Grand-Contrary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.29K

Unrealized P&L

-$24

Hit rate

53.0%

Resolved

12,388

Trades

51,198

lifetime

Volume

$598.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$70

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 11-07 19:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 151 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% -$5,970

Other

0% 47% -$24

Sports

0% 0% -$298

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 1438 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	—	+50	$35	98¢	$49	+$15	11-07 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3PM ET	Up		+150	$59	14¢	$21	-$38	11-07 20:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 03:30 UTC	163	$3.8K	3,916	3,854	+62	Down	-$89	02-01 03:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 03:15 UTC	113	$2.7K	2,468	2,396	+72	Down	+$18	02-01 03:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 23:45 UTC	143	$2.2K	2,174	2,143	+31	Down	-$1	02-01 00:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 00:15 UTC	78	$2.0K	1,913	1,891	+23	Down	+$6	02-01 00:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 01:15 UTC	63	$2.0K	1,201	1,195	+6	Up	+$34	02-01 01:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 02:15 UTC	90	$2.0K	1,844	1,819	+25	Down	-$4	02-01 02:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 02:30 UTC	57	$2.0K	1,400	1,329	+72	Up	+$9	02-01 02:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 00:30 UTC	75	$2.0K	1,855	1,832	+23	Down	-$5	02-01 00:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 02:45 UTC	60	$1.8K	1,744	1,723	+20	Up	-$30	02-01 02:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 01:30 UTC	62	$1.7K	1,285	1,274	+11	Down	-$21	02-01 01:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 20:00 UTC	115	$1.6K	2,001	1,979	+22	Down	+$101	01-31 20:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 01:45 UTC	55	$1.6K	1,490	1,471	+19	Up	-$29	02-01 01:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 04:00 UTC	67	$1.6K	1,404	1,389	+15	Up	-$2	02-01 04:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 05:45 UTC	48	$1.5K	1,136	1,090	+46	Down	+$26	01-30 05:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 03:30 UTC	35	$1.5K	968	965	+4	Down	-$32	01-31 03:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 15:45 UTC	67	$1.5K	1,114	1,109	+5	Down	-$18	01-30 15:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 03:45 UTC	42	$1.5K	1,076	1,068	+8	Up	-$11	02-01 03:57
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 06:15 UTC	170	$1.4K	1,240	1,076	+164	Up	+$71	02-14 06:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 06:30 UTC	110	$1.4K	1,397	1,349	+48	Down	-$30	01-30 06:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 03:45 UTC	47	$1.4K	1,387	1,307	+80	Down	-$27	01-31 04:00
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 06:45 UTC	125	$1.4K	938	899	+38	Up	-$11	02-14 06:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 22:30 UTC	35	$1.4K	1,163	1,150	+13	Down	-$6	01-31 22:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 03:30 UTC	4	$1.4K	900	886	+14	Up	+$394	01-20 03:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 00:00 UTC	51	$1.3K	1,097	1,083	+14	Up	+$24	02-01 00:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 02:45 UTC	16	$1.3K	1,019	1,010	+9	Down	+$556	01-20 03:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 15:00 UTC	58	$1.2K	1,196	1,119	+78	Down	-$60	01-31 15:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 21:45 UTC	83	$1.2K	921	914	+7	Up	-$9	01-31 21:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 21:00 UTC	109	$1.2K	1,131	1,071	+61	Up	-$41	01-30 21:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 20:30 UTC	45	$1.2K	844	838	+6	Down	+$40	01-30 20:46
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 06:15 UTC	150	$1.1K	853	815	+38	Up	+$5	02-14 06:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 20:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xd75a92…
11-07 20:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x5b3407…
11-07 20:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x597022…
11-07 20:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xe92c0a…
11-07 20:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x3ae2d3…
11-07 20:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xad58b0…
11-07 20:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x4f9bb7…
11-07 20:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x426e82…
11-07 20:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xf67fb2…
11-07 20:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xc945d6…
11-07 20:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xbff09c…
11-07 20:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x9e226d…
11-07 20:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x8e54be…
11-07 20:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x5cd63f…
11-07 20:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x1b2f31…
11-07 20:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x1993fd…
11-07 20:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xc6d24d…
11-07 20:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x8fb92c…
11-07 20:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x8496f1…
11-07 20:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x25c12a…
11-07 20:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xf7fe5d…
11-07 20:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x265afc…
11-07 20:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xba4881…
11-07 20:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x9d91d5…
11-07 20:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xe3bfa4…
11-07 20:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x87a7a4…
11-07 20:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$8	0x3a7b67…
11-07 20:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	71¢	$8	0x36e574…
11-07 19:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	23	29¢	$7	0x1faa3a…
11-07 19:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0xd3f011…
11-07 19:51:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0xceb91e…
11-07 19:51:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0x0f164d…
11-07 19:51:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0x058148…
11-07 19:51:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0x7db654…
11-07 19:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x79a8c9…
11-07 19:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x5d21f3…
11-07 19:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xb0c4a8…
11-07 19:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x43cc4a…
11-07 19:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xef84a1…
11-07 19:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xec76d4…
11-07 19:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x681e8b…
11-07 19:22:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0x67a382…
11-07 19:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x467bc2…
11-07 19:22:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x0d9762…
11-07 19:22:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	45¢	$6	0xe37eb0…
11-07 19:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc9237d…
11-07 19:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x71ec09…
11-07 19:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x0e5dab…
11-07 19:22:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	45¢	$6	0x6891f2…
11-07 19:19:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	73¢	$8	0xbe7e36…
11-07 19:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x62eac5…
11-07 19:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xec3534…
11-07 19:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x6717c1…
11-07 19:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x3363d0…
11-07 19:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xad35e1…
11-07 19:19:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x4d9a4a…
11-07 19:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$3	0x3d6246…
11-07 19:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x3a3d06…
11-07 19:19:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x009562…
11-06 19:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xfff45f…
11-06 19:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x393eda…
11-06 19:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	68¢	$8	0xa177b4…
11-06 19:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x623878…
11-06 19:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	68¢	$8	0x2511df…
11-06 19:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	68¢	$8	0x08b79f…
11-06 19:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xf77a0b…
11-06 19:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x7a6a3e…
11-06 19:02:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb72074…
11-06 19:01:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x88db83…
11-06 19:01:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x3d561b…
11-06 19:01:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf95f3a…
11-06 19:01:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xde09c1…
11-06 19:01:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x99e40d…
11-06 19:01:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7ead35…
11-06 19:01:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x5783d5…
11-06 19:01:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x164aab…
11-06 19:01:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc63fd1…
11-06 19:01:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x909c40…
11-06 19:01:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x72bbcf…
11-06 19:01:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x6fd36f…
11-06 19:01:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x528581…
11-06 19:01:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x346f03…
11-06 19:01:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x2e3470…
11-06 18:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0xf7c020…
11-06 18:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x4de39c…
11-06 18:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xf06a90…
11-06 18:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0xe1212a…
11-06 18:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0xdc7b12…
11-06 18:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0x8103a0…
11-06 18:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0x7f4334…
11-06 18:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x5defde…
11-06 18:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x1e7fa1…
11-06 18:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0x60d56f…
11-06 18:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0xce53a3…
11-06 18:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x51dce7…
11-06 18:32:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x20948d…
11-06 18:32:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xe46c22…
11-06 18:32:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x35007c…
11-06 18:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x754af0…
11-06 18:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x28e522…