Unknown-Aid 0x97d1a1…1818ef Create alert
hot 7W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.70K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.68K
Hit rate
93.8%
Resolved
84
Trades
639
lifetime
Volume
$83.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$131
Open exposure
$21.6K
28 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 11-07 16:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Politics
64% 70% +$1,745
Other
33% 55% +$22
Tech
3% 83% -$14
Crypto
0% 35% -$50
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +5,877 $4,999 90¢ $5.3K +$319 11-05 15:56
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +3,000 $2,484 88¢ $2.6K +$155 11-05 15:58
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,205 $1,720 78¢ $1.7K +$11 11-05 16:00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +1,543 $1,271 88¢ $1.4K +$79 11-04 09:11
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,321 $1,165 92¢ $1.2K +$57 11-05 13:42
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? No +1,028 $721 94¢ $972 +$250 11-05 15:57
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +1,066 $872 86¢ $911 +$39 11-04 08:54
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +808 $699 92¢ $739 +$40 11-03 09:07
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? No +860 $592 82¢ $709 +$117 11-05 15:57
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? No +872 $564 75¢ $654 +$90 11-05 13:32
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +707 $450 91¢ $643 +$194 11-04 08:57
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30, 2026? No +665 $565 93¢ $620 +$55 11-05 15:59
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by November 30, 2026? Yes +653 $613 95¢ $619 +$6 11-05 15:53
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +740 $515 82¢ $603 +$88 11-05 13:35
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? Yes +717 $608 82¢ $592 -$16 11-05 13:34
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? No +476 $358 88¢ $421 +$63 11-04 03:27
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +439 $387 91¢ $400 +$12 11-04 09:09
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by November 30, 2026? No +387 $313 96¢ $370 +$57 11-04 08:56
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +326 $178 68¢ $220 +$42 11-05 13:36
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? No +220 $142 88¢ $194 +$51 11-03 09:07
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +220 $127 88¢ $192 +$66 11-03 10:58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +188 $120 86¢ $163 +$43 11-04 08:08
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4? Yes — +148 $125 96¢ $142 +$17 11-05 15:52
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +139 $116 98¢ $136 +$20 11-04 10:31
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 19, 2026? No +20 $18 97¢ $19 +$1 11-04 03:11
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? Yes +308 $192 4¢ $12 -$181 11-07 16:38
will fewer than 150 ships transit the bab el mandeb strait between november 9 november 15 No +9 $9 100¢ $9 +$0 11-04 00:31
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 5? Yes +5 $0 95¢ $4 +$4 11-03 10:50