Reasonable-Balance-Dimple — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.85K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.5%

Resolved

3,628

Trades

4,733

lifetime

Volume

$325.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-29

last 11-03 20:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 84% -$1,848

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 459 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:20 UTC	23	$3.2K	3,039	2,723	+316	Down	-$2,262	10-13 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:15 UTC	18	$2.6K	2,679	0	+2,679	Up	+$79	10-13 16:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:10 UTC	17	$2.4K	2,624	0	+2,624	Down	+$63	10-13 16:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:05 UTC	16	$2.4K	2,500	0	+2,500	Down	+$100	10-13 16:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:50 UTC	14	$2.2K	2,425	0	+2,425	Up	+$225	10-13 15:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC	5	$2.1K	2,152	0	+2,152	Up	+$52	10-13 15:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:25 UTC	7	$1.8K	1,644	1,205	+438	Down	-$554	10-13 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:25 UTC	10	$1.8K	2,128	0	+2,128	Down	+$328	10-13 15:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:10 UTC	9	$1.7K	1,877	0	+1,877	Up	+$177	10-13 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	17	$1.7K	2,124	0	+2,124	Up	-$1,700	11-03 06:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:40 UTC	6	$1.7K	2,695	2,695	+0	Down	-$129	10-13 17:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:00 UTC	8	$1.6K	1,809	0	+1,809	Up	+$209	10-13 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	7	$1.5K	1,640	0	+1,640	Up	+$140	10-13 06:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:50 UTC	7	$1.5K	1,575	0	+1,575	Down	+$75	10-13 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	6	$1.4K	1,494	0	+1,494	Up	+$94	10-13 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	5	$1.3K	1,377	0	+1,377	Down	+$77	10-13 06:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:15 UTC	5	$1.3K	1,215	816	+399	Down	-$529	10-13 18:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 02:45 UTC	13	$1.3K	1,495	370	+1,125	Down	-$10	07-02 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	13	$1.3K	1,363	309	+1,054	Down	-$140	10-13 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	4	$1.2K	1,275	0	+1,275	Up	+$75	10-13 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	12	$1.2K	1,634	0	+1,634	Up	+$434	11-03 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	12	$1.2K	1,230	0	+1,230	Up	+$30	11-03 06:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 03:00 UTC	11	$1.2K	1,335	954	+381	Up	-$618	07-02 03:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC	3	$1.1K	1,211	0	+1,211	Up	+$111	10-13 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	11	$1.1K	1,120	0	+1,120	Up	+$20	10-13 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	11	$1.1K	1,175	0	+1,175	Up	+$82	10-13 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	11	$1.1K	1,140	0	+1,140	Up	+$47	10-13 02:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	10	$1.0K	1,159	0	+1,159	Up	+$149	10-13 03:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:20 UTC	2	$1000	1,068	0	+1,068	Up	+$68	10-13 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:55 UTC	2	$1000	1,078	0	+1,078	Up	+$78	10-13 17:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 20:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xfff39a…
11-03 20:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x1d9098…
11-03 20:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xf7c1f1…
11-03 20:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xe72412…
11-03 20:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xd8ea37…
11-03 20:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x7e5dce…
11-03 20:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x60cd92…
11-03 20:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xeb03be…
11-03 20:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x7811a8…
11-03 20:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x618974…
11-03 20:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x38041f…
11-03 18:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x626a03…
11-03 17:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x3e55e6…
11-03 17:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xe6e57b…
11-03 16:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x7282d6…
11-03 16:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x23f334…
11-03 16:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xbf3e5c…
11-03 16:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xe8dd68…
11-03 14:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x27e18a…
11-03 14:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xae1836…
11-03 14:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0xe43fbc…
11-03 13:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6b981a…
11-03 13:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe52ca2…
11-03 13:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xb4a044…
11-03 13:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x03efa1…
11-03 13:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x54b324…
11-03 12:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9c7ca7…
11-03 12:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x89e88f…
11-03 12:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5e3f32…
11-03 11:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc20c78…
11-03 10:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa55008…
11-03 09:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x220a73…
11-03 07:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3b0be9…
11-03 07:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe87aa9…
11-03 06:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xbd84be…
11-03 06:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x3dc617…
11-03 06:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x2a698d…
11-03 06:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xa74f78…
11-03 06:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x82cc1e…
11-03 06:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x460b8c…
11-03 06:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xbf0c83…
11-03 06:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x9dd32b…
11-03 06:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x805413…
11-03 06:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x53649e…
11-03 06:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x483dbb…
11-03 06:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x30500f…
11-03 06:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x5ae748…
11-03 06:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x384069…
11-03 06:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x302376…
11-03 06:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x1c06b9…
11-03 06:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x9cbe74…
11-03 06:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	453	95¢	$430	0x932d7a…
11-03 06:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xb76029…
11-03 06:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x5199e7…
11-03 06:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xd5b2c1…
11-03 06:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xd0d7d6…
11-03 06:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x8ab58b…
11-03 06:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x88c1cd…
11-03 06:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xcaf729…
11-03 06:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xa93734…
11-03 06:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x966303…
11-03 06:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x2009ba…
11-03 06:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xebfe39…
11-03 06:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0x515d11…
11-03 06:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x1ec4d2…
11-03 06:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x7616ac…
11-03 06:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x55fd4a…
11-03 06:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x219d45…
11-03 06:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xfae806…
11-03 06:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xeec75a…
11-03 06:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xdcb8e2…
11-03 06:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xd9bfd4…
11-03 06:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x868811…
11-03 06:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xc10708…
11-03 06:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x9d96f1…
11-03 06:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x2437f8…
11-03 06:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	334	94¢	$314	0xffb852…
11-03 06:03:18	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb7bed3…
11-03 04:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	319	98¢	$313	0xe8e505…
11-03 03:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	328	94¢	$308	0x1b9884…
11-03 02:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	315	97¢	$306	0x01d964…
11-03 02:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	323	93¢	$301	0x7e344f…
11-03 02:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	414	97¢	$401	0x6aedeb…
11-03 02:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	407	98¢	$399	0x857e57…
11-03 02:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	409	97¢	$396	0xfccfae…
11-03 02:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	403	98¢	$395	0x78888a…
11-03 01:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	417	93¢	$388	0x23a2b1…
11-03 01:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	412	92¢	$380	0xa64bd2…
11-03 00:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	395	95¢	$376	0x863cb5…
11-03 00:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	387	96¢	$371	0x9c2f5c…
11-02 23:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	380	97¢	$368	0xc39431…
11-02 23:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	377	97¢	$366	0x9b7ba8…
11-02 21:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	308	94¢	$289	0xac736c…
11-02 20:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	304	94¢	$286	0x956218…
11-02 20:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	291	98¢	$285	0xae2d89…
11-02 20:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	289	98¢	$284	0xc045a3…
11-02 20:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	303	92¢	$279	0x6cfcf7…
11-02 20:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	288	96¢	$277	0xdd2977…
11-02 20:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	286	96¢	$275	0x901bdd…
11-02 20:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	289	94¢	$272	0xf8c56a…