Clumsy-Seabass — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$674

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.4%

Resolved

474

Trades

1,113

lifetime

Volume

$19.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 10-31 22:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 148 days

Categories

Other

79% 37% -$354

Crypto

13% 43% -$70

Politics

8% 30% -$218

Sports

0% 17% -$5

Tech

0% 0% -$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	9	$727	583	583	+0	No	+$43	09-11 03:13
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?	4	$586	466	466	+0	No	+$345	09-06 15:31
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	10	$459	384	384	+0	Yes	+$4	09-20 03:34
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	8	$450	414	414	+0	Yes	+$57	05-25 07:21
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	5	$414	293	293	+0	No	-$12	09-12 18:47
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 32 and 32.5 million views on day 6?	2	$394	297	297	+0	Yes	+$200	10-02 16:09
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40.5 and 41.0 million views on day 5?	2	$378	203	203	+0	No	+$28	09-17 16:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$362	214	214	+0	No	+$22	05-29 21:50
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	4	$361	187	187	+0	No	+$12	09-08 17:22
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	2	$314	219	219	+0	Yes	+$14	09-11 18:20
Will MrBeast's next video get 78.0 million or more views on day 6?	2	$287	193	193	+0	No	+$87	09-11 15:59
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	4	$285	215	215	+0	Yes	+$49	09-15 16:05
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	6	$280	270	270	+0	No	+$94	09-18 10:26
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	2	$244	182	182	+0	Yes	+$44	09-11 03:13
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	2	$240	148	148	+0	Yes	+$13	09-05 19:59
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?	2	$227	513	513	+0	Yes	-$186	10-03 22:39
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	4	$217	219	219	+0	Yes	+$37	05-26 06:48
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 38 million views in week 1?	2	$215	116	116	+0	Yes	+$15	09-05 06:54
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	6	$211	298	298	+0	Yes	+$0	07-23 23:28
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 190 214	5	$202	108	108	+0	No	+$12	02-11 16:28
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	2	$201	131	131	+0	No	+$17	06-13 13:42
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 90 114	2	$199	111	111	+0	No	-$1	02-13 18:00
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 400 419	2	$198	103	103	+0	No	+$6	02-13 15:11
donald trump of truth social posts february 6 february 13 160 179	3	$195	111	111	+0	No	+$18	02-13 12:16
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	2	$190	111	111	+0	No	-$9	07-25 00:32
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?	2	$172	158	158	+0	No	-$48	09-16 17:09
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	3	$172	138	138	+0	Yes	+$95	09-29 16:17
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	4	$168	140	140	+0	Yes	+$12	05-30 06:52
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	6	$165	311	311	+0	No	-$17	05-25 16:07
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	2	$146	244	244	+0	No	-$50	08-10 22:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 22:13:07	Club ABB vs. CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x1c85d0…
10-31 22:07:57	FC Porto vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xdeb9dc…
10-31 20:43:54	FC Porto vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf821f6…
10-31 20:42:39	UC Sampdoria vs. Virtus Entella: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5ad8bb…
10-31 18:56:16	UC Sampdoria vs. Virtus Entella: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x05202c…
10-31 18:55:09	Will MrBeast hit 525 million subscribers by October 31?	No	SELL	58	2¢	$1	0x55c8a9…
10-31 14:44:19	Will MrBeast hit 525 million subscribers by October 31?	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xb3bd68…
10-31 14:24:33	Will MrBeast hit 525 million subscribers by October 31?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x88a88b…
10-31 05:22:06	Will MrBeast hit 525 million subscribers by October 31?	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xeda2ae…
10-31 01:45:31	Will MrBeast hit 525 million subscribers by October 31?	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xc7508a…
10-22 15:10:17	Al Hazem SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x5c0ae7…
10-22 15:09:59	Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?	No	SELL	14	50¢	$7	0x13e621…
10-22 14:13:47	Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x89e008…
10-21 22:46:33	Sarasota Paradise vs. FC Naples: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	45	86¢	$39	0xf44f5c…
10-21 22:32:48	Will Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?	No	SELL	29	64¢	$18	0x93c776…
10-21 22:09:20	Will Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?	No	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xce42cd…
10-21 20:51:27	Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x2e5172…
10-21 20:37:53	Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	41	90¢	$37	0x0a4334…
10-21 20:33:32	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	38	98¢	$38	0xd54c45…
10-21 19:09:33	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	38	75¢	$29	0x59e7bf…
10-21 19:05:39	Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	32	93¢	$29	0x3b4e9f…
10-21 18:31:18	Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	32	85¢	$27	0x36c0d6…
10-21 18:29:29	Ceramica Cleopatra Club vs. Montakhab Suez Petrojet: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xe40821…
10-21 17:38:35	Ceramica Cleopatra Club vs. Montakhab Suez Petrojet: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xdf7517…
10-21 17:37:06	Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0xe025fa…
10-21 16:57:30	Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0x465b85…
10-21 16:56:56	Ghazl El Mahalla SC vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x201178…
10-21 16:56:39	Ghazl El Mahalla SC vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xb39511…
10-21 15:14:53	Ghazl El Mahalla SC vs. El Ittihad SC El Iskandary: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xffb401…
10-21 06:11:47	Tigres de la UANL vs. Club León FC: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xdeb0d0…
10-21 03:35:08	Tigres de la UANL vs. Club León FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x91636c…
10-21 01:47:50	Will Atlético San Luis vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	14	63¢	$9	0xfd7ff6…
10-21 01:37:23	Will Atlético San Luis vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xd57a29…
10-21 01:23:29	Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-10-19?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x46ab6e…
10-21 00:59:42	Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-10-19?	No	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0xa6fa84…
10-21 00:57:44	Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Atlético Nacional: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xa311ec…
10-20 23:54:50	Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Atlético Nacional: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x6449ad…
10-20 23:19:53	Deportivo Pereira vs. Boyacá Chicó FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x9cdacb…
10-20 22:50:26	Deportivo Pereira vs. Boyacá Chicó FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x3efe6d…
10-20 20:54:26	Will FC Porto vs. PSV end in a draw?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x8c1905…
10-20 19:17:53	Will FC Porto vs. PSV end in a draw?	No	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x5c33d6…
10-20 19:15:56	Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?	No	SELL	14	67¢	$9	0xa9b742…
10-20 18:40:44	Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x24940c…
10-17 14:03:03	SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xce62f5…
10-17 04:41:10	nba den lal 2026 10 16 total 229pt5	Under	SELL	21	32¢	$7	0x3be27d…
10-17 04:28:22	nba den lal 2026 10 16 total 229pt5	Under	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x2c9bc8…
10-17 04:08:02	nba uta phx 2026 10 16 total 225pt5	Under	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0xc39f32…
10-17 03:32:48	Washington vs. Purdue: O/U 71.5	Under	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x305c60…
10-17 02:42:21	Washington vs. Purdue: O/U 71.5	Under	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x71345a…
10-15 02:26:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x4a1dc8…
10-15 02:18:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xb17bf6…
10-15 02:18:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x13cd82…
10-15 02:15:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf1d1ac…
10-15 02:15:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xdb43d2…
10-15 02:14:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:10 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb37d00…
10-15 02:12:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:10 UTC	Up	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x88b5eb…
10-15 02:08:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xacf3dc…
10-15 02:08:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa2e432…
10-15 02:07:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:05 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xce14ca…
10-15 02:06:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:05 UTC	Down	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x66db8b…
10-15 02:04:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf6799d…
10-15 02:04:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc589bb…
10-15 02:03:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x432d5c…
10-15 02:02:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x834de6…
10-15 01:56:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x44f34e…
10-15 01:56:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5ce59f…
10-15 01:49:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:45 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x0d7999…
10-15 01:41:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x14abbf…
10-15 01:40:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x13770a…
10-15 01:39:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:35 UTC	Up	SELL	24	11¢	$3	0xd05f5d…
10-15 01:38:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:35 UTC	Down	SELL	24	7¢	$2	0x6f65ff…
10-15 01:30:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x258617…
10-15 01:30:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x91436b…
10-15 01:28:19	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	97	5¢	$5	0xf95fca…
10-15 01:28:11	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	81	27¢	$22	0xca1959…
10-14 15:37:49	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x261a57…
10-14 15:37:24	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	26¢	$25	0x6c1ba1…
10-13 20:58:13	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 44 and 45 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	41	35¢	$14	0xd5fafd…
10-13 20:57:49	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 45 million or more views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	76	8¢	$6	0xfbfac2…
10-13 19:48:10	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 44 and 45 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x43f8a0…
10-13 15:54:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1b691e…
10-13 15:50:24	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xc0d65c…
10-13 15:50:19	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0x68072f…
10-13 02:24:12	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x4cae28…
10-13 02:23:51	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0x08a885…
10-08 23:44:09	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	0¢	$0	0x017d27…
10-08 13:51:03	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	18¢	$6	0xe572a0…
10-08 13:26:47	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0xa8d81c…
10-08 10:21:08	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$2	0x522944…
10-08 10:20:48	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	19¢	$8	0x6f73db…
10-07 19:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xce5a2f…
10-07 19:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x402448…
10-07 19:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xea1fed…
10-07 19:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xca1567…
10-07 19:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdfab17…
10-07 19:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x48fb17…
10-07 19:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xd9016b…
10-07 19:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	39	13¢	$5	0xa88e5c…
10-07 18:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x39c503…
10-07 18:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xd8ebdd…