-16 00:46:50	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0x6b748c…
05-15 04:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xd952ee…
05-15 04:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8e4da8…
05-15 04:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6e9dfb…
05-14 01:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa97345…
05-14 01:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x75674f…
05-14 01:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x603f99…
05-14 01:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc86920…
05-14 01:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0959e7…
05-14 01:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2e1560…
05-14 01:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x685eb2…
05-14 01:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x23590a…
05-14 01:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbb88ad…
05-14 00:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x43c29d…
05-12 02:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xab1278…
05-12 02:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x310fdb…
05-12 02:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x22374f…
05-11 19:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb2a162…
05-11 18:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xe456e5…
05-11 18:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x6221d2…
05-11 18:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xafd17d…
05-11 18:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xed096d…
05-11 18:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0x749f83…
05-11 18:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xc87daf…
05-11 18:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x0895dd…
05-11 18:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x158282…
05-11 18:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x0bd60a…
05-11 18:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x09d4e6…
05-11 18:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x7a7279…
05-11 17:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x17d77a…
05-11 17:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x918144…
05-11 17:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0x3b9e46…
05-11 17:46:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x56a314…
05-11 17:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x034f03…
05-11 17:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xe83797…
05-11 17:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x825e33…
05-11 03:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x14cf1c…
05-11 03:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xdb2539…
05-11 03:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x1625a6…
05-10 23:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x9e538e…
05-10 23:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf5d1a8…
05-10 23:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	64	85¢	$54	0xbf2835…
05-10 23:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x0e79e1…
05-10 23:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xe09769…
05-10 22:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x1ac15d…
05-10 22:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x9787aa…
05-10 22:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x9032c0…
05-10 22:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xb8eb25…
05-10 22:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x19192d…
05-10 22:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x88be45…
05-10 22:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0xdaad45…
05-10 22:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x842bf5…
05-10 22:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xbd5fc1…
05-10 22:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x9f1077…
05-10 22:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xd42185…
05-10 22:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xbfc7e2…
05-10 22:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0xae4278…
05-10 22:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xe2713b…
05-10 21:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xc76264…
05-10 21:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x33394d…
05-10 21:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x3faa68…
05-10 21:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0x5ab146…
05-10 21:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xe4ba47…
05-10 21:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x8f3933…
05-10 21:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x9cd427…
05-10 21:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	45	57¢	$25	0x91aa2b…
05-10 21:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x613aa9…
05-10 21:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x05f935…
05-10 21:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x18de30…
05-10 21:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xfeeff6…
05-10 21:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xdc6025…
05-10 19:44:30	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	24	64¢	$16	0x56c29b…
05-10 19:44:04	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x563acf…
05-10 17:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xeab0f8…
05-10 07:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x2e1788…
05-10 07:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xdb02b8…
05-10 07:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	21	39¢	$8	0xb6d5ac…
05-10 07:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0xf9b539…
05-10 07:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x0181d0…
05-10 07:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xafacf5…
05-10 06:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x6a54ba…
05-10 06:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0xb98862…
05-10 06:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x1d4627…
05-10 06:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	51	90¢	$46	0xf1e69c…