Tricky-Cardigan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved

284

Trades

286

lifetime

Volume

$3.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-31 17:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 222 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$4

Politics

6% 90% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump Leave China on May 14?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-14 04:48
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$23	24	+24	No	-$23	05-15 04:50
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-12 17:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-30 06:42
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 29?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-29 10:15
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-28 01:21
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-27 08:14
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 26?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-27 01:15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-26 08:59
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on April 25?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-25 09:58
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-24 07:42
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 23 2026 27c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 22:37
highest temperature in busan on april 23 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:11
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 00:42
highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 20corhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-22 09:18
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 23:46
highest temperature in busan on april 21 2026 21c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-21 09:12
highest temperature in toronto on april 20 2026 5c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-21 01:11
highest temperature in seoul on april 20 2026 15c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-20 12:02
highest temperature in denver on april 19 2026 74 75f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-20 02:24
highest temperature in busan on april 19 2026 25c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-19 10:42
highest temperature in denver on april 18 2026 64 65f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-19 00:46
highest temperature in wuhan on april 18 2026 29c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-18 11:16
highest temperature in san francisco on april 17 2026 68 69f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-18 01:33
highest temperature in moscow on april 17 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-17 15:48
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 18c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:38
highest temperature in mexico city on april 16 2026 28c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-17 01:37
highest temperature in karachi on april 16 2026 33c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-16 15:13
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:11
highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 86 87f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-16 03:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 17:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe3185c…
10-31 09:46:31	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x87b0f6…
10-30 09:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x53ec74…
10-29 08:39:41	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfc0ed7…
10-28 05:11:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6329c9…
10-27 08:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4a2ad3…
10-26 09:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfb53dd…
10-24 10:09:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x643f62…
10-22 10:33:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xecd1e1…
10-20 04:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x256a33…
10-19 08:38:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb69f3…
10-18 08:57:23	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26c3f3…
10-17 09:07:35	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe3c805…
10-16 08:49:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x799abd…
10-15 08:56:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15bb49…
10-14 08:33:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe51aff…
10-13 08:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f01c4…
10-12 08:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5133f3…
10-11 07:27:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x533fcf…
10-08 08:12:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa342eb…
10-07 13:17:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f3ede…
10-06 07:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x480ce4…
10-04 10:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32d709…
10-03 05:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb66a0e…
10-02 07:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x465e73…
10-01 08:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd05b6…
09-30 12:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4b9c2…
09-29 09:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb79644…
09-28 09:16:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xefbf90…
09-27 08:28:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x650b3d…
09-25 08:20:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8da1b0…
09-24 08:12:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3fcf3b…
09-23 05:24:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdac2a8…
09-22 07:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0acec…
09-21 08:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x639e1c…
09-20 05:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb707c…
09-19 07:55:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8cff5…
09-18 01:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc921db…
09-17 03:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x277e84…
09-16 07:34:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2909e5…
09-15 08:15:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8abdde…
09-14 08:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdbf8b9…
09-12 10:18:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3fdb01…
09-11 07:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81782e…
09-10 02:08:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x375f0c…
09-09 01:12:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a2a11…
09-08 01:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4c091…
09-07 08:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x209892…
09-06 17:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x660823…
09-06 08:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc5923f…
09-05 09:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcab3c4…
09-04 09:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a75fb…
09-03 09:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf49018…
09-01 09:50:45	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5bd79…
08-30 08:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x815340…
08-29 07:04:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9085f9…
08-28 06:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4248d3…
08-27 07:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29e56e…
08-26 08:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb59adb…
08-25 07:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d047e…
08-24 09:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c9f0a…
08-23 14:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xceccc7…
08-22 07:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f6181…
08-21 03:48:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0aa67…
08-20 08:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4bfbbe…
08-19 08:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x88f976…
08-18 06:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa53cdb…
08-17 07:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7afeb…
08-16 10:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb08bd9…
08-15 09:35:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2554d…
08-14 06:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf57c37…
08-13 07:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fa599…
08-12 07:29:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc87a84…
08-11 03:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0cef5c…
08-10 00:43:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x357dd5…
08-09 01:13:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78ae08…
08-08 07:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdba364…
08-07 00:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a9fda…
08-06 00:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcbbff2…
08-05 07:41:20	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x831d11…
08-04 07:42:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d1a17…
08-03 01:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd37d90…
08-02 01:19:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac2f66…
08-01 00:38:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63493a…
07-31 07:48:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xceb216…
07-30 06:36:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5650ad…
07-29 06:03:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x694eca…
07-28 05:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfad565…
07-27 07:51:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x479cd0…
07-26 06:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19fe85…
07-25 01:01:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x68885d…
07-24 08:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2284e4…
07-23 02:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x886cbc…
07-22 01:42:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0846d2…
07-20 23:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x475f58…
07-20 02:16:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee7a48…
07-18 22:20:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2c4b4…
07-17 23:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x317971…
07-17 06:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24a1aa…
07-16 07:45:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd2748…