Ugly-Commonsense — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$61

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.0%

Resolved

105

Trades

306

lifetime

Volume

$9.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 10-26 09:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 41% +$61

Tech

0% 100% +$3

Sports

0% 100% +$8

Other

0% 0% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 13:30 UTC	4	$465	344	338	+6	Down	+$171	03-30 13:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 04:30 UTC	4	$409	290	287	+3	Down	+$162	03-30 04:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:45 UTC	10	$345	267	263	+4	Down	+$179	03-30 15:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 10:15 UTC	5	$287	332	261	+71	Down	+$92	03-30 10:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 13:45 UTC	4	$258	195	193	+2	Down	+$102	03-30 13:56
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 13:00 UTC	2	$256	178	174	+3	Down	+$93	03-30 13:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 06:00 UTC	3	$247	192	189	+3	Down	+$130	03-30 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 10:30 UTC	9	$217	200	166	+34	Up	+$131	03-30 10:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 05:45 UTC	6	$202	176	173	+3	Down	+$69	03-30 05:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 06:00 UTC	3	$192	141	138	+2	Down	+$84	03-30 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 12:00 UTC	3	$190	651	0	+651	Up	-$190	03-30 12:05
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 06:15 UTC	3	$188	132	129	+2	Up	+$70	03-30 06:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 08:45 UTC	2	$174	118	116	+2	Down	+$56	03-30 08:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:45 UTC	2	$172	119	117	+2	Down	+$54	03-30 15:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 11:15 UTC	12	$162	123	122	+1	Up	+$80	03-30 11:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 08:15 UTC	8	$151	100	100	+0	Down	+$47	03-30 08:29
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 08:15 UTC	3	$149	100	100	+0	Down	+$49	03-30 08:30
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 07:45 UTC	10	$147	100	100	+0	Up	+$45	03-30 07:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:15 UTC	2	$145	98	96	+2	Down	+$47	03-30 15:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 08:30 UTC	2	$145	98	96	+2	Down	+$47	03-30 08:45
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 08:30 UTC	2	$145	98	96	+2	Down	+$47	03-30 08:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 07:45 UTC	2	$144	98	96	+2	Up	+$46	03-30 07:51
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 05:45 UTC	4	$142	228	95	+132	Up	-$16	03-30 05:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 11:00 UTC	2	$142	100	98	+2	Up	+$44	03-30 11:09
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 14:45 UTC	2	$142	95	93	+2	Up	+$44	03-30 14:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 14:45 UTC	2	$141	93	91	+2	Up	+$42	03-30 14:53
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 14:45 UTC	2	$140	93	91	+2	Up	+$42	03-30 14:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 07:45 UTC	2	$140	94	93	+2	Up	+$42	03-30 07:52
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 11:00 UTC	2	$139	96	94	+2	Up	+$41	03-30 11:12
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 03:30 UTC	3	$136	88	87	+2	Down	+$37	03-30 03:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 09:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x03f70b…
10-26 09:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8e13ce…
10-26 08:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x59662c…
08-28 07:17:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xb4c9a5…
07-16 14:58:23	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x9535cc…
07-07 09:57:08	dota2 zedies gl 2026 07 07	ZEDI Esports	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0xb9b76e…
05-19 02:34:10	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0xfcbc49…
05-19 02:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb2ccb5…
05-19 02:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x21b978…
03-30 15:59:37	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0xbffd6d…
03-30 15:59:37	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0x50d54a…
03-30 15:59:35	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xed3066…
03-30 15:59:35	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe790d1…
03-30 15:59:35	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x17df0e…
03-30 15:59:33	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xaf9f0e…
03-30 15:59:33	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x9b23df…
03-30 15:59:33	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x888a4a…
03-30 15:56:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	117	96¢	$112	0x609e53…
03-30 15:51:55	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	163	34¢	$55	0xc66bfe…
03-30 15:51:23	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	104	29¢	$30	0xf88f22…
03-30 15:51:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	119	50¢	$60	0x0a4e97…
03-30 15:48:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 15:45 UTC	Up	SELL	64	12¢	$8	0xd3311c…
03-30 15:46:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0x7c65f0…
03-30 15:43:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 15:40 UTC	Down	SELL	154	24¢	$37	0x55d8e7…
03-30 15:42:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	73	14¢	$10	0x3da570…
03-30 15:42:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0xb87968…
03-30 15:40:27	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0xf27735…
03-30 15:38:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xe0bea2…
03-30 15:30:01	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:15 UTC	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xeff70c…
03-30 15:30:01	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe42dc0…
03-30 15:30:01	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:15 UTC	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xe2ae6c…
03-30 15:30:01	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc37b76…
03-30 15:30:01	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:15 UTC	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xaca1ca…
03-30 15:29:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:15 UTC	Down	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0x973453…
03-30 15:20:31	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	54	52¢	$28	0x84cb1c…
03-30 15:17:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x3106fb…
03-30 15:16:39	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xd83d6a…
03-30 15:15:55	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xae9600…
03-30 15:15:09	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	91	54¢	$49	0x5e7439…
03-30 15:14:29	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xe42579…
03-30 15:13:37	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x487da6…
03-30 15:12:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x76e7bb…
03-30 15:11:33	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x5f12eb…
03-30 14:54:31	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	91	99¢	$90	0xfed190…
03-30 14:54:29	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	93	99¢	$92	0x242b76…
03-30 14:54:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	79	99¢	$78	0x4cdaf3…
03-30 14:54:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x422805…
03-30 14:53:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	91	99¢	$91	0x768f24…
03-30 14:31:45	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x466a6e…
03-30 14:31:17	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	95	53¢	$50	0x9ddf96…
03-30 14:30:51	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xf3fa3c…
03-30 14:30:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x9eca7c…
03-30 14:25:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x285815…
03-30 14:24:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 14:15 UTC	Up	SELL	217	2¢	$4	0xc2073e…
03-30 14:24:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xa563fb…
03-30 14:15:53	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0xfdf749…
03-30 14:10:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xb5c95e…
03-30 14:08:59	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xf092f8…
03-30 14:08:59	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x9fecd0…
03-30 14:08:59	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x96b244…
03-30 14:08:59	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6261eb…
03-30 14:08:59	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x596a59…
03-30 14:08:59	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x57c23b…
03-30 14:08:59	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x478222…
03-30 14:08:59	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x0ec1c9…
03-30 14:08:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0xbe3d88…
03-30 14:00:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x9ce141…
03-30 13:56:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	193	93¢	$179	0x9eb453…
03-30 13:45:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x6b1106…
03-30 13:45:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	75	30¢	$22	0xf3e366…
03-30 13:43:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xde6c69…
03-30 13:41:45	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	338	93¢	$315	0x2e4e37…
03-30 13:32:29	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	127	39¢	$50	0x7200a5…
03-30 13:31:51	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	108	46¢	$50	0xcddf79…
03-30 13:31:15	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x47726f…
03-30 13:28:06	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x375c03…
03-30 13:27:26	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x43b269…
03-30 13:23:48	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xf35278…
03-30 13:14:56	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	174	99¢	$173	0xa7a844…
03-30 13:05:18	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	178	47¢	$83	0x123101…
03-30 12:31:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	140	36¢	$50	0xb91415…
03-30 12:05:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0xda7700…
03-30 12:05:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0x12ae2d…
03-30 12:03:48	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	150	33¢	$50	0x15e44e…
03-30 12:01:08	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x9d2845…
03-30 11:51:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	267	53¢	$140	0xdf139b…
03-30 11:49:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xf6ac3d…
03-30 11:48:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x20c28a…
03-30 11:47:58	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	63	32¢	$20	0xa9f13a…
03-30 11:45:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xd41d14…
03-30 11:44:44	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x655aca…
03-30 11:38:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	95	52¢	$50	0x2a7822…
03-30 11:37:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x14940a…
03-30 11:31:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	105	30¢	$32	0x5abb97…
03-30 11:28:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 11:15 UTC	Up	SELL	58	98¢	$57	0x21de6d…
03-30 11:27:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 11:15 UTC	Up	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0x0a4d96…
03-30 11:26:52	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 11:15 UTC	Up	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x9bdd00…
03-30 11:20:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfe7e80…
03-30 11:20:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x8d98c1…
03-30 11:20:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x5aa039…