Welcome-Gap — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.2%

Resolved

Trades

6,681

lifetime

Volume

$313.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 06-28 09:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

81% — —

Other

12% 100% +$4

Politics

6% 0% $-26

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 203 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on february 4	105	$16.4K	24,774	2,040	+22,734	open	—	02-04 18:44
bitcoin above 90k on january 22	200	$15.8K	28,222	4,704	+23,518	open	—	01-22 18:08
bitcoin up or down on january 25	72	$13.3K	18,176	4,688	+13,488	open	—	01-25 18:20
bitcoin up or down on january 23	137	$13.0K	20,386	6,815	+13,571	open	—	01-23 15:48
bitcoin up or down on february 2	129	$11.7K	21,231	335	+20,896	open	—	02-02 15:47
bitcoin up or down on january 26	105	$10.9K	21,468	2,342	+19,126	open	—	01-26 16:35
bitcoin above 90k on january 28	82	$10.4K	20,214	0	+20,214	open	—	01-28 16:56
bitcoin above 90k on january 21	129	$9.9K	13,657	3,591	+10,066	open	—	01-21 15:32
bitcoin above 88k on january 27	108	$9.9K	15,255	2,096	+13,158	open	—	01-27 18:42
bitcoin up or down on january 21	122	$9.7K	11,624	5,149	+6,475	open	—	01-21 17:37
bitcoin above 90k on january 23	117	$9.1K	14,711	3,096	+11,615	open	—	01-23 16:15
bitcoin above 90k on january 27	24	$9.0K	6,123	4,357	+1,766	open	—	01-27 18:07
bitcoin above 88k on january 29	66	$7.0K	11,200	1,031	+10,169	open	—	01-29 14:54
bitcoin up or down on january 27	63	$5.2K	11,961	120	+11,841	open	—	01-27 15:39
nflx up or down on april 13 2026	13	$4.7K	3,821	1,866	+1,955	open	—	04-14 20:07
bitcoin above 90k on january 24	66	$4.7K	9,053	2,471	+6,582	open	—	01-24 11:14
will solana dip to 80 in february 2026	10	$4.6K	6,388	0	+6,388	open	—	02-05 14:35
bitcoin up or down on february 5	31	$4.6K	7,223	0	+7,223	open	—	02-05 09:32
bitcoin above 88k on january 25	119	$4.1K	7,347	1,660	+5,687	open	—	01-25 16:37
bitcoin up or down on february 9	46	$4.1K	8,595	67	+8,528	open	—	02-09 16:49
cbb uconn duke 2026 03 29	3	$4.0K	8,000	15	+7,985	open	—	03-28 08:29
will bitcoin dip to 60k in february 2026 394 616	30	$3.7K	5,755	16	+5,739	open	—	02-05 18:06
bitcoin above 82k on january 31	72	$3.4K	8,710	198	+8,512	open	—	01-31 16:23
bitcoin above 88k on january 26	55	$3.2K	5,426	1,593	+3,833	open	—	01-26 16:48
bitcoin up or down on january 22	38	$3.2K	6,744	1,136	+5,608	open	—	01-21 23:48
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 80 99	10	$3.1K	3,650	600	+3,050	open	—	03-17 13:18
bitcoin above 84k on january 31	53	$2.9K	5,920	809	+5,111	open	—	01-31 10:22
bitcoin up or down on january 24	45	$2.8K	6,095	1,550	+4,545	open	—	01-24 08:56
bitcoin up or down on february 8	17	$2.7K	3,632	0	+3,632	open	—	02-08 10:23
donald trump of truth social posts march 13 march 20 100 119	4	$2.6K	2,667	0	+2,667	open	—	03-20 15:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 09:29:14	btc updown 5m 1782638700	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xf42eca…
06-28 09:28:01	btc updown 5m 1782638700	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xd8b201…
06-28 09:28:01	btc updown 5m 1782638700	Up	BUY	24	14¢	$3	0x459c20…
06-28 09:27:59	btc updown 5m 1782638700	Up	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xec9cc5…
06-28 09:27:59	btc updown 5m 1782638700	Up	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0xd30c66…
06-28 09:27:59	btc updown 5m 1782638700	Up	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x798319…
06-28 09:27:59	btc updown 5m 1782638700	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x6c20ec…
06-28 09:27:59	btc updown 5m 1782638700	Up	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x269e21…
06-28 09:03:04	btc updown 5m 1782637200	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xdb7772…
06-28 09:03:04	btc updown 5m 1782637200	Up	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x824cef…
06-28 09:03:04	btc updown 5m 1782637200	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x55e69f…
06-28 09:03:04	btc updown 5m 1782637200	Up	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x54def6…
06-27 05:53:26	btc updown 5m 1782539400	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x496ada…
06-27 05:43:22	btc updown 5m 1782538800	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x9ebe03…
06-27 05:43:22	btc updown 5m 1782538800	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x842270…
06-27 05:43:22	btc updown 5m 1782538800	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x63cb66…
06-27 05:43:20	btc updown 5m 1782538800	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xd4588e…
06-27 03:42:32	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	21	39¢	$8	0x8e545a…
06-27 03:42:22	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x00b30c…
06-26 19:09:02	will the announcers say what a save during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250631	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x8e5a63…
06-26 15:52:01	untitled market 1 20260625224941800	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x0575db…
06-26 14:42:34	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0x2cc743…
06-26 14:42:25	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	60	11¢	$7	0xcf2679…
06-26 14:40:43	iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0x7eb1ec…
06-26 14:40:37	iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x1329c5…
06-26 14:40:26	iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xb19c7a…
06-26 14:38:52	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	No	BUY	90	93¢	$84	0xf76974…
06-26 14:37:04	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x1598fe…
06-26 14:36:20	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x751354…
06-26 14:36:13	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x3cfe09…
06-26 14:34:19	iran successfully targets shipping by june 30 20260625215135369	Yes	SELL	40	21¢	$8	0x4868b3…
06-26 14:33:37	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xfc7253…
06-26 14:33:26	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x74f0c1…
06-26 14:33:25	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x6d0f2d…
06-26 14:33:19	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xd28dcb…
06-26 14:32:40	iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x79cb82…
06-26 14:32:28	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x793022…
06-26 14:32:01	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	No	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0xda0291…
06-26 14:30:13	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xa1e6fe…
06-26 14:30:13	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x67712c…
06-26 14:30:05	untitled market 1 20260625224941800	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xb5d97a…
06-26 14:29:55	iran successfully targets shipping by june 30 20260625215135369	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x2ec762…
06-26 14:22:09	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	No	BUY	20	78¢	$15	0xbf44f3…
06-26 14:20:15	iran successfully targets shipping by june 30 20260625215135369	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x31d0b2…
06-26 14:20:15	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x27873d…
06-26 14:19:22	iran successfully targets shipping by july 7 20260625215135370	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xdcf243…
06-26 14:18:51	iran successfully targets shipping by july 7 20260625215135370	No	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xfb1a94…
06-26 14:18:00	iran successfully targets shipping by july 7 20260625215135370	No	BUY	5	32¢	$1	0x1bd8f8…
06-26 14:17:12	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xacada9…
06-26 14:16:24	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x8af7cb…
06-26 13:54:58	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x09c6b4…
06-26 13:52:19	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xc27b6e…
06-26 13:28:36	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 31 20260622183223872 984	No	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x7457b1…
06-26 13:27:45	will speed say save 5 times on stream 20260625191836825	No	SELL	14	66¢	$9	0xa5656a…
06-26 13:27:06	will the announcers say ronaldo during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259145	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x2879c5…
06-26 13:27:00	will the announcers say golden boot during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259141	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xcc3816…
06-26 13:26:51	will the announcers say what a save during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259140	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x0e3d02…
06-26 13:26:43	will the announcers say oh my god or oh my goodness during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259129	Yes	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0xd15734…
06-26 13:26:36	will the announcers say really good play during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259128	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xb46df6…
06-26 13:26:30	will the announcers say foul 7 times during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259123	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x288605…
06-26 13:26:22	will the announcers say corner 10 times during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259122	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xc0583e…
06-26 13:26:07	will the announcers say free kick 15 times during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259121	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xe0cd67…
06-26 13:24:58	will the announcers say assist during the new zealand vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260625155700896	Yes	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0x6aa93f…
06-26 13:24:46	will the announcers say record during the new zealand vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260625155700892	Yes	SELL	40	61¢	$24	0x57bd09…
06-26 13:24:33	will the announcers say soccer during the new zealand vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260625155700886	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x12ea62…
06-26 13:24:25	will the announcers say hydration break 5 times during the new zealand vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260625155700884	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xe3a33f…
06-26 13:24:01	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716829	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x4c7e18…
06-26 13:23:55	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716827	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x9be601…
06-26 13:23:48	will the announcers say golden boot during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716826	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x1bd2df…
06-26 13:23:34	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716809	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xcc2417…
06-26 13:20:28	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716829	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x88eb10…
06-26 13:00:31	will the announcers say soccer during the new zealand vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260625155700886	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x16d8e2…
06-26 12:27:22	will speed say save 5 times on stream 20260625191836825	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x1e77ff…
06-26 12:22:25	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x1caa6a…
06-26 12:10:17	will the announcers say assist during the new zealand vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260625155700896	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xad1a8a…
06-26 12:03:55	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xf785fc…
06-26 11:50:08	will the announcers say pressure during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259127	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x91d495…
06-26 11:49:59	will the announcers say record during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259133	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xf4d3e3…
06-26 11:48:47	will the announcers say pressure during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259127	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x0aa86f…
06-26 11:47:49	will the announcers say pressure during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259127	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x4ee7d9…
06-26 11:47:23	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x47652d…
06-26 11:47:19	will the announcers say pressure during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259127	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xdecbfb…
06-26 11:22:11	iran successfully targets shipping by june 30 20260625215135369	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x903bc9…
06-26 11:15:11	will the announcers say record during the new zealand vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260625155700892	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x424489…
06-26 10:30:58	iran successfully targets shipping by june 30 20260625215135369	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x9c19f7…
06-26 10:28:37	iran successfully targets shipping by june 30 20260625215135369	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x98f27a…
06-26 10:24:59	will the announcers say corner 10 times during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259122	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xd2f2dd…
06-26 10:24:10	will the announcers say golden boot during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716826	No	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x15b7dd…
06-26 10:24:05	will the announcers say history during the new zealand vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260625155700894	No	SELL	40	23¢	$9	0xb1c377…
06-26 10:23:26	will the announcers say ankle during the new zealand vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260625155700888	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x765be0…
06-26 10:23:26	will the announcers say ankle during the new zealand vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260625155700888	Yes	SELL	8	45¢	$3	0x765be0…
06-26 10:23:13	will the announcers say golden boot during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716826	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x3d146e…
06-26 10:17:26	will the announcers say record during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259133	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x39a8d4…
06-26 10:17:23	will the announcers say record during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259133	Yes	BUY	16	67¢	$10	0x23cd09…
06-26 10:16:49	will the announcers say what a save during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259140	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xc60109…
06-26 10:15:23	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716809	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xd1a469…
06-26 10:12:08	will the announcers say ronaldo during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259145	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x9b12f7…
06-26 10:06:26	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the norway vs france fifa world cup match 20260625155250633	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x0e5fc1…
06-26 10:03:59	will the announcers say ankle during the new zealand vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260625155700888	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x16516a…
06-26 10:00:59	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xd94e1f…