Primary-Tolerance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.3%

Resolved

2,044

Trades

157,554

lifetime

Volume

$697.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 05-30 03:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 42% -$20,122

Other

0% 50% -$44

Sports

0% 33% -$3

Politics

0% 100% +$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 15:00 UTC	271	$4.2K	8,226	0	+8,226	Up	-$522	03-03 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 22:40 UTC	268	$3.8K	3,464	2,360	+1,104	Down	+$870	03-20 22:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 23:15 UTC	937	$3.7K	7,234	0	+7,234	Up	-$498	04-09 23:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 18:45 UTC	947	$3.5K	7,470	0	+7,470	Up	-$329	04-09 18:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 18:15 UTC	441	$2.8K	5,416	2,319	+3,097	Down	+$154	03-02 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 15:45 UTC	558	$2.7K	3,086	2,050	+1,036	Up	+$0	04-07 15:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 13:45 UTC	701	$2.7K	5,970	469	+5,501	Down	+$86	04-09 13:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 18:40 UTC	679	$2.6K	5,631	0	+5,631	Down	-$98	04-09 18:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 14:55 UTC	196	$2.5K	4,149	0	+4,149	Up	+$100	03-02 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 23:05 UTC	550	$2.4K	4,030	854	+3,176	Up	+$71	04-07 23:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 18:35 UTC	627	$2.4K	5,964	0	+5,964	Up	-$301	04-09 18:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 13:55 UTC	551	$2.4K	4,674	563	+4,110	Up	-$352	04-09 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 18:30 UTC	650	$2.3K	5,820	0	+5,820	Down	-$176	04-09 18:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 19:00 UTC	99	$2.3K	3,481	0	+3,481	Down	-$205	02-27 19:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 20:30 UTC	578	$2.2K	4,079	948	+3,131	Down	-$154	04-07 20:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 00:20 UTC	616	$2.2K	4,947	0	+4,947	Up	-$60	04-10 00:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 16:45 UTC	492	$2.1K	3,809	897	+2,913	Up	+$424	04-02 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 15:30 UTC	556	$2.1K	4,253	688	+3,566	Up	+$150	04-01 15:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 14:40 UTC	196	$2.0K	4,997	0	+4,997	Down	-$41	03-03 14:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 18:05 UTC	478	$2.0K	3,843	597	+3,247	Down	-$175	04-01 18:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 23:35 UTC	493	$2.0K	3,505	575	+2,931	Down	-$107	04-07 23:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 18:15 UTC	409	$2.0K	2,143	1,840	+303	Up	+$76	03-23 18:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 18:50 UTC	514	$2.0K	4,532	0	+4,532	Down	+$95	04-09 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 18:00 UTC	432	$1.9K	3,142	1,161	+1,982	Up	+$325	04-02 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 16:55 UTC	358	$1.9K	2,318	3,133	-815	Down	+$384	03-23 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 12:30 UTC	485	$1.9K	2,694	1,744	+950	Down	-$249	04-07 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 13:45 UTC	626	$1.9K	3,620	0	+3,620	Up	-$322	04-17 13:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 11:30 UTC	75	$1.9K	3,686	307	+3,379	Down	+$38	02-26 11:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 17:30 UTC	123	$1.9K	3,118	0	+3,118	Down	-$848	03-01 17:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 18:05 UTC	378	$1.8K	3,836	0	+3,836	Up	+$71	03-20 18:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 03:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0b50f9…
05-28 18:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xdd003e…
05-28 18:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x45bc25…
05-28 13:16:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x7e4e37…
05-28 12:17:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xa4ffb3…
05-28 12:16:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x08dc14…
05-28 12:16:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x04a5c1…
05-28 12:12:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xf734b7…
05-28 10:32:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa30ec5…
05-28 10:32:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x9c6832…
05-28 10:32:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x048698…
05-28 09:21:19	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x30a2a9…
05-28 08:06:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xf3a01f…
05-28 07:56:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x1b8956…
05-28 07:01:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2d57fa…
05-28 06:51:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0x3f75f1…
05-28 06:47:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb387f4…
05-28 00:41:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x29dbf3…
05-28 00:41:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x461739…
05-28 00:36:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x5bec5f…
05-28 00:31:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xee1c6e…
05-28 00:31:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc10fb6…
05-28 00:26:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2e7fb4…
05-28 00:23:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x0328e9…
05-27 23:10:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x4624a3…
05-27 17:54:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd90d0a…
05-21 16:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	41¢	$0	0xd85872…
05-21 16:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7de52c…
05-21 16:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x257877…
05-21 16:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9e815d…
05-21 16:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7237d3…
05-21 16:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x24c44a…
05-21 16:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x19906e…
05-21 16:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb35d8b…
05-21 16:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5a487a…
05-21 16:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xd94a69…
05-21 16:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd5401f…
05-21 16:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x71654c…
05-21 16:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x714d0f…
05-21 16:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6b038b…
05-21 16:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0x638e85…
05-21 16:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x3d8fda…
05-21 16:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0x659eb9…
05-21 16:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	16	21¢	$3	0x522784…
05-21 16:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x47164c…
05-21 16:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0x23d4f5…
05-21 16:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xfdfa7b…
05-21 16:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x79056e…
05-21 16:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x4dbad0…
05-21 16:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x99581d…
05-21 16:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x213ad8…
05-21 16:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x741c25…
05-21 16:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1a7193…
05-21 16:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x7c5999…
05-21 16:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x32e23b…
05-21 16:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0c681b…
05-21 16:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x70c79e…
05-21 16:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x0c278d…
05-21 16:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xd3890a…
05-21 16:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x0dbeab…
05-21 15:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x90c934…
05-21 15:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xebbc9f…
05-21 15:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x177e5c…
05-21 15:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x0d962f…
05-21 15:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5c93a5…
05-21 15:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x08e7ba…
05-21 15:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8fb6ff…
05-21 15:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf3773c…
05-21 15:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xab5281…
05-21 15:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x988637…
05-21 15:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x33d74d…
05-21 15:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	19¢	$1	0xe742ee…
05-21 15:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	19¢	$1	0x2f02b2…
05-21 15:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xf7471e…
05-21 15:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x12f423…
05-21 15:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd5b741…
05-21 15:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x602ae7…
05-21 15:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x25ac3f…
05-21 15:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xf8d6bb…
05-21 15:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x3a5cea…
05-21 15:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb245ba…
05-21 15:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x5d0fa1…
05-21 15:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x9673a5…
05-21 15:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x0da757…
05-21 15:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x925f49…
05-21 15:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x73d1dc…
05-21 15:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x5e50d0…
05-21 15:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x764144…
05-21 15:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0xb8c8a0…
05-21 15:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0xaacf4f…
05-21 15:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x4d6729…
05-21 15:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb4d727…
05-21 15:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x87cf05…
05-21 15:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x257336…
05-21 15:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	58¢	$1	0x8fe175…
05-21 15:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x1ac78f…
05-21 15:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	56¢	$0	0xe947ee…
05-21 15:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xaea0e1…
05-21 15:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x95613d…
05-21 15:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x94d4a5…