Agile-Stand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$740

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.7%

Resolved

Trades

100

lifetime

Volume

$2.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 10-19 19:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

55% 21% -$541

Sports

18% 56% -$107

Crypto

17% 8% -$74

Politics

11% 0% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$302	210	106	+104	Down	+$7	10-19 19:04
Paris curfew by October 19?	5	$253	273	273	+0	Yes	-$26	10-19 15:48
Will El Masry SC vs. Abo Qir Semad SC end in a draw?	2	$239	126	126	+0	Yes	-$1	10-19 19:00
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	4	$218	3,041	3,041	+0	No	-$4	02-02 23:52
Paris curfew by October 21?	2	$177	128	128	+0	Yes	+$75	10-19 18:53
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	8	$156	26,037	500	+25,537	Yes	-$146	02-03 12:50
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	1	$104	359	0	+359	No	-$104	05-05 18:18
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	1	$90	392	0	+392	No	-$90	05-06 10:06
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 shots pedri gte3	1	$88	516	0	+516	No	-$88	07-02 17:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 13:00 UTC	3	$61	132	63	+69	Up	-$37	02-03 13:08
us strike on somalia by february 7	4	$48	428	10	+418	Yes	-$46	02-03 13:39
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$45	300	300	+0	Yes	-$45	02-01 09:33
ufc aus2 iwo 2026 03 21	2	$43	24	24	+0	Iwo Baraniewski	+$4	03-21 21:32
ufc rom2 chr20 2026 03 21	4	$40	195	20	+175	Christian Leroy Duncan	$0	03-21 21:04
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	1	$38	114	0	+114	No	-$38	06-29 18:03
ufc luk12 mic34 2026 03 21	2	$37	22	22	+0	Luke Riley	+$7	03-21 22:38
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Senegal?	1	$37	336	0	+336	No	-$37	07-01 18:04
lal rea ray 2026 02 01 rea	2	$36	36	36	+0	Yes	-$18	02-01 14:54
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team total away 1pt5	1	$35	117	0	+117	Under	-$35	07-01 16:32
ufc mov ler 2026 03 21	2	$35	117	0	+117	Movsar Evloev	-$35	03-21 22:39
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Senegal?	1	$32	127	0	+127	No	-$32	07-01 21:14
ufc mic32 sam2 2026 03 21	2	$30	18	18	+0	Michael Page	+$6	03-21 22:05
will israel strike lebanon on february 3 2026	2	$28	53	53	+0	No	-$6	02-03 06:04
ufc mas axe 2026 03 21	3	$27	17	17	+0	Mason Jones	+$7	03-21 20:19
ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	1	$25	43	0	+43	Volkanovski	+$18	01-30 17:29
ufc dan54 kur2 2026 03 21	2	$23	18	18	+0	Danny Silva	+$13	03-21 21:08
ufc ant6 man18 2026 03 21	2	$21	11	11	+0	Mantas Kondratavicius	+$1	03-21 18:43
lal rea ray 2026 02 01 ray	4	$16	305	57	+248	No	-$14	02-01 14:56
atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01	3	$14	18	6	+12	Alcaraz	-$2	02-01 13:01
ufc bil6 jun4 2026 01 31	1	$11	15	0	+15	Elekana	+$5	01-30 17:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 19:22:54	Will FC Voluntari win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0xe84384…
10-19 19:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xcd2705…
10-19 19:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	106	97¢	$102	0xb4315d…
10-19 19:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x1087e1…
10-19 19:01:20	Will FC Voluntari win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x6210a1…
10-19 19:00:08	Will El Masry SC vs. Abo Qir Semad SC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	126	94¢	$119	0x7bf73d…
10-19 18:58:35	Will El Masry SC vs. Abo Qir Semad SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	126	95¢	$120	0x8a5111…
10-19 18:53:21	Paris curfew by October 21?	Yes	SELL	128	99¢	$126	0x625ebe…
10-19 15:49:14	Paris curfew by October 21?	Yes	BUY	128	40¢	$51	0x561def…
10-19 15:48:50	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	SELL	172	31¢	$54	0xf64b0f…
10-19 15:48:39	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	BUY	172	40¢	$70	0xcaf792…
10-19 15:48:18	Paris curfew by October 19?	No	SELL	92	60¢	$55	0x249a29…
10-19 15:48:03	Paris curfew by October 19?	No	SELL	9	61¢	$6	0xfc10ff…
10-19 15:43:27	Paris curfew by October 19?	No	BUY	101	69¢	$70	0x1a4499…
07-02 17:46:14	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 shots pedri gte3	Yes	BUY	516	17¢	$88	0x1169a4…
07-01 21:14:50	Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	127	25¢	$32	0x606784…
07-01 18:04:22	Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	336	11¢	$37	0x5dff36…
07-01 17:16:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xa09cbb…
07-01 16:32:43	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	117	30¢	$35	0x901021…
06-29 18:03:37	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	114	33¢	$38	0xeb1762…
05-06 10:06:44	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	392	23¢	$90	0x87406f…
05-05 18:18:08	Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	359	29¢	$104	0x112b9e…
03-21 22:39:25	ufc mov ler 2026 03 21	Lerone Murphy	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x468ace…
03-21 22:39:13	ufc mov ler 2026 03 21	Lerone Murphy	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x81797a…
03-21 22:38:35	ufc luk12 mic34 2026 03 21	Luke Riley	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x04ed0c…
03-21 22:06:39	ufc luk12 mic34 2026 03 21	Luke Riley	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x3ad305…
03-21 22:05:19	ufc mic32 sam2 2026 03 21	Michael Page	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xc0f337…
03-21 21:33:09	ufc mic32 sam2 2026 03 21	Michael Page	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0xd0f259…
03-21 21:32:47	ufc aus2 iwo 2026 03 21	Iwo Baraniewski	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0xa2644d…
03-21 21:09:29	ufc aus2 iwo 2026 03 21	Iwo Baraniewski	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xdc3f26…
03-21 21:08:37	ufc dan54 kur2 2026 03 21	Danny Silva	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x878278…
03-21 21:04:51	ufc rom2 chr20 2026 03 21	Roman Dolidze	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x269413…
03-21 21:04:37	ufc rom2 chr20 2026 03 21	Christian Leroy Duncan	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xeecbfb…
03-21 21:03:43	ufc rom2 chr20 2026 03 21	Roman Dolidze	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x522826…
03-21 20:31:21	ufc rom2 chr20 2026 03 21	Christian Leroy Duncan	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x4cce64…
03-21 20:19:35	ufc mas axe 2026 03 21	Mason Jones	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xebfef9…
03-21 20:04:01	ufc dan54 kur2 2026 03 21	Danny Silva	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x85e4f2…
03-21 19:35:29	ufc mas axe 2026 03 21	Mason Jones	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x0c7aed…
03-21 19:07:35	ufc mas axe 2026 03 21	Mason Jones	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xcd780e…
03-21 18:43:37	ufc ant6 man18 2026 03 21	Mantas Kondratavicius	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x4cdaf3…
03-21 18:43:03	ufc mar86 fel11 2026 03 21	Felipe Franco	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x67aa4c…
03-21 18:14:27	ufc ant6 man18 2026 03 21	Mantas Kondratavicius	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xb9b32b…
03-21 18:07:57	ufc nat los 2026 03 21	Losene Keita	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x04a95a…
02-03 13:39:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xd44109…
02-03 13:39:34	us strike on somalia by february 7	No	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x183416…
02-03 13:08:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	68	21¢	$14	0x2c61f1…
02-03 13:08:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	63	19¢	$12	0xdfc41c…
02-03 13:06:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	64	55¢	$35	0x962a10…
02-03 12:52:04	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-03 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xa793c3…
02-03 12:51:20	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-03 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	199	3¢	$5	0x919a3c…
02-03 12:50:08	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	760	0¢	$2	0x601968…
02-03 12:50:00	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0x65d776…
02-03 12:49:42	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0x538d2f…
02-03 10:17:42	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-03 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xbacfa6…
02-03 10:12:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4a5425…
02-03 10:10:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa723e9…
02-03 10:10:40	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0xd77ffd…
02-03 10:10:36	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x8a4183…
02-03 10:10:28	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x054ec0…
02-03 10:09:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xd1fecc…
02-03 10:09:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xfd7170…
02-03 10:07:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xdea52b…
02-03 06:05:14	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	5,500	0¢	$11	0xef99f1…
02-03 06:04:40	will israel strike lebanon on february 3 2026	Yes	SELL	53	21¢	$11	0x3c6805…
02-02 23:52:56	will israel strike lebanon on february 3 2026	Yes	BUY	53	32¢	$17	0x5c2ce0…
02-02 23:52:12	will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	Yes	SELL	573	3¢	$18	0x5689ae…
02-02 23:51:24	will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	Yes	BUY	573	4¢	$24	0xd7f6bb…
02-02 23:03:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xdd2967…
02-02 23:02:38	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	SELL	500	1¢	$5	0x2194ca…
02-02 22:14:26	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	1,053	2¢	$20	0xd34eed…
02-02 10:19:38	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	12,596	1¢	$89	0x9f2d51…
02-02 10:18:16	will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	Yes	SELL	2,468	4¢	$89	0xd25701…
02-02 10:17:10	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	3,429	1¢	$24	0xae74dd…
02-02 09:09:50	will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	Yes	BUY	2,468	4¢	$87	0x9a2c1d…
02-01 14:56:46	lal rea ray 2026 02 01 ray	Yes	BUY	101	4¢	$4	0xdb5829…
02-01 14:55:36	lal rea ray 2026 02 01 ray	Yes	BUY	147	3¢	$5	0x968c71…
02-01 14:54:42	lal rea ray 2026 02 01 ray	Yes	SELL	57	2¢	$1	0xa2bcdb…
02-01 14:54:16	lal rea ray 2026 02 01 rea	Yes	SELL	36	24¢	$9	0xced8f7…
02-01 14:37:28	lal rea ray 2026 02 01 ray	Yes	BUY	57	11¢	$6	0x9b2e94…
02-01 14:36:44	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x369b89…
02-01 14:36:22	will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	No	SELL	69	4¢	$2	0x06f4f5…
02-01 14:36:06	will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	Yes	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x963d82…
02-01 13:10:16	lal rea ray 2026 02 01 rea	Yes	BUY	36	74¢	$27	0x27ab5d…
02-01 13:08:04	us strike on somalia by february 7	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3101fc…
02-01 13:01:10	atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01	Alcaraz	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8c6bce…
02-01 09:37:12	will israel strike lebanon on february 1 2026	No	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0xc55f8c…
02-01 09:36:36	atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01	Alcaraz	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x39c92a…
02-01 09:36:28	atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01	Djokovic	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xc1ba47…
02-01 09:35:18	us strike on somalia by february 7	No	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xba17f6…
02-01 09:35:04	us strike on somalia by february 7	No	BUY	373	11¢	$41	0xcfb173…
02-01 09:34:18	will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x23924d…
02-01 09:34:08	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe2f5fe…
02-01 09:34:00	will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	No	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0x1cc2c9…
02-01 09:33:10	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	300	0¢	$0	0x06d7ff…
01-30 19:58:46	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	300	15¢	$45	0x6e74f8…
01-30 17:34:18	ufc bil6 jun4 2026 01 31	Elekana	BUY	15	70¢	$11	0x8c4053…
01-30 17:33:36	ufc tai1 tal2 2026 01 31	Teixeira	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xbf5126…
01-30 17:32:14	ufc dan6 ben8 2026 01 31	Hooker	BUY	35	26¢	$9	0x0f9fea…
01-30 17:30:36	ufc raf mau4 2026 01 31	Fiziev	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x2153dd…
01-30 17:29:42	ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	Volkanovski	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xb8bce6…