Deficient-Stimulus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

68.3%

Resolved

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$3.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-18

last 06-09 11:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

85% 73% +$4

Sports

11% 67% $-1

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5	Under		+36	$16	0¢	$0	$-16	06-02 17:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5	1	$63	93	0	+93	open	—	05-19 14:34
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5	1	$55	85	0	+85	open	—	05-22 16:28
Denmark vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Score	2	$53	40	40	+0	open	—	06-08 01:03
fif cam hkg 2026 06 09 total 3pt5	2	$52	36	36	+0	open	—	06-09 11:48
SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5	1	$51	71	0	+71	Over	$-51	05-11 13:20
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$50	81	0	+81	open	—	05-15 14:10
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5	1	$44	64	0	+64	Under	+$20	05-11 13:21
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$40	60	0	+60	open	—	05-18 14:04
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5	1	$40	61	0	+61	open	—	05-16 07:30
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5	1	$40	61	0	+61	open	—	05-16 07:00
South Africa vs. Nicaragua: O/U 3.5	2	$40	62	0	+62	open	—	05-29 14:58
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5	1	$39	63	0	+63	open	—	05-25 20:38
fif hkg mng 2026 06 05 total 2pt5	1	$34	64	0	+64	open	—	06-05 13:14
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5	1	$33	53	0	+53	open	—	05-23 03:54
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	1	$33	53	0	+53	open	—	05-20 16:34
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5	1	$33	51	0	+51	open	—	06-06 12:50
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5	1	$33	54	0	+54	open	—	05-25 20:30
South Africa vs. Nicaragua: O/U 2.5	1	$33	49	0	+49	open	—	05-29 16:31
Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 2.5	1	$31	52	0	+52	open	—	06-02 18:17
Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5	1	$31	51	0	+51	open	—	05-31 06:04
Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 3.5	1	$31	51	0	+51	open	—	06-01 17:27
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5	1	$30	40	0	+40	open	—	05-18 14:04
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5	1	$30	51	0	+51	open	—	05-23 03:52
Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5	1	$30	40	0	+40	open	—	06-05 01:27
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5	1	$30	42	0	+42	Under	+$12	05-09 09:45
Andorra vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5	2	$30	50	0	+50	open	—	05-29 14:57
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 3.5	1	$29	49	0	+49	open	—	05-21 16:33
Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5	1	$28	38	0	+38	open	—	05-28 17:31
Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5	2	$28	38	0	+38	open	—	05-23 04:20
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$25	39	0	+39	open	—	05-19 15:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 11:53:58	fif chn tha 2026 06 09 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	31	67¢	$21	0x1ada12…
06-09 11:48:39	fif cam hkg 2026 06 09 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	36	72¢	$26	0x3ae23b…
06-09 11:47:09	fif cam hkg 2026 06 09 btts	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x34bef2…
06-09 11:46:54	fif cam hkg 2026 06 09 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	36	73¢	$26	0xaa62b8…
06-09 11:45:27	fif chn tha 2026 06 09 btts	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x579b5c…
06-09 02:13:43	fif fij van 2026 06 09 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xd39c0b…
06-09 02:12:43	Peru vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x4b0a48…
06-09 02:11:43	Peru vs. Spain: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	34	71¢	$24	0xe248bf…
06-08 13:34:01	Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x09a91c…
06-08 13:27:48	France vs. Northern Ireland: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x37c923…
06-08 13:26:18	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	32	69¢	$22	0x2d4b20…
06-08 01:03:30	Denmark vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	40	83¢	$33	0xa988b3…
06-07 14:05:49	Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	24	70¢	$17	0x6c2586…
06-07 14:04:37	Morocco vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x6642d9…
06-07 13:51:24	Denmark vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x65fde2…
06-06 17:10:39	United States vs. Germany: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0xeeff54…
06-06 17:10:00	United States vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xb49524…
06-06 17:09:40	Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xd218d7…
06-06 12:50:30	Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	51	65¢	$33	0xcfd7de…
06-05 13:14:24	fif hkg mng 2026 06 05 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	64	53¢	$34	0x106fc6…
06-05 01:27:36	Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x7aaf1f…
06-04 17:30:09	fif esp irq 2026 06 04 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	31	61¢	$19	0xeaf4db…
06-04 17:29:15	France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xc5d24c…
06-04 01:20:00	Panama vs. Dominican Republic: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5a6feb…
06-04 01:19:15	Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xfdf8d7…
06-03 16:14:51	DR Congo vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x8f001f…
06-02 18:22:26	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xeffcc8…
06-02 18:17:08	Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	52	60¢	$31	0x9563b3…
06-02 17:47:00	Haiti vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xddaaf4…
06-02 17:41:43	Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x458dce…
06-02 17:35:46	Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	42	53¢	$22	0x75afae…
06-02 17:28:48	Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	36	44¢	$16	0x980189…
06-02 17:27:45	Croatia vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	27	63¢	$17	0xbbb39a…
06-01 17:41:49	Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x8491db…
06-01 17:36:43	Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x69c934…
06-01 17:27:27	Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	51	61¢	$31	0x27a3b4…
06-01 17:21:02	Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x87fc6d…
05-31 06:30:34	Germany vs. Finland: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	32	69¢	$22	0x4f232d…
05-31 06:21:05	Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0x337b01…
05-31 06:20:41	Singapore vs. Mongolia: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x22dda3…
05-31 06:20:04	Singapore vs. Mongolia: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x5325f1…
05-31 06:08:12	Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x996552…
05-31 06:07:33	Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	43	54¢	$23	0x10c1f1…
05-31 06:04:26	Switzerland vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	51	61¢	$31	0x13cdde…
05-30 17:37:37	Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	36	59¢	$21	0x2284f6…
05-29 17:39:40	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x21f42a…
05-29 17:20:43	South Africa vs. Nicaragua: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	34	71¢	$24	0x4cb352…
05-29 16:31:38	South Africa vs. Nicaragua: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	49	68¢	$33	0x55e869…
05-29 14:58:23	South Africa vs. Nicaragua: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xb5362a…
05-29 14:57:51	Andorra vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x49bd76…
05-29 14:55:59	South Africa vs. Nicaragua: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	54	65¢	$35	0x97dd22…
05-29 12:40:46	Andorra vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xd189a3…
05-28 17:37:19	Egypt vs. Russia: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xb7c3dd…
05-28 17:31:08	Republic of Ireland vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0x4b0f33…
05-27 18:25:54	Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)	Canadiens	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x1fa406…
05-27 18:23:23	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	38	61¢	$23	0xd9d292…
05-27 18:14:56	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	37	60¢	$22	0xbaf8fb…
05-27 18:09:53	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x4b5505…
05-27 18:09:41	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0x941c66…
05-25 20:38:11	New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	63	62¢	$39	0x594543…
05-25 20:30:06	Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5	Under	BUY	54	61¢	$33	0xee96cd…
05-25 20:23:45	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	88	0¢	$0	0xf1ddc6…
05-24 18:27:58	Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0xd76c51…
05-24 17:16:43	SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xc8c9b0…
05-24 06:03:43	Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0x1ae8c3…
05-24 05:56:13	Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x95aab7…
05-24 05:47:00	Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xb8c63f…
05-24 05:42:55	Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xa8e2b9…
05-24 04:55:26	Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xa52cb3…
05-24 04:54:44	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x66dd8f…
05-23 19:41:15	Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x31d647…
05-23 19:19:26	Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0x5f6930…
05-23 19:15:12	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	33	69¢	$23	0x797c7a…
05-23 18:37:40	Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	33	69¢	$23	0x4a52fd…
05-23 04:20:55	Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x516d48…
05-23 04:19:40	RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xe75998…
05-23 03:54:14	Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	53	62¢	$33	0x6791d2…
05-23 03:52:53	Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xc4c9de…
05-23 03:46:32	RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xb1e8f4…
05-23 03:46:07	Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xe015e7…
05-22 16:28:51	ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	85	65¢	$55	0x5f6296…
05-21 16:51:57	NEOM SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xf87194…
05-21 16:51:19	Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xc9a89c…
05-21 16:33:05	Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	49	59¢	$29	0x79328b…
05-21 16:29:04	Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x78daa8…
05-21 16:28:44	Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xfcaa39…
05-20 17:03:03	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x9d34d3…
05-20 16:38:00	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xfa9cdb…
05-20 16:34:25	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	53	62¢	$33	0xfe301f…
05-19 15:33:03	AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xed2ede…
05-19 14:34:05	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	93	68¢	$63	0x3c6c6a…
05-18 14:04:56	Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0xbb2e79…
05-18 14:04:31	Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x96abe4…
05-18 11:24:25	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x680df7…
05-16 07:30:09	FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0x7d9afb…
05-16 07:00:05	Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0x0642a9…
05-15 14:10:22	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x6e9fa7…
05-14 16:36:23	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xb81ed9…
05-14 16:06:47	Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xdaea37…
05-14 11:42:04	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xcf5ab8…