Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.7%

Resolved

Trades

188

lifetime

Volume

$13.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-22

last 10-30 00:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Politics

54% 94% +$25

Other

26% 60% +$5

Crypto

20% 69% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	13	$2.3K	1,186	1,186	+0	No	+$33	10-01 00:06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	6	$965	485	485	+0	Yes	+$1	10-22 12:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 26?	8	$914	468	468	+0	Yes	+$2	08-26 13:35
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	4	$882	447	447	+0	Yes	+$3	07-24 12:44
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	14	$628	322	322	+0	Yes	+$4	07-23 18:31
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	4	$627	528	528	+0	No	+$7	07-27 21:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	4	$624	313	313	+0	Yes	+$1	10-12 21:21
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	2	$602	303	303	+0	Yes	+$2	07-25 09:55
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	9	$495	249	249	+0	Yes	+$1	10-28 12:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	1	$393	395	0	+395	Yes	+$2	10-09 20:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	8	$387	496	496	+0	Yes	+$2	10-30 00:19
bitcoin above 64k on august 10 2026	4	$355	182	182	+0	Yes	+$4	08-10 15:06
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	3	$353	177	177	+0	No	+$1	08-12 22:22
bitcoin above 62k on august 17 2026	2	$349	177	177	+0	Yes	+$1	08-17 10:10
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	3	$312	160	160	+0	No	+$1	09-12 22:53
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	3	$294	148	148	+0	No	+$1	08-09 01:45
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	2	$286	153	153	+0	Yes	+$4	10-21 19:17
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	6	$275	139	139	+0	Yes	+$2	07-29 20:39
bitcoin above 78k on august 25 2026	4	$240	121	121	+0	Yes	+$0	08-25 15:46
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	2	$236	123	123	+0	Yes	+$2	07-30 16:18
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	2	$222	112	112	+0	No	+$0	08-13 14:39
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	3	$216	109	109	+0	Yes	+$0	07-27 13:19
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	4	$204	103	103	-0	Yes	+$2	07-30 22:05
bitcoin above 64k on august 17 2026	8	$203	152	152	+1	Yes	+$9	08-17 15:38
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	4	$202	103	103	+0	Yes	+$0	07-26 11:18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	6	$186	94	94	+0	Yes	+$0	10-28 16:55
bitcoin above 64k on august 18 2026	6	$134	356	356	+0	Yes	+$11	08-18 11:56
bitcoin above 64k on august 11 2026	3	$119	98	98	+0	No	-$11	08-10 16:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 28?	3	$93	190	190	+0	No	-$21	08-28 01:33
bitcoin above 64k on august 19 2026	5	$77	323	323	+0	Yes	-$10	08-19 15:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 00:19:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	21	45¢	$9	0xde6d0c…
10-30 00:14:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x0ddf7d…
10-29 21:52:28	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	85	90¢	$76	0x898978…
10-29 21:45:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	19	82¢	$16	0x5d4a41…
10-29 21:45:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	54	82¢	$45	0x7fc6c6…
10-29 21:43:22	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x96897e…
10-28 16:55:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	94	99¢	$93	0x8dbddd…
10-28 14:10:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xaac751…
10-28 14:07:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0xd96beb…
10-28 14:06:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x00e8c2…
10-28 14:05:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xe86368…
10-28 13:36:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5f0584…
10-28 12:35:59	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	SELL	242	100¢	$241	0x9aff92…
10-28 11:54:38	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x84846c…
10-28 11:49:14	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9e6760…
10-28 11:47:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5bba04…
10-28 11:47:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbcbc00…
10-28 11:42:32	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5e66dc…
10-28 11:41:13	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa870c7…
10-28 11:40:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x10fac7…
10-27 17:07:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	BUY	249	99¢	$247	0x9e4974…
10-22 12:47:56	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	SELL	248	99¢	$247	0x0075e6…
10-22 06:32:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0xa99a42…
10-22 05:16:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x0e1480…
10-22 04:54:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	BUY	128	99¢	$128	0x960574…
10-21 21:30:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	SELL	237	100¢	$236	0x97eaf9…
10-21 19:26:59	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	BUY	237	99¢	$235	0xb5bb46…
10-21 19:17:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	153	95¢	$145	0x481fa7…
10-21 18:52:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	153	92¢	$141	0x29d16b…
10-16 10:49:12	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0x938fb1…
10-16 10:49:00	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0x565cf8…
10-14 19:57:49	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	No	SELL	969	2¢	$21	0x09e9c8…
10-14 19:42:19	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	No	BUY	969	3¢	$30	0x99b033…
10-12 21:21:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	SELL	313	100¢	$312	0x4c1020…
10-12 20:46:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	304	100¢	$303	0xf9bedb…
10-12 20:45:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5d3861…
10-12 20:36:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xdc99f9…
10-11 20:43:45	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	145	1¢	$2	0x5856e2…
10-11 20:43:30	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	81	1¢	$1	0xd76744…
10-11 18:27:45	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	93	2¢	$2	0x57e552…
10-10 11:44:37	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	4¢	$4	0x81f97f…
10-10 11:43:10	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	5¢	$7	0x7d7fd7…
10-10 11:43:00	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	5¢	$3	0xbf2d26…
10-10 11:14:54	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x7d6ddf…
10-10 10:36:09	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0xe52282…
10-10 08:27:03	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	8¢	$3	0xb12c9d…
10-09 20:08:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	395	100¢	$393	0x68155b…
10-08 13:31:51	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	3¢	$2	0x189d23…
10-08 10:28:05	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0x46b652…
10-04 17:42:17	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	No	SELL	390	28¢	$109	0xe612de…
10-04 17:33:38	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	No	BUY	390	29¢	$113	0x27efc3…
10-01 00:06:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	376	100¢	$375	0x6dc903…
09-30 11:07:38	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	376	98¢	$370	0x79d00c…
09-30 10:16:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	324	99¢	$320	0xc723f4…
09-30 10:14:44	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe638f2…
09-26 06:43:26	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x7543b5…
09-26 06:19:32	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb2e690…
09-26 00:30:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	145	93¢	$135	0x551184…
09-25 16:49:03	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	95	86¢	$82	0xee7404…
09-25 16:40:02	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xd861e8…
09-25 16:34:17	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0x7df146…
09-25 12:53:44	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xd87b99…
09-25 08:05:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x072d0b…
09-25 06:20:00	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	128	90¢	$115	0x5933cd…
09-22 14:41:37	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	183	90¢	$165	0x118ddd…
09-22 10:11:48	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	183	85¢	$155	0x8e146a…
09-12 22:53:55	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0xf418c4…
09-12 22:51:46	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	SELL	154	98¢	$151	0xe8c469…
09-12 09:46:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	160	97¢	$155	0x9b8850…
09-11 17:33:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0x0daaf3…
09-11 17:10:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0xf92964…
09-02 13:24:57	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x8b40af…
09-01 16:36:18	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	362	0¢	$2	0x301102…
09-01 15:32:31	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xcb6e90…
09-01 15:31:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xffbf6d…
09-01 15:31:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xf84001…
09-01 15:30:34	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	4¢	$4	0x5e651b…
09-01 09:04:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 1?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x2479f8…
09-01 09:04:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 1?	Yes	SELL	39	41¢	$16	0x828874…
09-01 08:24:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	59	59¢	$35	0x7bbbad…
08-28 01:33:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 28?	No	SELL	190	19¢	$36	0x0be382…
08-28 01:11:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 28?	No	BUY	179	30¢	$54	0x330648…
08-28 01:09:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 28?	No	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0xaa87d5…
08-26 13:35:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 26?	Yes	SELL	106	98¢	$104	0xe608e2…
08-26 13:33:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 26?	Yes	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x1226fa…
08-26 12:56:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 26?	Yes	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0xec13e7…
08-26 12:30:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 26?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x3d083f…
08-26 12:30:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 26?	Yes	BUY	132	97¢	$129	0xa2548c…
08-26 12:30:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 26?	Yes	BUY	320	98¢	$312	0xfd7cdc…
08-25 15:46:22	bitcoin above 78k on august 25 2026	Yes	SELL	54	100¢	$53	0xe58fec…
08-25 15:40:12	bitcoin above 78k on august 25 2026	Yes	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x3ba422…
08-19 15:27:55	bitcoin above 64k on august 19 2026	No	SELL	280	1¢	$3	0x564272…
08-19 12:42:03	bitcoin above 64k on august 19 2026	No	BUY	258	5¢	$13	0xed25a3…
08-19 12:42:03	bitcoin above 64k on august 19 2026	No	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xe59551…
08-19 06:21:06	bitcoin above 64k on august 19 2026	Yes	SELL	42	72¢	$31	0x34aeea…
08-19 06:14:45	bitcoin above 64k on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	42	69¢	$29	0xf1eb86…
08-18 11:56:55	bitcoin above 64k on august 18 2026	No	SELL	202	16¢	$32	0x8df39d…
08-18 11:46:33	bitcoin above 64k on august 18 2026	No	BUY	202	14¢	$28	0xecd57b…
08-18 06:50:51	bitcoin above 64k on august 18 2026	No	SELL	79	24¢	$19	0x27a3e4…
08-18 06:42:09	bitcoin above 64k on august 18 2026	No	BUY	79	18¢	$14	0xe9592b…