Skeletal-Otter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$647

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

332

lifetime

Volume

$95.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$288

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-06 22:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

43% 0% $-549

Other

41% 0% $-98

Crypto

17% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	22	$24.8K	42,587	42,587	+0	open	—	04-17 21:56
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	5	$12.5K	25,287	25,287	+0	open	—	04-13 19:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	15	$6.4K	3,591	3,591	+0	open	—	04-26 14:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	3	$4.0K	2,070	2,067	+3	open	—	04-28 19:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	5	$3.6K	1,993	1,993	+0	open	—	05-06 11:09
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 28?	2	$3.6K	1,807	1,807	+0	open	—	04-27 19:28
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$3.4K	10,132	0	+10,132	open	—	03-31 20:37
btc updown 5m 1773440100	3	$2.8K	2,372	1,172	+1,200	open	—	03-13 22:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	3	$2.3K	1,921	610	+1,311	open	—	04-28 14:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	3	$2.1K	1,731	1,731	+0	open	—	05-12 21:35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	1	$2.0K	2,079	0	+2,079	open	—	04-28 19:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	5	$2.0K	1,070	1,070	+0	open	—	05-31 19:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$2.0K	1,097	1,097	+0	open	—	05-06 11:15
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$1.0K	549	549	+0	open	—	05-04 09:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	2	$1.0K	513	513	+0	open	—	05-05 21:45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1	$1000	1,306	0	+1,306	open	—	05-31 19:47
btc updown 5m 1773440400	1	$1000	1,020	0	+1,020	open	—	03-13 22:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$957	532	532	+0	open	—	05-06 10:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	1	$920	963	0	+963	open	—	05-06 10:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$712	396	396	+0	open	—	05-14 21:00
btc updown 5m 1773444900	7	$700	915	0	+915	open	—	03-13 23:39
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	4	$658	358	358	+0	open	—	04-21 20:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	1	$630	651	0	+651	open	—	05-06 11:55
btc updown 5m 1773448800	2	$600	609	0	+609	open	—	03-14 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	3	$576	683	189	+494	open	—	04-24 20:37
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	1	$549	757	0	+757	Yes	$-549	04-24 19:33
btc updown 5m 1780780800	5	$460	509	0	+509	open	—	06-06 21:23
btc updown 5m 1773439200	2	$455	516	0	+516	open	—	03-13 22:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$452	253	253	+0	open	—	05-31 19:49
btc updown 5m 1773615600	3	$417	219	219	+0	open	—	03-15 23:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 22:11:01	btc updown 5m 1780783800	Up	BUY	208	77¢	$160	0x6f28eb…
06-06 22:10:07	btc updown 5m 1780783800	Up	BUY	154	52¢	$80	0x83068d…
06-06 22:08:58	btc updown 5m 1780783500	Up	SELL	76	4¢	$3	0xf9a0c3…
06-06 22:05:00	btc updown 5m 1780783500	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xc2bca5…
06-06 22:05:00	btc updown 5m 1780783500	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x960331…
06-06 22:03:52	btc updown 5m 1780783200	Up	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x7dfd9c…
06-06 22:02:21	btc updown 5m 1780783200	Up	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x5b52ab…
06-06 22:02:16	btc updown 5m 1780783200	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xe554d5…
06-06 22:01:58	btc updown 5m 1780783200	Up	SELL	89	54¢	$48	0x18c03d…
06-06 22:01:13	btc updown 5m 1780783200	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xa5db25…
06-06 21:59:48	btc updown 5m 1780783200	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x550316…
06-06 21:55:09	btc updown 5m 1780782900	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xee487f…
06-06 21:50:12	btc updown 5m 1780782600	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc69000…
06-06 21:44:52	btc updown 5m 1780782300	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa8b62f…
06-06 21:43:57	btc updown 5m 1780782000	Up	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x294ba2…
06-06 21:43:33	btc updown 5m 1780782000	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x514ccb…
06-06 21:42:39	btc updown 5m 1780782000	Up	SELL	24	84¢	$20	0x05652f…
06-06 21:40:42	btc updown 5m 1780782000	Down	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0xd7a898…
06-06 21:40:33	btc updown 5m 1780782000	Up	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x304ca5…
06-06 21:40:06	btc updown 5m 1780782000	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xcc9f0c…
06-06 21:36:27	btc updown 5m 1780781700	Up	SELL	33	9¢	$3	0xffd629…
06-06 21:36:03	btc updown 5m 1780781700	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xc85493…
06-06 21:35:28	btc updown 5m 1780781700	Down	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0x8113da…
06-06 21:34:58	btc updown 5m 1780781700	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x09e105…
06-06 21:32:13	btc updown 5m 1780781400	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xd40460…
06-06 21:31:25	btc updown 5m 1780781400	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xa6e1bc…
06-06 21:31:00	btc updown 5m 1780781400	Up	SELL	25	67¢	$17	0x6c0cb0…
06-06 21:30:39	btc updown 5m 1780781400	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x40385b…
06-06 21:30:22	btc updown 5m 1780781400	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x416a6f…
06-06 21:29:48	btc updown 5m 1780781100	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xb77273…
06-06 21:29:31	btc updown 5m 1780781100	Up	SELL	21	19¢	$4	0x971b95…
06-06 21:29:07	btc updown 5m 1780781100	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x523885…
06-06 21:25:34	btc updown 5m 1780781100	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd78de1…
06-06 21:23:28	btc updown 5m 1780780800	Up	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0x5fb920…
06-06 21:23:12	btc updown 5m 1780780800	Up	BUY	221	91¢	$200	0x306ea5…
06-06 21:22:55	btc updown 5m 1780780800	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x43cc3a…
06-06 21:22:51	btc updown 5m 1780780800	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x92ffbb…
06-06 21:22:45	btc updown 5m 1780780800	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x9e6300…
06-06 21:19:16	btc updown 5m 1780780500	Down	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x9370a8…
06-06 21:18:25	btc updown 5m 1780780500	Up	SELL	56	28¢	$16	0x6ad69e…
06-06 21:17:27	btc updown 5m 1780780500	Up	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x1811e3…
06-06 21:16:24	btc updown 5m 1780780500	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x56bbb1…
06-06 21:13:06	btc updown 5m 1780780200	Up	SELL	15	98¢	$14	0x7a3e66…
06-06 21:12:49	btc updown 5m 1780780200	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x723050…
06-06 21:12:49	btc updown 5m 1780780200	Down	BUY	180	6¢	$10	0x69b2b9…
06-06 21:10:42	btc updown 5m 1780780200	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x09e482…
06-06 21:07:48	btc updown 5m 1780779900	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xbc5a72…
06-06 21:05:13	btc updown 5m 1780779900	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x8c7190…
06-06 21:04:07	btc updown 5m 1780779600	Up	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x0ec3f7…
06-06 21:00:00	btc updown 5m 1780779600	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8746e3…
06-06 20:58:55	btc updown 5m 1780779300	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x2c5fe0…
06-06 20:56:18	btc updown 5m 1780779300	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0581d5…
06-06 20:53:46	btc updown 5m 1780779000	Up	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x8ce968…
06-06 20:50:36	btc updown 5m 1780779000	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x0af68e…
06-01 20:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	9	84¢	$8	0xe61d0c…
06-01 20:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa93df3…
06-01 20:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x55fad4…
06-01 20:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	29	80¢	$23	0x54e631…
06-01 20:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x34de38…
06-01 20:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xe473cd…
06-01 20:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x5dc644…
06-01 20:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x813f2b…
06-01 20:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	89¢	$9	0xbfb34a…
06-01 20:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x36d475…
06-01 20:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0xcb35a8…
06-01 20:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x9e3199…
06-01 20:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x2fc840…
06-01 20:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x3ee47c…
06-01 20:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x3ccb61…
06-01 20:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5a0fae…
06-01 20:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1a1b00…
05-31 19:59:35	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x9dd99b…
05-31 19:49:39	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	253	100¢	$252	0x9a2883…
05-31 19:49:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	1,070	100¢	$1,069	0xab2697…
05-31 19:47:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1,306	77¢	$1,000	0x60d77b…
05-16 22:27:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	336	89¢	$299	0x4fdd14…
05-16 22:20:31	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0x75e8f3…
05-15 09:22:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	170	88¢	$150	0x51cdf6…
05-15 08:13:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	127	80¢	$102	0xecee3f…
05-15 08:11:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	22	80¢	$18	0x06e9f4…
05-14 21:06:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x408dbe…
05-14 21:04:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x03846f…
05-14 21:00:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	396	91¢	$360	0x03d225…
05-12 21:38:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	329	84¢	$276	0xf8898c…
05-12 21:35:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	865	33¢	$286	0x600ff2…
05-12 05:42:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	396	89¢	$352	0x2fa64b…
05-12 05:38:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	865	42¢	$359	0x4096b5…
05-06 11:55:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	651	97¢	$630	0x80b0a3…
05-06 11:15:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	549	83¢	$456	0xdc1bb0…
05-06 11:12:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,731	87¢	$1,500	0xce9d69…
05-06 11:09:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	1,993	85¢	$1,684	0x0ed2d9…
05-06 10:48:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	963	96¢	$920	0x1dce93…
05-06 10:41:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	532	86¢	$457	0x39cd05…
05-06 10:36:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	549	85¢	$468	0xb7c5b6…
05-05 21:45:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	519	97¢	$501	0xd15e64…
05-05 21:45:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	513	98¢	$502	0xf46830…
05-05 21:34:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	578	97¢	$559	0x0e6a5d…
05-04 20:54:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	531	97¢	$513	0xd367b3…
05-04 09:11:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0x78bea8…
05-04 09:10:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	549	93¢	$511	0x34e360…