Spiteful-Barbeque — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$46

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

79.0%

Resolved

1,096

Trades

3,739

lifetime

Volume

$36.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$90

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-02 08:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 254 days

Categories

Other

76% 47% -$23

Politics

19% 43% -$29

Pop-Culture

2% 67% +$3

Sports

1% 28% -$1

Tech

1% 40% +$4

Crypto

0% 25% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No		+90	$82	99¢	$89	+$7	10-24 15:26
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes		+90	$6	1¢	$1	-$4	10-24 14:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	30	$1.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	+$27	01-22 12:40
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?	24	$869	579	579	+0	Yes	+$2	06-19 20:19
will phan van giang be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	2	$548	300	300	+0	No	+$1	01-21 08:17
nicols maduro released from custody by january 9 2026	29	$535	280	280	+0	No	+$1	01-05 00:29
will the bangladesh nationalist party bnp win between 200 and 249 seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	13	$459	235	235	+0	Yes	+$9	02-14 09:47
will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	7	$451	240	240	+0	Yes	+$0	07-15 07:44
will there be 10 12 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	4	$435	250	250	+0	Yes	+$2	01-26 16:47
will alex honnold not complete a free solo of taipei 101 by january 31	5	$344	200	200	+0	No	+$1	01-24 15:02
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?	13	$312	170	170	+0	open	—	09-15 01:42
us strike on nigeria by december 31 2025	2	$299	300	0	+300	No	+$1	01-01 06:51
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be at least 7.0%?	11	$272	145	145	+0	open	—	05-01 01:23
will sinners win the award for cinematic and box office achievement at the 83rd golden globes	14	$257	255	105	+150	Yes	+$2	01-12 02:53
spx opens up or down on january 22 2026	8	$252	200	200	+0	Up	-$2	01-22 06:15
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?	19	$221	296	157	+139	No	+$1	06-19 11:59
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	13	$217	160	100	+60	No	+$0	08-12 20:08
will the median home value in new york city be greater than 600000 by february 1	7	$215	130	100	+30	No	+$5	01-24 15:15
martin kabrhel 20260707142702014	5	$212	215	0	+215	No	+$3	07-24 06:20
will kendrick lamar win 0 grammys	11	$208	110	110	+0	No	+$6	02-02 01:15
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	16	$203	169	169	+0	No	-$1	05-27 01:47
will there be 1618 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	02-24 17:00
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	5	$200	121	100	+21	No	+$1	02-05 03:19
will the state of the union be 100 minutes or longer	6	$199	150	150	+0	Yes	+$1	02-25 03:51
coin up or down on april 8 2026	4	$198	200	200	+0	Down	+$2	04-09 07:28
will run away be the top global netflix show this week january 6 2026	11	$197	100	100	+0	No	+$1	01-06 19:54
will there be less than 8 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	8	$196	115	90	+25	No	+$2	02-23 01:00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 12?	3	$195	100	100	+0	No	+$0	06-10 17:41
Will Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	3	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	05-17 17:15
will jobs be the 2 us netflix movie this week	6	$190	157	50	+107	No	+$12	03-16 11:08
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	11	$189	323	148	+175	No	+$0	06-18 18:00
will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	2	$188	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	07-07 09:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 09:36:06	Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xa18c5f…
11-02 09:35:21	Will StepFun be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x55c551…
11-02 09:26:48	Will Z.ai have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xebe255…
11-02 09:23:09	Will Xiaomi have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x7cfde9…
11-02 09:21:36	Will Tencent have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x6844f3…
11-02 09:19:58	Will Meta have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x073756…
11-02 09:12:39	Will Qwen have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xd36316…
11-02 09:12:12	Will Meta have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x5efbf4…
11-02 09:07:00	Will Nvidia have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x4547ad…
11-02 09:03:51	will tencent have the second highest openrouter market share the week of november 2	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x42f0f0…
11-02 09:02:33	Will Anthropic have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x7b8a1a…
11-02 08:52:33	Will xAI have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of November 2?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x85a892…
11-02 08:43:03	will meta have the third highest openrouter market share the week of november 2	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x492481…
11-02 08:39:04	will anthropic have the third highest openrouter market share the week of november 2	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x857fb0…
11-02 08:39:04	will minimax have the third highest openrouter market share the week of november 2	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x372f9b…
11-02 08:38:03	will xai have the third highest openrouter market share the week of november 2	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x1cb832…
11-02 08:36:57	will anthropic have the second highest openrouter market share the week of november 2	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x610941…
11-02 08:33:43	will xiaomi have the third highest openrouter market share the week of november 2	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xea5916…
11-02 08:33:03	will tencent have the highest openrouter market share the week of november 2	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xc93770…
11-02 08:32:57	will xai have the third highest openrouter market share the week of november 2	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x0ad027…
11-02 07:53:45	will deepseek have the third highest openrouter market share the week of november 2	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x3fe867…
11-02 03:30:54	Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x0aa917…
11-02 03:30:06	Will StepFun be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xb65e38…
11-02 03:12:34	Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xe662e3…
11-02 03:12:22	Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x550b47…
11-02 02:40:52	Will StepFun be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x097f3e…
11-02 01:56:03	Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x937bc7…
10-31 02:05:24	Will Dua Lipa appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x7c8ebb…
10-31 02:04:27	Will Olivia Rodrigo appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x05de97…
10-30 19:53:55	Will Jay Z appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xe355c3…
10-30 19:50:03	Will Justin Bieber appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x62471a…
10-30 19:46:33	Will Harry Styles appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xc5078e…
10-30 19:46:28	Will Sabrina Carpenter appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xb973e5…
10-30 15:54:06	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa2137b…
10-30 14:04:01	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	90	3¢	$3	0x350308…
10-30 11:51:36	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x7704f2…
10-30 11:07:52	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xa9b9b5…
10-30 11:07:27	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x19d70e…
10-30 10:21:25	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x3f31eb…
10-30 10:15:18	Will Joint List win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	59	4¢	$2	0x066df9…
10-30 10:14:22	Will Joint List win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0x5109b4…
10-30 10:02:54	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xeaca8c…
10-30 09:48:10	Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x0c693d…
10-30 09:40:55	Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x683cf2…
10-30 07:54:21	Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$17	0x6685ca…
10-29 09:58:11	Israel tourism plunges below 40K by January?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xe043fc…
10-29 09:49:28	Israel tourism plunges below 40K by January?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x335bad…
10-28 19:16:56	Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x53bba2…
10-28 19:13:58	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4-4.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xae1b91…
10-28 19:13:58	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4-4.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xa52a19…
10-28 10:20:23	Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xa21c6d…
10-28 10:20:23	Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x8a7052…
10-28 07:42:02	Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x32f55e…
10-28 03:44:31	Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x2c9319…
10-27 09:35:56	Will CoStar Group (CSGP) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x999c8b…
10-27 02:35:17	Will Marco Rubio win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	No	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0x2d34e0…
10-27 02:21:32	Will Marco Rubio win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x5cc985…
10-26 21:00:11	Will CoStar Group (CSGP) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x427ecf…
10-26 16:32:32	Will Cata Coll finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0xaff1fa…
10-26 15:48:06	Will Tencent have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xa153db…
10-26 15:06:48	Will Tencent have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x61aadd…
10-26 15:05:42	Will Tencent have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x930d30…
10-26 13:33:24	Will Anthropic have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x2d8430…
10-26 13:19:24	Will Qwen have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x8a8748…
10-26 12:33:50	Will Qwen have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xc33b85…
10-26 12:33:27	Will Qwen have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe11438…
10-26 11:50:41	Will Anthropic have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x40bd99…
10-26 11:47:08	Will Xiaomi have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x2c3a2e…
10-26 11:35:09	Will Qwen have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x49a145…
10-26 10:01:21	Will Nvidia have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xf74ae1…
10-26 10:01:21	Will Xiaomi have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd7c527…
10-26 09:37:00	Will Meta have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x26fe69…
10-26 09:32:09	Will Meta have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x6dfb3e…
10-26 09:19:38	Will Meta have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x01f9b7…
10-26 09:18:45	Will Tencent have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x151b70…
10-26 08:55:44	Will Nvidia have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x0a47c6…
10-26 08:53:24	Will Nvidia have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xfe65d4…
10-26 08:50:56	Will Nvidia have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x0c4432…
10-26 08:24:20	Will Nvidia have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x2409a5…
10-26 08:14:20	Will Nvidia have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x47a447…
10-26 08:08:11	will tencent have the highest openrouter market share the week of october 26	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x405ad1…
10-26 07:55:09	Will Qwen have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0xdf1db5…
10-26 07:35:29	will qwen have the highest openrouter market share the week of october 26	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x91dad8…
10-26 03:22:48	Will Melvine Malard finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xed7282…
10-24 15:32:14	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x3ee027…
10-24 15:26:59	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	BUY	80	91¢	$72	0x8449b8…
10-24 15:26:44	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x9edf03…
10-24 15:25:11	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	SELL	62	8¢	$5	0x70cc7e…
10-24 15:25:06	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0xb6f123…
10-24 15:25:05	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0x48fbaf…
10-24 14:51:15	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	BUY	90	6¢	$6	0x311aca…
10-24 13:30:15	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	BUY	90	8¢	$7	0x4fd491…
10-24 06:28:20	Will CoStar Group (CSGP) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x280ee5…
10-24 05:04:05	Will CoStar Group (CSGP) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x00627c…
10-23 08:18:59	Will Manaka Matsukubo finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0x25f015…
10-23 06:20:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 23?	No	SELL	24	84¢	$21	0x3fdefc…
10-22 18:15:17	Will Momoko Tanikawa finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x656779…
10-22 04:50:20	Will Harry Shum Jr. be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x4f9445…
10-22 04:19:36	Will Amber Glenn be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xebfdcc…
10-22 03:45:30	Will Ezra Frech be eliminated in week 7 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x08e713…