Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$155

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-26

last 09-29 03:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

80% 58% +$12

Politics

18% 71% +$5

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	2	$4	8	8	+0	No	+$0	09-29 03:46
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	2	$3	4	4	+0	No	+$1	09-29 03:44
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30?	2	$3	4	4	+0	No	+$1	09-29 03:45
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?	2	$2	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	09-29 03:47
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	+$0	09-29 03:45
will meta dip to 700 by september 28 2026	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	+$0	09-29 03:45
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.50 on September 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	09-29 03:47
us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	09-29 03:47
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	1	$2	8	0	+8	Yes	-$2	09-20 18:54
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	+$2	08-15 06:07
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	09-19 23:50
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$2	9	0	+9	Yes	+$7	09-19 15:41
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$2	7	0	+7	Yes	+$5	09-17 12:45
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$2	8	0	+8	No	-$2	09-15 22:47
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	09-19 07:15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	09-18 14:26
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	1	$2	7	0	+7	Yes	+$5	09-11 19:51
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	-$2	09-17 21:40
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	+$2	09-17 03:18
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	09-23 15:58
will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	7	0	+7	Yes	+$5	09-16 15:13
Will Costco say "Expansion" during earnings call?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	09-22 23:39
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	+$3	09-22 14:59
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	09-18 05:45
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	1	$2	6	0	+6	Yes	-$2	09-20 10:50
spy up or down on august 13 2026	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	08-13 01:28
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$2	9	0	+9	No	-$2	09-18 22:39
will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	08-13 17:30
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$2	08-25 01:56
Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	-$2	08-27 14:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-29 03:47:36	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x822026…
09-29 03:47:26	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.50 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x070aa4…
09-29 03:47:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xca4b68…
09-29 03:47:02	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xd42c43…
09-29 03:46:42	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in August?	Yes	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0x497e8b…
09-29 03:46:29	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x9f0821…
09-29 03:46:15	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x606105…
09-29 03:45:56	will meta dip to 700 by september 28 2026	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x2f330e…
09-29 03:45:41	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x13d1a4…
09-29 03:45:15	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30?	Yes	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x8eb3d2…
09-29 03:44:53	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x30829a…
09-28 20:29:56	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5e87e5…
09-28 12:29:44	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0a862b…
09-28 04:29:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0a2273…
09-28 04:27:36	will meta dip to 700 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5b5103…
09-27 20:20:29	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x39473f…
09-27 12:07:35	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0672fd…
09-27 02:49:44	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4b81d4…
09-26 18:41:54	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x93f429…
09-26 10:27:45	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x71a70b…
09-26 01:42:33	Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 21?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x90b2bf…
09-25 17:16:57	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xd6cb53…
09-25 08:48:32	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7a5f29…
09-24 12:00:16	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.50 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc49e02…
09-23 15:58:47	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x8a2346…
09-23 07:43:46	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x83e754…
09-22 23:39:44	Will Costco say "Expansion" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x3e46b0…
09-22 14:59:24	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc9a47c…
09-20 18:54:01	Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xd882ae…
09-20 10:50:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xa95d1e…
09-19 23:50:40	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x7bca90…
09-19 15:41:51	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xcbcd50…
09-19 07:15:52	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xde4602…
09-18 22:39:37	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xe4fd06…
09-18 14:26:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x457217…
09-18 05:45:52	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xb6d98f…
09-17 21:40:16	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x2798a7…
09-17 12:45:06	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xa5b87b…
09-17 03:18:28	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xda21f5…
09-16 15:13:24	will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xfa5131…
09-16 06:47:27	spx up or down on september 16 2026	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x32f6a8…
09-15 22:47:00	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x8e373d…
09-11 19:51:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xe2e466…
09-07 09:59:22	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x7f5808…
09-03 20:58:54	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x1f7454…
09-01 09:40:36	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x7777f5…
09-01 01:40:09	Will JOLTS Job Openings be below 7.1M in July?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x807a97…
08-30 17:38:07	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x3cebb5…
08-30 09:36:34	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x88d155…
08-28 22:45:43	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc13a36…
08-27 14:40:55	Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x8c40a3…
08-27 06:40:43	will trump say oil gas or gasoline during remarks at nasa	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x028d79…
08-26 22:40:00	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in August?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x87ba46…
08-25 01:56:28	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x057dea…
08-23 04:51:45	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x82979d…
08-21 18:56:25	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x715b5c…
08-20 22:50:40	spy up or down on august 21 2026	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8c5012…
08-20 14:21:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xef4d52…
08-19 03:46:39	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x72bee8…
08-18 07:34:39	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x37eb7b…
08-17 23:28:30	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x652dfa…
08-17 15:27:16	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x74ce31…
08-17 05:44:54	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xc062d2…
08-15 18:52:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x6f1d08…
08-15 06:07:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x21e5b0…
08-14 21:02:34	kss quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 26 2026 0pt59	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xf4865c…
08-14 13:02:04	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x8c987e…
08-14 01:37:51	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xc4eb41…
08-13 17:30:48	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x84f820…
08-13 09:29:49	will trump say hottest during remarks in new york 20260811183234691	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x48720a…
08-13 01:28:37	spy up or down on august 13 2026	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb95c51…
08-07 05:02:45	Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xcebac0…
08-06 21:01:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xde2bf6…
08-03 12:07:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x029ba3…
08-03 04:06:47	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x40fcce…
08-02 20:00:39	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xb71b07…
08-02 11:49:17	sun quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 2pt7	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x3c657d…
08-02 11:08:51	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xec9105…
08-02 01:38:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x6f8222…
08-01 17:29:14	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x5e8ae2…
08-01 09:29:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x9e5cb5…
08-01 01:18:17	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x6738c4…
07-31 17:18:06	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x70992b…
07-31 09:09:06	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe3e5e8…
07-28 05:07:09	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xd9c4aa…
07-27 19:40:33	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x81719b…
07-27 03:54:45	tday quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 neg0pt02	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x00ff9d…
07-26 15:52:36	will trump say joe or biden 12 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420352	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x7773de…
07-26 03:50:16	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xe47bd7…