Messy-Liver — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$249

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

29.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

$59

1 position

First seen

2026-05-14

last 05-14 07:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 29% $-453

Sports

6% 50% +$203

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down		+118	$54	50¢	$59	+$5	05-14 07:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$859	0	867	-867	Down	$-9	05-14 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$228	56	210	-154	Down	+$33	05-14 06:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	7	$200	507	0	+507	Up	$-200	05-14 04:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$157	43	138	-96	Down	+$21	05-14 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	3	$150	482	0	+482	Up	$-150	05-14 04:26
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$100	333	0	+333	Cavaliers	+$233	05-14 01:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	3	$60	395	0	+395	Down	$-60	05-14 05:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$59	34	34	+0	Up	+$9	05-14 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	5	$54	118	0	+118	open	—	05-14 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	4	$53	527	0	+527	Up	$-53	05-14 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$50	70	0	+70	Down	+$20	05-14 04:21
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics	1	$30	273	0	+273	Athletics	$-30	05-14 03:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$20	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	$-20	05-14 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$20	95	0	+95	open	—	05-14 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$20	49	0	+49	Down	$-20	05-14 03:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$10	79	0	+79	Up	$-10	05-14 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	10	$10	22	0	+22	Up	$-10	05-14 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$5	71	0	+71	Up	$-5	05-14 02:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	3	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	05-14 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$1	17	0	+17	open	—	05-14 06:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 07:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x99c339…
05-14 07:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x97decf…
05-14 07:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc70294…
05-14 07:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xaa42d8…
05-14 07:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x095b48…
05-14 06:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xbfe671…
05-14 06:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfe7de5…
05-14 06:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9fec24…
05-14 06:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcfbc04…
05-14 06:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xdb2cc6…
05-14 06:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0x64f5f8…
05-14 06:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	210	99¢	$208	0xeb7c2b…
05-14 06:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xc7bdb6…
05-14 06:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x51e635…
05-14 06:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe4c22e…
05-14 06:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x471bd3…
05-14 06:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x404db4…
05-14 05:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	241	8¢	$20	0x2c8812…
05-14 05:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x40beba…
05-14 05:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x0de65a…
05-14 04:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	867	99¢	$859	0x8e34b2…
05-14 04:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x2c0b11…
05-14 04:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x41c3c8…
05-14 04:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0xfc3032…
05-14 04:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x5be274…
05-14 04:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	126	40¢	$50	0x17150f…
05-14 04:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x831823…
05-14 04:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x4bf0d8…
05-14 04:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xe50a31…
05-14 04:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x036376…
05-14 04:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xc9bc88…
05-14 04:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x52e6d7…
05-14 03:31:39	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	273	11¢	$30	0xcc91f4…
05-14 03:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x885c3b…
05-14 02:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	138	99¢	$137	0xa31af4…
05-14 02:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xe73583…
05-14 02:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe57216…
05-14 02:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4f8173…
05-14 02:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xce37a5…
05-14 02:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xee4cfa…
05-14 02:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x41aaef…
05-14 02:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x72375d…
05-14 02:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf3bf92…
05-14 02:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x99d8c7…
05-14 02:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x94ec90…
05-14 02:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x31509d…
05-14 02:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xdb1852…
05-14 01:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xb0e1e8…
05-14 01:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xe24414…
05-14 01:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x6a8001…
05-14 01:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x54101b…
05-14 01:42:15	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x3f13a7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	18	$8.84K	169	05-14 07:39
Lumbering-Kayak 0xf6ab…3579	18	$613	73	05-14 07:39
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	18	$504	113	05-14 07:38
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	17	$2.30K	207	05-14 07:39
Splendid-Kinase 0x6538…15a6	16	$1.16K	78	05-14 06:59
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	15	$2.20K	86	05-14 07:39
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	15	$2.04K	85	05-14 07:38
Aged-Visit 0x2ea2…d3d7	15	$1.28K	85	05-14 07:39