Absolute-Pie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

95.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,599

lifetime

Volume

$15.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-30 19:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

78% 96% +$0

Sports

17% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Chirayu Rana divorced?	No		+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	07-01 04:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	3	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-05 08:56
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-11 21:59
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
mls nyc mia 2026 03 22 nyc	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-22 19:07
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-25 18:11
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-29 22:14
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:54
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:54
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:30
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)	3	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-19 02:23
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on April 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 07:07
atp shevche turcanu 2026 03 30 first set winner Shevchenko vs Turcanu	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-31 08:57
will canada win the 2026 world baseball classic	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-14 04:28
highest temperature in taipei on april 24 2026 19c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 17:20
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-25 00:04
hr1 sla haj 2026 04 17 total 3pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-17 18:01
Kawasaki Frontale vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 2.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-17 12:27
cs2 mouz fut 2026 03 13	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-13 22:03
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-20 05:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 04:01:04	Chirayu Rana divorced?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe0d629…
07-01 04:00:43	grok 4pt4 released by june 30	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc945c6…
07-01 02:18:35	mlb stl atl 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc00a9f…
06-30 19:16:41	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ad957…
06-30 18:00:59	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa8829e…
06-30 10:12:46	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc5afd9…
06-30 04:26:01	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x043a8d…
06-30 04:16:11	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x504559…
06-30 02:55:19	mlb min hou 2026 06 29 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfc4957…
06-30 01:50:29	mlb pit phi 2026 06 29 spread home 2pt5	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb75da5…
06-30 00:35:04	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfae749…
06-29 19:50:16	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xab17d8…
06-29 19:22:28	val ucam fks1 2026 06 29 game1	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x40797c…
06-29 16:24:25	val jl bar 2026 06 29 game1	Barça eSports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53be0b…
06-29 16:05:04	val mdr bjk 2026 06 29 game1	Mandatory	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xccea41…
06-29 13:52:41	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0f1930…
06-28 20:53:40	mlb phi nym 2026 06 28	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf3c368…
06-28 17:22:34	cs2 yaw bk 2026 06 28 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0f835d…
06-28 03:00:52	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x539ab7…
06-27 22:56:44	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x364fe7…
06-27 22:56:41	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8ea706…
06-27 20:38:35	Cap FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0a2c54…
06-27 18:05:49	ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d1a8c…
06-27 14:56:02	codmw tex g2m 2026 06 27	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x547557…
06-27 12:57:02	cs2 mis wbt 2026 06 27 game2	Misa Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x260b13…
06-26 21:05:13	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 corners total 12pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf20a3…
06-26 11:54:01	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x37cb4a…
06-25 22:21:13	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xad4846…
06-25 22:16:16	will ivory coast be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003075	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x27dc5b…
06-25 17:51:13	cs2 ace1 shk 2026 06 25 game1	Sharks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf3a99…
06-25 02:00:26	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5d75c1…
06-25 01:49:29	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe556e1…
06-25 00:07:19	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe34cba…
06-25 00:04:47	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x87daf4…
06-24 20:58:34	itf lemaitr mladen 2026 06 23	Tiphanie Lemaitre	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x43c7ac…
06-24 12:56:16	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5d8e53…
06-24 09:08:34	cs2 mana1 hon1 2026 06 24 game1	ex-MANA eSports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x467bd9…
06-24 03:09:10	mlb bos col 2026 06 23 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc77886…
06-24 00:26:11	mlb phi wsh 2026 06 23 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x57d550…
06-23 20:00:55	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c0a36…
06-23 18:25:05	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x38be3c…
06-23 18:11:34	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdebb0f…
06-23 00:54:55	mlb kc tb 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	Kansas City Royals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc2aa9c…
06-21 20:32:50	mlb cws det 2026 06 21 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb85a2d…
06-21 18:10:19	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 goals alex baena gte1	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x268ca0…
06-21 11:23:50	cs2 inf1 adn 2026 06 21 map handicap away 1pt5	INFURITY Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x422a4a…
06-21 02:01:40	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe3f54e…
06-21 01:56:29	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb33ae…
06-20 20:06:29	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x450c87…
06-20 05:14:16	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb46970…
06-20 02:37:08	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe525b1…
06-20 01:49:01	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3be4e…
06-19 15:45:31	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdfe5b4…
06-19 11:53:02	cs2 inf6 ruby1 2026 06 19 game1	ex-RUBY	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x90fdbc…
06-19 03:42:05	itf abe nishim 2026 06 19	Hiromi Abe	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x838d4d…
06-18 22:59:28	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ddc8a…
06-18 20:21:13	cs2 100t leo2 2026 06 18 game3 round handicap 100t 6pt5	Leo Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x330b02…
06-18 12:59:41	kbo han nc 2026 06 18	NC Dinos	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdc20c1…
06-18 12:52:11	kbo han nc 2026 06 18	NC Dinos	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbda23a…
06-17 22:07:23	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 team total away 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc79aea…
06-17 19:25:28	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8f023e…
06-17 19:17:56	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6820c5…
06-17 19:05:34	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff91da…
06-17 19:04:16	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb15e6e…
06-17 18:09:10	mlb mia phi 2026 06 17 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe1b21d…
06-17 16:10:02	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d4735…
06-17 16:07:43	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x639b37…
06-17 16:06:52	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdda150…
06-17 04:05:35	mlb tb lad 2026 06 16 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf68ba…
06-17 00:03:32	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcef227…
06-16 13:45:50	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x11347a…
06-16 12:37:40	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x888189…
06-16 02:29:42	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e4217…
06-15 18:09:00	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x792575…
06-15 12:41:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x71fe08…
06-15 01:32:12	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xface52…
06-14 19:58:55	cs2 g2 lgc 2026 06 14	G2	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xef77cc…
06-14 19:02:24	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa2de86…
06-14 06:25:18	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 corners team home 3pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff6e8b…
06-14 06:24:04	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x790cf5…
06-13 11:58:18	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x448608…
06-13 01:55:01	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x11a48c…
06-12 22:39:01	codmw par faz 2026 06 12 game2	Paris Gentle Mates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa4031…
06-12 22:03:37	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9b8e11…
06-12 21:09:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe2fce4…
06-12 21:03:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8614c0…
06-12 20:26:48	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x99814c…
06-12 20:18:48	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1d2ee1…
06-12 20:17:12	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb5a612…
06-12 13:30:04	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9a9f82…
06-11 22:13:39	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x789bbe…
06-11 21:15:18	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x049657…
06-11 16:53:31	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x06c96c…
06-10 20:16:57	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2fa706…
06-10 20:05:13	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x72418d…
06-10 17:57:19	lol es1 anb 2026 06 10 game1	Eintracht Spandau	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5fe8dd…
06-09 14:29:52	kbo ssg lg 2026 06 09	LG Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd7fa66…
06-09 03:31:36	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 points jalen brunson 25pt5	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x230cf8…
06-08 21:37:10	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xecfe49…
06-08 12:03:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7956ea…