Welcome-Gap — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

24.2%

Resolved

Trades

5,889

lifetime

Volume

$306.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-20

last 06-09 16:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

82% — —

Other

12% 100% +$4

Politics

5% 0% $-26

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 173 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-2	$-0	10¢	$-0	+$0	06-02 07:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on february 4	105	$16.4K	24,774	2,040	+22,734	open	—	02-04 18:44
bitcoin above 90k on january 22	200	$15.8K	28,222	4,704	+23,518	open	—	01-22 18:08
bitcoin up or down on january 25	72	$13.3K	18,176	4,688	+13,488	open	—	01-25 18:20
bitcoin up or down on january 23	137	$13.0K	20,386	6,815	+13,571	open	—	01-23 15:48
bitcoin up or down on february 2	129	$11.7K	21,231	335	+20,896	open	—	02-02 15:47
bitcoin up or down on january 26	105	$10.9K	21,468	2,342	+19,126	open	—	01-26 16:35
bitcoin above 90k on january 28	82	$10.4K	20,214	0	+20,214	open	—	01-28 16:56
bitcoin above 90k on january 21	129	$9.9K	13,657	3,591	+10,066	open	—	01-21 15:32
bitcoin above 88k on january 27	108	$9.9K	15,255	2,096	+13,158	open	—	01-27 18:42
bitcoin up or down on january 21	122	$9.7K	11,624	5,149	+6,475	open	—	01-21 17:37
bitcoin above 90k on january 23	117	$9.1K	14,711	3,096	+11,615	open	—	01-23 16:15
bitcoin above 90k on january 27	24	$9.0K	6,123	4,357	+1,766	open	—	01-27 18:07
bitcoin above 88k on january 29	66	$7.0K	11,200	1,031	+10,169	open	—	01-29 14:54
bitcoin up or down on january 27	63	$5.2K	11,961	120	+11,841	open	—	01-27 15:39
nflx up or down on april 13 2026	13	$4.7K	3,821	1,866	+1,955	open	—	04-14 20:07
bitcoin above 90k on january 24	66	$4.7K	9,053	2,471	+6,582	open	—	01-24 11:14
will solana dip to 80 in february 2026	10	$4.6K	6,388	0	+6,388	open	—	02-05 14:35
bitcoin up or down on february 5	31	$4.6K	7,223	0	+7,223	open	—	02-05 09:32
bitcoin above 88k on january 25	119	$4.1K	7,347	1,660	+5,687	open	—	01-25 16:37
bitcoin up or down on february 9	46	$4.1K	8,595	67	+8,528	open	—	02-09 16:49
cbb uconn duke 2026 03 29	3	$4.0K	8,000	15	+7,985	open	—	03-28 08:29
will bitcoin dip to 60k in february 2026 394 616	30	$3.7K	5,755	16	+5,739	open	—	02-05 18:06
bitcoin above 82k on january 31	72	$3.4K	8,710	198	+8,512	open	—	01-31 16:23
bitcoin above 88k on january 26	55	$3.2K	5,426	1,593	+3,833	open	—	01-26 16:48
bitcoin up or down on january 22	38	$3.2K	6,744	1,136	+5,608	open	—	01-21 23:48
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 80 99	10	$3.1K	3,650	600	+3,050	open	—	03-17 13:18
bitcoin above 84k on january 31	53	$2.9K	5,920	809	+5,111	open	—	01-31 10:22
bitcoin up or down on january 24	45	$2.8K	6,095	1,550	+4,545	open	—	01-24 08:56
bitcoin up or down on february 8	17	$2.7K	3,632	0	+3,632	open	—	02-08 10:23
donald trump of truth social posts march 13 march 20 100 119	4	$2.6K	2,667	0	+2,667	open	—	03-20 15:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 16:51:45	will gwynne shotwell be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212482	No	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xdc8ded…
06-09 16:51:40	will bret johnsen be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212483	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x6f7cd6…
06-09 16:47:42	will bret johnsen be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212483	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x573596…
06-09 16:12:37	spacex ipo closing share price updown on second day 20260608224427017	Down	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0x3f9fc6…
06-09 16:02:12	spacex ipo closing share price updown on second day 20260608224427017	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x122e4f…
06-09 15:53:48	will gwynne shotwell be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212482	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x65b7c5…
06-09 15:48:03	spacex ipo closing share price updown on second day 20260608224427017	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5b7a23…
06-09 15:47:19	will shivon zilis be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212478	No	SELL	35	72¢	$25	0xd08d54…
06-09 15:35:55	will shivon zilis be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212478	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x1dd7d2…
06-09 15:35:49	will shivon zilis be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212478	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x01845c…
06-09 15:16:25	will shivon zilis be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212478	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xeae2e9…
06-09 11:01:58	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	Yes	SELL	57	11¢	$6	0x1e6abb…
06-09 10:37:28	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xb1e52a…
06-09 09:51:49	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x6ff13a…
06-09 09:34:21	la mayoral election recount of 1st round 20260607215128440	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x103357…
06-09 09:33:18	will spencer pratt concede by july 2 20260608151037171	No	SELL	35	14¢	$5	0xc0f088…
06-09 09:32:01	will spy dip to 735 by june 8 2026	No	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0xa079a8…
06-09 09:31:03	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	SELL	80	12¢	$10	0x0c735d…
06-09 09:30:57	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	SELL	80	65¢	$52	0x0aaceb…
06-09 08:02:54	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x2aabdb…
06-09 08:00:49	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	SELL	78	15¢	$12	0x3538b4…
06-09 07:17:45	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xa1b967…
06-09 06:21:16	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xcdbf3e…
06-09 06:10:00	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xb757e4…
06-09 06:09:51	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xe5e763…
06-09 06:09:42	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x5ac7b7…
06-09 06:09:30	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xf0f28d…
06-09 05:51:27	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xce992e…
06-09 05:51:24	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xb5dbf3…
06-09 05:39:01	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xca610c…
06-09 05:37:00	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xe3ffc6…
06-09 05:36:37	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x561e9b…
06-09 04:02:16	will spencer pratt concede by july 2 20260608151037171	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x35205e…
06-09 03:45:30	will spencer pratt concede by june 15 20260608151037170	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xfcfe0e…
06-09 02:57:21	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x85f4d6…
06-09 02:56:34	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 8 20260607232556273	No	SELL	78	99¢	$77	0x1db821…
06-09 02:56:21	will spencer pratt concede by july 2 20260608151037171	No	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x8c04fa…
06-09 02:55:13	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 8 20260607232556273	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x88fc0f…
06-09 02:52:22	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xb2bb30…
06-09 02:52:18	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x5b2f7e…
06-09 02:51:52	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xbc0c56…
06-09 02:51:22	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xc44852…
06-09 02:50:25	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xf003a3…
06-09 02:49:54	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xe1321c…
06-09 02:49:03	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 8 20260607232556273	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0x5b1a78…
06-09 02:48:54	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 8 20260607232556273	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0xf0f9b1…
06-09 02:43:48	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 8 20260607232556273	No	BUY	86	99¢	$86	0x6f0886…
06-09 01:56:46	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x4a0fb0…
06-09 01:51:37	la mayoral election recount of 1st round 20260607215128440	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x70112a…
06-09 01:43:18	la mayoral election recount of 1st round 20260607215128440	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xdecf28…
06-09 01:22:45	la mayoral election recount of 1st round 20260607215128440	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x144099…
06-09 01:16:31	la mayoral election recount of 1st round 20260607215128440	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x52e41a…
06-09 01:10:10	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0x7d686e…
06-09 01:10:03	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x627390…
06-09 01:08:10	la mayoral election recount of 1st round 20260607215128440	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xbdec12…
06-09 01:07:43	la mayoral election recount of 1st round 20260607215128440	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x7c9e7c…
06-09 00:27:10	will spencer pratt call for 1st round recount 20260608160956723	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xdda61c…
06-09 00:21:00	will spencer pratt concede by june 15 20260608151037170	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x12dab2…
06-09 00:03:43	will spencer pratt call for 1st round recount 20260608160956723	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x15632d…
06-08 19:10:30	will spy dip to 735 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0xc2e027…
06-08 17:30:37	will spy dip to 735 by june 8 2026	No	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0x74c08b…
06-08 17:03:52	will spy dip to 735 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	45	46¢	$21	0xb46b41…
06-08 17:03:34	will spy dip to 735 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb1da82…
06-08 17:03:00	will spy dip to 735 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xe0f412…
06-08 13:43:37	will spy reach 750 by june 8 2026	No	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0xfcf62b…
06-08 11:19:18	will spy reach 750 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x97d8b9…
06-08 11:16:19	will wti dip to 90 by june 8 2026	No	SELL	36	35¢	$13	0xd32fc0…
06-08 11:14:30	will wti dip to 90 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x09f096…
06-08 11:14:19	will wti dip to 90 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	49	60¢	$29	0x63cd60…
06-08 10:57:58	will wti reach 100 by june 8 2026	No	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0xd1ea23…
06-08 10:34:06	cs2 mana1 step 2026 06 08	ex-MANA eSports	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0xe3d052…
06-08 10:31:55	cs2 mana1 step 2026 06 08	ex-MANA eSports	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x5d9401…
06-08 09:58:30	will wti reach 100 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x96ec75…
06-08 07:32:10	will wti dip to 90 by june 8 2026	Yes	SELL	36	40¢	$14	0xb7896e…
06-08 07:30:10	will ng dip to 3 10 by june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x9ed37e…
06-08 05:32:03	will wti dip to 90 by june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x776aff…
06-08 05:27:51	will wti dip to 90 by june 8 2026	Yes	SELL	58	42¢	$24	0x50ecd4…
06-08 05:27:19	will wti dip to 90 by june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	58	39¢	$23	0xe61b22…
06-05 15:19:12	will legacy qualify to stage 3 at iem cologne major 2026	No	SELL	200	18¢	$35	0x14a8f1…
06-05 15:01:49	will fut qualify to stage 3 at iem cologne major 2026	No	SELL	100	37¢	$37	0x49e999…
06-05 13:30:28	will legacy qualify to stage 3 at iem cologne major 2026	No	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xe8d3a4…
06-05 13:02:27	will fut qualify to stage 3 at iem cologne major 2026	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xfdb383…
06-05 13:02:03	will legacy qualify to stage 3 at iem cologne major 2026	No	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x6761ee…
06-05 07:27:30	will apple announce a foldable iphone during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0x12f5b8…
06-05 07:27:15	will apple announce a new product line during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x8be37b…
06-05 07:27:04	will apple announce a homepod mini successor during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xf9fd4a…
06-05 07:26:49	will apple announce an apple smart home display during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x552556…
06-05 06:10:30	will apple announce an apple smart home display during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xa47906…
06-05 05:38:49	will apple announce a foldable iphone during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x4d291a…
06-05 05:31:06	will apple announce a new product line during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xaaa5ae…
06-05 05:04:30	will apple announce a homepod mini successor during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xcf8ce7…
06-05 05:03:54	will apple announce a foldable iphone during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xa7be2e…
06-03 18:11:19	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xfa26cd…
06-03 18:07:04	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x052ab9…
06-03 18:01:21	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x44aad4…
06-03 16:17:28	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	SELL	26	39¢	$10	0xc49a76…
06-03 13:48:21	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0x928fe6…
06-03 13:48:19	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xb1bda9…
06-03 13:35:48	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	BUY	16	53¢	$8	0x323cd0…
06-03 13:30:26	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xa0e98b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	277	$4.11M	10,579	06-09 23:13
(anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8	207	$35.2K	1,649	06-09 19:27
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	189	$31.3K	6,967	06-09 23:05
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	181	$238.4K	19,473	05-02 09:00
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	181	$39.5K	9,147	05-09 09:24
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	168	$178.0K	13,996	06-09 22:46
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	158	$342.3K	8,137	06-09 21:24
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	154	$44.6K	2,127	06-09 23:10