Incomplete-Handgun — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.0%

Resolved

Trades

164

lifetime

Volume

$184

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 05-16 20:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 74% $-3

Other

25% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-01 09:11
lal bet rea 2026 04 24 rea	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-24 08:43
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-21 13:27
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-23 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 09:50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-25 16:21
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-04-25?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-25 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 18:06
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-25 16:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-26 22:05
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 18:36
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-26 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 17:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-02 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 20:40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 23:40
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-02 18:45
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-26 16:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-01 08:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 10:51
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 10:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 20:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x83e02d…
05-16 20:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1fd8ee…
05-13 21:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x431682…
05-13 13:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe16655…
05-13 12:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3394b4…
05-13 12:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5c446d…
05-13 12:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xd57e4a…
05-13 12:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x458e36…
05-13 12:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5b15fa…
05-13 12:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x25cca0…
05-13 12:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf76460…
05-13 12:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5d4b8f…
05-13 12:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4fca93…
05-12 20:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf4bb8d…
05-12 20:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfbb0f8…
05-12 20:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7d5c3a…
05-10 22:55:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc004bb…
05-10 22:54:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbd0447…
05-10 20:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf60ec2…
05-10 20:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6956f5…
05-10 19:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xecc36b…
05-10 19:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe4dd00…
05-10 19:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x82fad4…
05-07 15:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x85b9cb…
05-06 22:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x680a88…
05-06 22:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdb0286…
05-06 22:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x68a164…
05-06 21:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa8727e…
05-06 21:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x057097…
05-03 11:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6cc273…
05-03 11:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x78c6b2…
05-02 20:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3e0eb7…
05-02 20:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xbf2b38…
05-02 18:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0887dd…
05-02 18:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2c77c1…
05-02 11:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xca8b02…
05-02 11:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x590b1c…
05-02 11:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xccdfe7…
05-02 09:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7cf3ee…
05-02 08:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7c1721…
05-01 21:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x34e2d5…
05-01 21:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x303496…
05-01 21:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x830b77…
05-01 09:11:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1e0967…
05-01 09:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6e52f9…
05-01 08:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa5a841…
05-01 08:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x3ee5ba…
05-01 08:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x028991…
05-01 08:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x74c917…
05-01 08:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9b03be…
05-01 08:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb9b5fb…
05-01 08:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1d73fe…
04-29 18:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x899454…
04-29 15:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4a6bce…
04-29 15:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x3d9d7a…
04-29 15:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x90d877…
04-29 14:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x45e53d…
04-29 14:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x491ace…
04-29 11:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcb983f…
04-29 10:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x4f8cee…
04-29 10:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xda54af…
04-29 10:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa98a33…
04-29 10:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x57ac83…
04-29 10:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xff13a9…
04-29 10:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdebb8a…
04-29 10:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xba3c36…
04-29 10:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7649c2…
04-29 10:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc83538…
04-28 23:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x695f67…
04-28 23:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2aa21a…
04-28 23:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x10e178…
04-28 23:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb14128…
04-28 23:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xef1db3…
04-28 23:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0d86fe…
04-28 23:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe07cb3…
04-28 18:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x48c451…
04-28 18:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x55dc4f…
04-28 18:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xaa0a6f…
04-28 18:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x45bd1d…
04-28 18:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xcbe70f…
04-28 18:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xae04e7…
04-28 18:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3e4c85…
04-28 18:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xdd0190…
04-28 17:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x308cc7…
04-27 22:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x37aa72…
04-27 21:10:52	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbc38a3…
04-27 21:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x16a968…
04-27 19:13:02	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbaca26…
04-27 19:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x36bb02…
04-27 19:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbb5113…
04-27 17:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x14b6e4…
04-27 17:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf1de37…
04-27 17:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xad57b7…
04-27 17:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x94baed…
04-27 17:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7933af…
04-27 13:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x670eaf…
04-27 13:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x7078ec…
04-27 12:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x9a84b8…
04-27 12:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x583afc…
04-27 12:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x72d36c…