Red-Bother — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

74.4%

Resolved

361

Trades

792

lifetime

Volume

$9.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-24

last 11-05 13:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Other

75% 75% +$0

Crypto

19% 88% +$0

Politics

3% 86% +$0

Sports

1% 50% $0

Tech

1% 50% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Betis win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No		+5	$5	100¢	$5	$0	11-05 13:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	6	$96	48	48	+0	Yes	$0	08-14 10:03
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on July 30?	4	$71	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-30 15:19
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on June 28?	5	$65	32	32	+0	No	+$0	06-27 16:03
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 3?	5	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-03 02:20
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on July 29?	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-28 22:39
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.00T and $1.25T at the end of August 2026?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	08-31 20:41
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 9?	3	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	08-09 17:36
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	08-10 22:15
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C or below on May 26?	4	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	05-26 10:12
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-14 14:04
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 13?	8	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-12 18:09
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 20?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-20 05:10
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on August 9?	3	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-09 07:14
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-21 12:53
ethereum above 1700 on july 28 2026	3	$56	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	07-27 17:00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	05-25 19:04
ethereum above 1700 on august 11 2026	2	$55	28	28	+0	Yes	$0	08-11 02:57
Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?	3	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-10 18:53
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 21?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-21 03:35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C or below on August 13?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-13 03:31
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on August 25?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	08-24 20:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 14?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-14 12:21
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C or below on July 10?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-10 08:57
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 20?	4	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-20 01:15
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 16?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-15 19:40
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 13?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-13 03:32
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 93°F or below on July 22?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-21 22:44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 25?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	08-25 09:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	2	$52	26	26	+0	Yes	+$0	08-25 14:41
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on August 9?	5	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	08-08 22:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 13:40:34	Will Betis win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xec1e1f…
10-26 03:27:23	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7c8f1e…
10-19 06:21:21	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc06402…
09-01 13:12:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x947554…
09-01 08:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xeab405…
09-01 06:05:06	bitcoin above 84k on september 1 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xd23834…
09-01 03:32:31	bitcoin above 84k on september 1 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe7c0da…
08-31 20:41:25	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.00T and $1.25T at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x5e89c7…
08-31 18:56:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x172ad2…
08-31 04:47:31	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.00T and $1.25T at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x299ebd…
08-31 04:36:45	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x471fca…
08-30 21:39:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on August 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf13d72…
08-30 21:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on August 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x547c2f…
08-30 19:50:51	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x82f777…
08-30 19:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on August 31?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xdd6c47…
08-30 17:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on August 31?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xca720b…
08-30 15:50:18	ethereum above 2600 on august 30 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x66e766…
08-30 10:40:13	ethereum above 2600 on august 30 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x60e262…
08-29 22:19:39	will bitcoin dip to 75k on august 29 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1a5f34…
08-29 22:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 30?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x042c77…
08-29 19:28:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x15930d…
08-28 16:01:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 28?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xf60fc3…
08-28 12:56:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1565b9…
08-27 19:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on August 28?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9aba2e…
08-27 19:02:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 28?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x712ce8…
08-27 14:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C or below on August 28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1c3084…
08-27 11:30:55	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc3840e…
08-27 09:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 28?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc953db…
08-27 09:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 28?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4474d5…
08-27 09:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 28?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x8d169e…
08-27 09:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 28?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x30f52f…
08-27 08:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 28?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x022c3f…
08-27 06:28:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4a2b71…
08-27 03:19:40	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa39d6b…
08-26 17:58:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 26?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x61c216…
08-26 03:37:46	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 26?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xffae0f…
08-25 14:41:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xda9860…
08-25 12:30:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb9ddc8…
08-25 09:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 25?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xfdf129…
08-25 07:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 25?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x9b30b8…
08-25 05:35:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C or higher on August 25?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0xd96625…
08-25 05:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on August 25?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xb6a543…
08-25 02:28:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xd6c96d…
08-24 21:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on August 25?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xef718d…
08-24 20:42:42	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on August 25?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x368642…
08-24 20:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on August 25?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x87972b…
08-24 13:32:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 24?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x591f7b…
08-24 09:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 24?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x5f54b8…
08-24 08:49:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 24?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf7ad06…
08-24 08:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 24?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x83b2d1…
08-24 08:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 24?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa582f0…
08-24 01:38:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 24?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x71a818…
08-23 19:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 24?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x41b4f7…
08-23 16:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 24?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x70f350…
08-17 13:51:36	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x62bf16…
08-14 14:04:07	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x1f6471…
08-14 12:21:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 14?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x412437…
08-14 10:50:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 14?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc8a1bb…
08-14 10:03:45	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x98e32a…
08-14 08:51:06	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xe2ddda…
08-14 08:25:16	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7511a1…
08-14 03:47:04	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x809837…
08-14 02:53:09	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xf1f91b…
08-14 02:37:48	Will John Stevens get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x4a346c…
08-14 02:37:22	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xbdf199…
08-14 00:49:49	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xca0202…
08-13 21:30:33	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf6d9be…
08-13 15:53:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x52970e…
08-13 14:09:39	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 13?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x73af0d…
08-13 14:05:16	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3c29b1…
08-13 13:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 14?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x3c97e1…
08-13 10:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 14?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x93be60…
08-13 07:10:03	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xde3413…
08-13 03:36:01	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2df1a5…
08-13 03:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 13?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$26	0x5f47d5…
08-13 03:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C or below on August 13?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x344a19…
08-13 00:51:57	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1f9e72…
08-12 20:34:54	Will John Stevens get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x839001…
08-12 19:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C or below on August 13?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x52ca7f…
08-12 18:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 13?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd8f561…
08-12 18:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0f1c9b…
08-12 18:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 13?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa0ebc0…
08-12 18:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1c1f5e…
08-12 17:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 13?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc0120e…
08-12 17:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb543bc…
08-12 17:38:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 13?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x34cd3c…
08-12 17:18:43	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0xf20de9…
08-12 15:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 13?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe28afd…
08-12 12:00:45	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc489d4…
08-12 04:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 12?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc9d138…
08-12 03:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 12?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x81e429…
08-12 03:34:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 12?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x8ff887…
08-12 01:51:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 12?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x5c5457…
08-12 00:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 12?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xee74b0…
08-11 22:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xf3fc78…
08-11 21:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 12?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x6525f8…
08-11 16:54:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 11?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xf251ca…
08-11 14:23:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x180608…
08-11 12:45:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on August 11?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xa8b3d7…
08-11 12:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on August 11?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0x502870…