Shimmering-Dryer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$567

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$408

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 05-09 17:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

79% — —

Crypto

20% 42% $-467

Sports

1% 0% $-100

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$11.6K	527,245	527,245	+0	open	—	03-01 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$500	1,915	0	+1,915	Up	$-500	05-09 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$304	208	208	+0	Up	+$104	05-09 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$200	721	0	+721	Down	$-200	05-09 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$200	3,445	0	+3,445	Down	$-200	05-07 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$200	548	0	+548	Up	$-200	05-09 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$200	629	0	+629	Up	+$429	05-06 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$200	415	0	+415	Down	$-200	05-09 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$200	442	0	+442	Down	+$242	05-09 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$100	1,173	0	+1,173	Down	$-100	05-06 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$100	212	0	+212	Down	$-100	05-09 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$100	999	0	+999	Up	$-100	05-09 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$100	351	0	+351	Up	+$251	05-09 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$100	210	0	+210	Down	+$110	05-09 17:15
Will the fight be won by submission?	1	$100	196	0	+196	No	$-100	05-09 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$100	143	0	+143	Up	+$43	05-09 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$100	182	0	+182	Down	+$82	05-09 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$100	127	0	+127	Up	+$27	05-09 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$80	184	0	+184	Down	$-80	05-09 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$70	326	0	+326	Up	$-70	05-09 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-09 17:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 17:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf20c89…
05-09 17:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	548	36¢	$200	0x0eadde…
05-09 17:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	57	18¢	$10	0xaeb067…
05-09 17:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	269	22¢	$60	0xb94f16…
05-09 17:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	210	48¢	$100	0xe18d1f…
05-09 17:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	595	17¢	$100	0x2baf7f…
05-09 17:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	569	18¢	$100	0xa41d3c…
05-09 17:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	751	40¢	$300	0xa0a57e…
05-09 16:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x94baae…
05-09 16:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x76ac95…
05-09 16:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x20fb90…
05-09 16:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	297	34¢	$100	0x9eac8d…
05-09 16:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x873e85…
05-09 15:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	212	47¢	$100	0x9b973b…
05-09 15:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	184	44¢	$80	0x9d4ae6…
05-09 15:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	557	18¢	$100	0x17c324…
05-09 15:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x890616…
05-09 15:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x653d62…
05-09 15:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	208	98¢	$204	0xcdc3a0…
05-09 15:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x387562…
05-09 15:27:00	Will the fight be won by submission?	Yes	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x9b62de…
05-09 15:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x9ab732…
05-09 15:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	969	10¢	$96	0xb38419…
05-09 15:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x4d27a2…
05-09 15:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	351	28¢	$100	0xa32dde…
05-07 21:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1,752	2¢	$41	0x9f0bea…
05-07 21:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1,068	5¢	$59	0x11c433…
05-07 21:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0xd5d024…
05-06 16:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0xbde57d…
05-06 16:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xee72ed…
05-06 15:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0xeb2b9f…
05-06 15:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1,124	8¢	$95	0x323d13…
03-01 17:03:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	527,245	0¢	$527	0x67a269…
03-01 02:11:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	174,943	1¢	$1,000	0x516be9…
03-01 01:45:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	20,000	0¢	$100	0x53caba…
03-01 01:31:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	332,302	3¢	$10,000	0xade19e…