Honest-Willingness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.04K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$15.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$210

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 06-10 20:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 25% $-1,036

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 6PM ET	2	$1.7K	1,280	1,280	+0	Up	+$810	05-07 23:01
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 4PM ET	2	$1.6K	1,155	1,109	+46	open	—	04-25 21:00
eth updown 4h 1776211200	3	$1.4K	954	920	+34	open	—	04-15 04:00
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 3AM ET	1	$1.1K	1,826	0	+1,826	Down	$-1,131	05-12 07:35
eth updown 4h 1775750400	4	$938	802	770	+33	open	—	04-09 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4AM ET	2	$907	593	593	+0	Up	+$279	05-13 09:00
eth updown 4h 1776686400	1	$662	1,250	0	+1,250	open	—	04-20 13:43
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2PM ET	2	$542	391	391	+0	open	—	05-16 19:00
eth updown 4h 1775995200	5	$462	1,724	0	+1,724	open	—	04-12 14:42
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$450	1,095	0	+1,095	open	—	05-15 20:34
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 6AM ET	2	$421	274	274	+0	open	—	05-27 11:00
eth updown 5m 1775753400	2	$406	286	277	+8	open	—	04-09 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$382	750	750	+0	Up	+$111	05-11 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$376	283	283	+0	open	—	05-27 14:00
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$360	759	0	+759	Down	$-360	05-11 14:20
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 2PM ET	1	$311	846	0	+846	open	—	04-25 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$300	633	0	+633	open	—	05-15 20:16
solana up or down april 14 2026 10pm et	2	$278	997	0	+997	open	—	04-15 02:38
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10AM ET	3	$271	619	619	+0	open	—	04-29 14:58
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$270	182	176	+6	open	—	04-26 14:15
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	1	$267	471	0	+471	Down	$-267	05-12 21:32
ethereum up or down april 9 2026 12pm et	2	$262	262	254	+9	open	—	04-09 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	4	$250	962	0	+962	Down	$-250	05-12 07:15
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$240	1,142	0	+1,142	open	—	04-29 18:09
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$187	165	165	+0	open	—	05-16 18:30
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$150	100	97	+3	open	—	04-26 12:41
solana up or down april 20 2026 8am et	1	$135	196	0	+196	open	—	04-20 12:02
btc updown 15m 1781125200	1	$96	181	0	+181	open	—	06-10 20:51
sol updown 4h 1776672000	1	$91	342	0	+342	open	—	04-20 10:05
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$84	568	0	+568	Down	$-84	05-07 21:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 20:51:18	btc updown 15m 1781125200	Up	BUY	181	53¢	$96	0x62feeb…
05-27 14:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	283	99¢	$280	0xcd9c6d…
05-27 13:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	283	34¢	$96	0x2e456e…
05-27 11:00:19	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	274	99¢	$271	0x6baae6…
05-27 10:10:11	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	274	55¢	$150	0x2fe1ac…
05-18 19:40:36	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	88	22¢	$20	0x0527a6…
05-16 19:00:14	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	391	99¢	$387	0xc5e16e…
05-16 18:31:13	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	391	40¢	$156	0x9d7109…
05-16 18:30:19	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	165	99¢	$163	0xe9a533…
05-16 18:26:38	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	165	15¢	$24	0xcbafab…
05-15 23:02:09	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x85da90…
05-15 20:34:22	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1,095	41¢	$450	0x296615…
05-15 20:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	633	47¢	$300	0xa56fa1…
05-15 20:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	254	32¢	$82	0xca50cc…
05-13 09:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	593	100¢	$593	0x33e8d8…
05-13 08:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	593	53¢	$314	0xf42f9f…
05-12 22:13:01	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	126	14¢	$18	0xcb6d88…
05-12 21:32:15	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	471	57¢	$267	0x907112…
05-12 11:05:25	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	155	45¢	$70	0xaa5526…
05-12 08:17:57	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0x9e4305…
05-12 07:35:17	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	1,826	62¢	$1,131	0x23a269…
05-12 07:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x304328…
05-12 07:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x9d617e…
05-12 07:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	420	24¢	$100	0xe2e022…
05-12 07:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	353	28¢	$100	0x8b6592…
05-11 16:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	750	33¢	$246	0x985d40…
05-11 16:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	750	18¢	$135	0xa8cd20…
05-11 14:20:27	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0x647e21…
05-11 14:18:05	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	696	50¢	$350	0xe68496…
05-07 23:01:15	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 6PM ET	Up	SELL	1,280	100¢	$1,279	0x80d681…
05-07 22:05:59	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	1,280	37¢	$469	0xae35d3…
05-07 21:38:16	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0x4047a1…
05-07 21:07:44	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	291	1¢	$4	0x67c4c8…
05-07 21:05:50	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	277	29¢	$80	0xe83155…
04-29 18:09:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1,142	21¢	$240	0x7ace4e…
04-29 15:06:24	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	330	21¢	$70	0x00314c…
04-29 14:58:34	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	519	4¢	$21	0xddf10a…
04-29 14:58:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x6e82c0…
04-29 14:24:32	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	619	39¢	$240	0x0ae625…
04-26 14:15:24	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	176	99¢	$174	0xcec851…
04-26 14:09:40	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	182	53¢	$96	0x532e1e…
04-26 12:41:08	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	97	99¢	$96	0x599196…
04-26 12:34:20	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xdc3244…
04-26 11:52:04	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x500389…
04-25 21:00:40	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	1,109	100¢	$1,108	0x155f1b…
04-25 20:05:24	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	1,155	45¢	$515	0x7d2d41…
04-25 18:08:40	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	846	37¢	$311	0xcb1de3…
04-20 13:43:56	eth updown 4h 1776686400	Down	BUY	1,250	53¢	$662	0xe4e14f…
04-20 12:02:30	solana up or down april 20 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	196	69¢	$135	0x99b209…
04-20 10:05:50	sol updown 4h 1776672000	Down	BUY	342	26¢	$91	0x30d514…
04-20 09:13:20	solana up or down april 20 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	125	34¢	$43	0x3b7e4c…
04-20 09:01:56	solana up or down april 20 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x91d329…
04-20 08:34:06	solana up or down april 20 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x9a20da…
04-15 04:00:16	eth updown 4h 1776211200	Up	SELL	920	100¢	$919	0x333b30…
04-15 02:59:02	eth updown 4h 1776211200	Up	BUY	417	64¢	$267	0x6102ce…
04-15 02:49:30	eth updown 4h 1776211200	Up	BUY	536	41¢	$220	0x243510…
04-15 02:38:28	solana up or down april 14 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	502	2¢	$10	0xedd004…
04-15 02:05:06	solana up or down april 14 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	495	54¢	$268	0xb67c7a…
04-12 22:23:21	solana up or down april 12 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	198	10¢	$20	0xadd090…
04-12 14:42:57	eth updown 4h 1775995200	Up	BUY	854	11¢	$95	0xab23f8…
04-12 13:44:41	eth updown 4h 1775995200	Up	BUY	325	29¢	$94	0xf0d6fb…
04-12 13:25:05	eth updown 4h 1775995200	Up	BUY	221	43¢	$95	0x1548f8…
04-12 12:39:23	eth updown 4h 1775995200	Up	BUY	104	57¢	$59	0x47dd54…
04-12 12:29:57	eth updown 4h 1775995200	Up	BUY	220	54¢	$118	0xccf0f4…
04-09 18:50:59	eth updown 4h 1775750400	Down	SELL	544	76¢	$414	0xe36b0d…
04-09 17:10:49	eth updown 4h 1775750400	Down	BUY	568	41¢	$233	0x1e0fa7…
04-09 16:52:19	eth updown 5m 1775753400	Up	SELL	277	85¢	$235	0xb5a571…
04-09 16:50:17	eth updown 5m 1775753400	Up	BUY	286	60¢	$171	0xf534d4…
04-09 16:47:45	eth updown 4h 1775750400	Down	SELL	226	77¢	$174	0x6cb7d2…
04-09 16:01:13	eth updown 4h 1775750400	Down	BUY	234	50¢	$117	0xbb04ba…
04-09 15:39:45	ethereum up or down april 9 2026 12pm et	Down	SELL	254	48¢	$122	0x599c9b…
04-09 15:38:13	ethereum up or down april 9 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	262	53¢	$140	0x6206d6…
04-09 15:23:27	atp alcaraz etcheve 2026 04 09	Tomas Etcheverry	BUY	385	14¢	$54	0x5ec3b1…
04-09 15:10:31	eth updown 5m 1775747400	Down	BUY	68	32¢	$22	0xdb6aba…