Steep-Elf-Dealer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$573

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

710

Trades

2,636

lifetime

Volume

$37.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-31

last 10-02 20:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Other

65% 39% -$567

Crypto

22% 59% +$23

Sports

11% 33% -$14

Politics

2% 50% $0

Tech

1% 0% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	50	$2.2K	3,805	3,805	+0	No	+$0	06-29 04:29
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$1.3K	800	800	+0	No	-$12	06-30 05:41
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 9?	9	$748	439	439	+0	Yes	+$66	08-09 08:28
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 1?	15	$700	530	530	+0	Yes	+$348	08-01 15:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	10	$600	600	600	+0	No	+$0	06-26 21:25
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 6?	9	$558	331	331	+0	Yes	+$83	08-06 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 14?	11	$496	344	344	+0	Yes	+$126	09-14 08:44
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on August 30?	13	$454	561	427	+134	No	-$77	08-30 08:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 2?	2	$433	220	220	+0	No	+$7	09-01 16:06
iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	9	$346	200	200	+0	Yes	+$2	06-26 18:17
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 16?	10	$336	375	181	+193	No	-$112	09-15 20:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$329	200	200	+0	No	$0	06-26 18:55
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 1?	14	$323	475	79	+396	No	-$203	07-31 17:26
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 15?	7	$318	282	282	+0	Yes	+$71	09-15 15:44
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 11?	4	$314	222	222	+0	Yes	+$101	08-11 16:06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 5?	8	$298	200	200	+0	Yes	+$102	09-05 08:08
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 13?	7	$274	320	128	+192	Yes	+$155	08-12 23:01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 1?	13	$270	230	230	+0	Yes	+$144	09-01 09:15
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 4?	4	$262	212	212	+0	Yes	+$48	08-03 16:09
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 2?	8	$259	547	5	+542	No	-$254	08-01 13:01
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 2?	8	$256	350	262	+88	Yes	-$157	08-02 08:03
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 3?	17	$244	200	200	+0	Yes	+$124	08-03 08:20
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 11?	18	$243	172	172	+0	Yes	+$100	08-11 10:24
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 2?	8	$236	806	0	+806	No	-$86	08-01 15:43
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 1?	11	$229	162	162	+0	Yes	+$94	08-01 08:09
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 8?	8	$219	162	162	+0	Yes	+$105	08-08 15:59
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 13?	6	$218	121	121	+0	Yes	+$5	09-13 05:16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 6?	3	$212	124	124	+0	Yes	+$35	09-06 09:07
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 31?	12	$206	119	119	+0	Yes	+$29	08-31 16:19
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 6?	9	$205	258	258	+0	No	-$46	08-06 13:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 20:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xda3cff…
10-02 19:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0xfe3a9b…
10-02 19:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x867967…
10-02 19:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0x55efeb…
10-02 19:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	17	45¢	$8	0x247316…
10-02 07:50:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x7cff62…
10-02 07:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x26bc3a…
10-02 07:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0xc150ef…
10-02 07:50:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	34	34¢	$12	0xc446fc…
10-02 07:50:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xb6f3d0…
10-02 07:50:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x43aef9…
10-02 07:50:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0x3a5339…
10-02 07:50:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x32f318…
10-02 07:50:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	26	34¢	$9	0x2a1935…
09-28 00:59:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x9d1d40…
09-24 16:08:33	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 24?	Yes	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x2a8658…
09-24 08:31:27	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x5c7561…
09-24 06:21:51	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x1466bd…
09-24 06:14:50	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xdcd82a…
09-22 12:38:00	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	44	40¢	$17	0x456d72…
09-22 12:20:31	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	41	41¢	$17	0xc8e1d4…
09-21 12:45:05	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	45	42¢	$19	0x73fed6…
09-21 02:39:50	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x71d4f0…
09-21 02:35:41	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x4eb4cb…
09-19 15:23:42	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 19?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2699f6…
09-19 03:19:18	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 19?	Yes	SELL	9	73¢	$6	0x01978b…
09-19 03:19:06	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 19?	Yes	SELL	55	74¢	$41	0x7b669b…
09-19 01:54:55	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x264431…
09-18 17:41:36	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 19?	Yes	SELL	36	41¢	$15	0x4a1baa…
09-18 14:05:33	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x7d65ed…
09-18 13:58:00	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd6db73…
09-18 13:57:57	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	72	43¢	$31	0xf9fb95…
09-18 03:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	56	28¢	$16	0x1d9aeb…
09-18 00:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfee267…
09-17 07:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 17?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xd5e297…
09-17 02:12:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x103333…
09-17 02:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x91316d…
09-17 02:04:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x7ebf8f…
09-17 02:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa7ac8c…
09-17 01:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 17?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x11979c…
09-17 00:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xbe06d7…
09-16 23:37:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x5b16b7…
09-16 23:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xe8fd47…
09-16 23:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x037da0…
09-16 23:34:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4989f1…
09-16 23:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd68e5c…
09-16 23:10:57	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 17?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$67	0x5c1bb9…
09-16 21:10:58	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0xb80ed5…
09-16 21:10:58	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x75df72…
09-16 21:09:01	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xda3ba9…
09-16 21:09:01	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x83dfa9…
09-16 21:06:27	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xcde6c9…
09-16 21:06:12	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x805730…
09-16 21:06:12	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x03b1aa…
09-16 20:30:46	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x758124…
09-16 18:19:22	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$1	0x9924ff…
09-16 17:17:54	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 17?	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x8f5a58…
09-16 17:15:07	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 17?	No	BUY	23	89¢	$20	0xcc6d7e…
09-16 15:37:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 17?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0xc352df…
09-16 09:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x6d5d82…
09-16 08:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x46b372…
09-16 08:15:43	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x51cf33…
09-16 08:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x53442e…
09-16 08:15:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd90d02…
09-16 08:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x411f52…
09-16 08:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xbbd659…
09-16 08:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x639ab0…
09-16 08:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x829e8c…
09-16 05:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x988959…
09-16 05:07:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x4203e9…
09-16 05:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x4590c3…
09-16 05:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xb55d91…
09-16 04:59:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0x1594e0…
09-16 04:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x96ae46…
09-16 04:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	11	28¢	$3	0x6933fc…
09-15 23:42:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 16?	No	BUY	36	79¢	$29	0xd5f9b5…
09-15 23:42:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 16?	No	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0x32c6b0…
09-15 20:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	45	6¢	$3	0xc35ef2…
09-15 20:05:46	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	29	28¢	$8	0xd436ab…
09-15 20:03:16	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x322c04…
09-15 20:02:49	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	14	27¢	$4	0xfdc311…
09-15 20:02:49	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0xfa3f5c…
09-15 20:02:49	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x737675…
09-15 20:01:43	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0xf2f14d…
09-15 19:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xb47dfa…
09-15 19:26:42	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	36	13¢	$5	0xddf918…
09-15 17:41:03	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 16?	Yes	SELL	118	72¢	$85	0xc274f8…
09-15 16:49:06	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	192	69¢	$132	0x2da750…
09-15 15:44:21	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 15?	Yes	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0x44b19c…
09-15 15:11:39	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 15?	Yes	SELL	42	4¢	$2	0xd7df2e…
09-15 13:22:33	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 15?	Yes	SELL	33	54¢	$18	0xabc2b4…
09-15 13:22:16	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x7aa175…
09-15 12:42:46	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	112	49¢	$55	0xfb45c9…
09-15 12:34:39	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x58c623…
09-15 10:47:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	60	59¢	$35	0xa04e6a…
09-15 10:10:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x594e0b…
09-15 10:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0xe52725…
09-15 10:06:55	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x9d3b97…
09-15 10:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x4f4fa0…
09-15 10:06:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb7b1c3…