Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.69K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.6%

Resolved

Trades

403

lifetime

Volume

$96.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$240

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-10 18:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Politics

49% 50% +$1,687

Other

33% 41% +$1,826

Sports

9% 67% -$516

Crypto

8% 50% +$460

Pop-Culture

0% 50% +$235

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-10).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	3	$13.0K	10,159	3,149	+7,010	No	+$95	03-02 17:27
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	14	$10.1K	8,943	11,943	-3,000	No	+$667	03-03 15:49
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	22	$6.5K	12,585	8,851	+3,734	No	+$150	01-26 14:43
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	13	$6.5K	3,800	3,800	+0	Yes	-$68	02-24 20:50
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?	44	$6.4K	3,250	5,480	-2,230	No	+$462	02-04 12:40
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	3	$6.0K	6,872	3,747	+3,125	Max Holloway	-$963	07-10 18:45
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	34	$5.1K	5,779	5,779	+0	No	-$34	03-03 16:26
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	11	$4.7K	4,500	4,500	+0	Yes	-$90	03-03 16:01
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	14	$3.8K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	-$147	03-02 17:39
spx up or down on february 17 2026	5	$3.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	Up	+$8	02-17 20:01
coin up or down on march 3 2026	8	$2.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	Down	-$1,008	03-03 20:08
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	24	$2.7K	0	3,565	-3,565	No	+$2,743	02-11 21:36
pltr up or down on february 13 2026	5	$2.7K	1,400	1,400	+0	Up	+$25	02-13 20:46
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	9	$2.5K	1,972	1,972	+0	Yes	+$1,315	02-01 00:34
pltr up or down on march 3 2026	7	$2.2K	2,000	2,000	+0	Up	-$1,582	03-03 19:52
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	9	$2.0K	2,281	915	+1,366	Yes	+$456	03-02 16:42
will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	9	$2.0K	1,133	1,133	+0	No	-$2	02-12 15:51
nflx up or down on february 13 2026	9	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	+$0	02-13 20:49
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	5	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$12	02-12 15:49
will the united states win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	10	$1.5K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$12	02-11 21:38
lighter market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 332	1	$1.4K	0	1,450	-1,450	Yes	-$1	01-01 15:05
nvda up or down on march 3 2026	4	$945	1,000	27	+973	Down	+$78	03-03 18:11
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$876	534	534	+0	No	$0	02-11 22:43
hood up or down on february 17 2026	16	$562	417	393	+24	Down	+$0	02-17 20:55
nvda up or down on february 12 2026	7	$526	280	280	+0	Down	+$0	02-12 20:32
lol blg hle1 2026 07 09	1	$512	1,346	0	+1,346	Bilibili Gaming	+$835	07-08 10:59
will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by march 31	9	$438	834	834	+0	No	-$88	03-03 16:10
open up or down on february 19 2026	2	$378	200	200	+0	Up	+$6	02-19 20:53
nba chi mil 2026 02 03 spread away 2pt5	2	$320	610	0	+610	Bucks	-$320	02-03 22:10
nba nop cha 2026 02 02 spread home 7pt5	2	$279	507	0	+507	Pelicans	+$228	02-02 12:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 18:45:05	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	3,125	32¢	$1,000	0x180527…
07-10 11:02:52	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	SELL	3,747	67¢	$2,510	0xb540db…
07-09 10:31:58	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	3,747	66¢	$2,473	0xf76d6a…
07-08 10:59:50	lol blg hle1 2026 07 09	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	1,346	38¢	$512	0x0a80ba…
03-03 20:08:55	coin up or down on march 3 2026	Down	SELL	36	59¢	$21	0xc5267c…
03-03 20:07:43	coin up or down on march 3 2026	Down	SELL	250	57¢	$142	0x9716b2…
03-03 20:03:37	coin up or down on march 3 2026	Down	SELL	300	40¢	$120	0xb123b3…
03-03 20:02:31	coin up or down on march 3 2026	Down	SELL	1,300	38¢	$497	0x52cb0d…
03-03 19:52:39	pltr up or down on march 3 2026	Down	SELL	254	11¢	$28	0x03a156…
03-03 19:50:49	pltr up or down on march 3 2026	Down	SELL	1,257	11¢	$136	0x3034c6…
03-03 19:46:59	pltr up or down on march 3 2026	Down	SELL	152	21¢	$31	0xc388ba…
03-03 19:39:03	pltr up or down on march 3 2026	Down	SELL	329	30¢	$99	0xfd4a80…
03-03 19:22:19	pltr up or down on march 3 2026	Down	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x2db43b…
03-03 18:11:19	nvda up or down on march 3 2026	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xaeb2a2…
03-03 18:10:23	nvda up or down on march 3 2026	Down	SELL	25	92¢	$23	0x3183d8…
03-03 17:36:57	coin up or down on march 3 2026	Down	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0x6274b5…
03-03 17:15:47	coin up or down on march 3 2026	Down	SELL	70	96¢	$67	0x6ec020…
03-03 17:14:53	coin up or down on march 3 2026	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x5dd0a6…
03-03 16:26:25	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	1,396	12¢	$173	0x510598…
03-03 16:10:35	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x9da8ec…
03-03 16:10:27	will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by march 31	Yes	SELL	834	21¢	$175	0x8402b8…
03-03 16:10:15	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x565490…
03-03 16:10:05	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	425	15¢	$64	0xb55245…
03-03 16:05:51	nvda up or down on march 3 2026	Down	BUY	823	92¢	$757	0x31fb01…
03-03 16:05:33	nvda up or down on march 3 2026	Down	BUY	177	92¢	$163	0x870123…
03-03 16:05:19	pltr up or down on march 3 2026	Down	BUY	1,903	94¢	$1,787	0xb4a2cb…
03-03 16:05:13	pltr up or down on march 3 2026	Down	BUY	97	94¢	$91	0x442eaa…
03-03 16:04:05	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x9e0963…
03-03 16:03:01	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	27	14¢	$4	0xb1f6e6…
03-03 16:02:31	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	141	14¢	$20	0xfd2a61…
03-03 16:01:29	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	2,000	16¢	$314	0x633d49…
03-03 16:01:07	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	77¢	$770	0x439663…
03-03 15:59:37	coin up or down on march 3 2026	Down	BUY	2,000	95¢	$1,898	0x1c0867…
03-03 15:59:23	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	77¢	$770	0x3930f5…
03-03 15:53:05	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xb3ef9c…
03-03 15:52:29	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xb52a91…
03-03 15:49:53	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	871	19¢	$163	0x2db285…
03-03 15:48:49	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	870	19¢	$163	0x20dc47…
03-02 18:57:51	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	2,271	39¢	$886	0xa8f7cc…
03-02 18:57:35	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	9	39¢	$4	0xb85cf0…
03-02 18:56:39	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	24	39¢	$9	0xd1cba7…
03-02 18:56:33	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	26	39¢	$10	0xf01858…
03-02 18:53:11	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	170	39¢	$66	0x0f864c…
03-02 18:51:37	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	1,500	83¢	$1,243	0xfe8986…
03-02 18:51:09	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	2,500	41¢	$1,025	0x034758…
03-02 18:50:03	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	1,500	82¢	$1,238	0xed0f8a…
03-02 18:22:01	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	1,000	56¢	$560	0x75f235…
03-02 18:14:33	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	2,551	80¢	$2,042	0xef5f3c…
03-02 18:12:57	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x867905…
03-02 18:12:41	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	821	80¢	$657	0xb53058…
03-02 18:12:11	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	1,531	80¢	$1,226	0xa4b182…
03-02 17:56:51	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	842	60¢	$505	0x64a91c…
03-02 17:56:09	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	158	60¢	$95	0x65d3d5…
03-02 17:54:11	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,129	20¢	$220	0x0fa6c5…
03-02 17:54:07	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x4c6681…
03-02 17:54:03	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,538	19¢	$300	0x6a3dd7…
03-02 17:53:09	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	400	20¢	$78	0x30a632…
03-02 17:52:09	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	180	20¢	$36	0xe38b1a…
03-02 17:51:51	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	2,820	20¢	$558	0x2d48b2…
03-02 17:48:55	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	73	20¢	$15	0xa3d8be…
03-02 17:39:27	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	1,049	60¢	$629	0xf0ff67…
03-02 17:38:49	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0x050b2f…
03-02 17:38:35	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	14	60¢	$8	0x64429c…
03-02 17:37:39	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	1,667	60¢	$1,000	0xe38fff…
03-02 17:36:35	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	66	60¢	$40	0x8e373a…
03-02 17:35:27	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	46	60¢	$27	0x585e4c…
03-02 17:27:35	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	3,149	96¢	$3,023	0x03f614…
03-02 17:16:43	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x94a7a7…
03-02 17:16:37	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	48	62¢	$30	0xbcb008…
03-02 17:16:13	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xf47f4a…
03-02 17:16:11	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	31	62¢	$19	0x016a55…
03-02 17:16:09	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0xbdab63…
03-02 17:16:09	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x66ad93…
03-02 17:12:57	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	16	64¢	$10	0xbc33eb…
03-02 17:01:27	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	3,000	65¢	$1,950	0x1ff6b3…
03-02 16:51:37	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	3,000	21¢	$624	0x440cc0…
03-02 16:42:13	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x7d33dd…
03-02 16:39:13	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	268	19¢	$50	0xde90d5…
03-02 16:38:35	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x51c21b…
03-02 16:37:59	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0xd7b38e…
03-02 16:37:59	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	150	19¢	$28	0x49c1f8…
03-02 16:36:59	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	48	19¢	$9	0x7a3ad6…
03-02 16:36:47	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x4f8b63…
03-02 16:36:47	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	35	19¢	$7	0x4784cc…
03-02 16:36:47	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	84	19¢	$16	0x37dc2f…
03-02 16:36:37	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xcf6a91…
03-02 16:36:21	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x85b6b2…
03-02 16:34:57	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	38	60¢	$23	0x9cd066…
03-02 16:34:33	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	214	19¢	$41	0x405a9e…
03-02 16:34:03	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	709	60¢	$425	0x486c13…
03-02 16:32:17	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	119	60¢	$71	0x914d9d…
03-02 16:29:27	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	33	61¢	$20	0x7d61d7…
03-02 16:29:07	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x49652d…
03-02 16:24:09	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x585390…
03-02 16:20:35	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	2,281	64¢	$1,460	0x9193e2…
03-02 16:09:47	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	793	20¢	$156	0xcc6908…
03-02 16:08:15	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	3,500	79¢	$2,754	0xb795f1…
03-02 15:22:21	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	3,500	77¢	$2,709	0x812737…
03-02 14:51:43	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x2e8312…
03-02 14:51:09	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	22	17¢	$4	0xcc55ec…