Runny-Casserole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.4%

Resolved

8,402

Trades

15,488

lifetime

Volume

$33.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 10-22 13:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 165 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 89% -$15

Sports

0% 50% +$0

Other

0% 40% $0

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 166 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 13:10 UTC	3	$185	1,121	1,121	+0	Down	-$15	07-07 13:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 20:20 UTC	9	$36	53	0	+53	Up	-$36	07-03 20:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 12:15 UTC	8	$31	32	0	+32	Down	+$2	07-03 12:18
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$30	50	50	+0	No	+$12	07-16 09:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 09:50 UTC	11	$25	27	0	+27	Up	+$2	07-02 09:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:10 UTC	11	$25	27	0	+27	Up	+$2	07-02 13:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 14:00 UTC	11	$25	27	0	+27	Down	-$25	07-02 14:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:50 UTC	11	$25	27	0	+27	Down	+$2	07-02 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 12:35 UTC	10	$23	24	0	+24	Up	+$2	07-02 12:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 12:05 UTC	8	$22	24	0	+24	Up	+$3	07-06 12:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 22:00 UTC	8	$22	23	0	+23	Down	+$1	07-06 22:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 13:30 UTC	8	$22	23	0	+23	Up	+$1	07-07 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 14:20 UTC	8	$22	24	0	+24	Up	-$13	07-06 14:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 23:15 UTC	8	$22	23	0	+23	Down	+$1	07-05 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	8	$22	23	0	+23	Down	+$1	07-06 23:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:40 UTC	9	$21	23	0	+23	Up	+$3	07-02 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 10:10 UTC	9	$21	22	0	+22	Up	+$1	07-02 10:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 16:45 UTC	9	$21	22	0	+22	Up	+$2	07-02 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	9	$21	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	07-03 01:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:25 UTC	9	$21	22	0	+22	Down	+$1	07-02 13:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 14:15 UTC	6	$21	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	07-03 14:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 14:50 UTC	4	$20	30	0	+30	Up	-$6	02-26 14:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 14:00 UTC	4	$20	26	0	+26	Down	+$6	02-26 14:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 14:40 UTC	4	$20	32	0	+32	Down	-$4	02-26 14:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 14:35 UTC	4	$20	28	0	+28	Down	-$12	02-26 14:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 14:30 UTC	4	$20	25	0	+25	Down	+$5	02-26 14:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 19:30 UTC	7	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	07-06 19:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 22:15 UTC	7	$20	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	07-06 22:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 09:40 UTC	7	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	07-05 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 16:10 UTC	7	$20	22	0	+22	Up	+$2	07-06 16:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 13:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xf73141…
10-22 13:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xb46134…
10-22 13:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xc6ba76…
10-22 13:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x4ceef7…
10-22 12:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xf6b57d…
10-22 12:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xf0197d…
10-22 12:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xc5b2d0…
10-22 12:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x4772bd…
10-22 10:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x67acf6…
10-22 10:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x535d46…
10-22 09:27:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-22 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xe9de01…
10-22 09:27:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-22 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xa2ef03…
10-22 09:22:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-22 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xa7c3bc…
10-22 09:22:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-22 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x96231b…
10-22 09:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xc578c0…
10-22 09:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xac9e4b…
10-22 09:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x8b2c55…
10-22 09:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x1e8aa4…
10-22 08:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x728f21…
10-22 08:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xeecfba…
10-22 08:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xc2d8f2…
10-22 08:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x121088…
10-22 08:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x0f3f54…
10-22 08:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xa5c584…
10-22 07:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x5f894e…
10-22 07:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x22d608…
10-22 07:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x56e00d…
10-22 07:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x0a2120…
10-22 07:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x5ade10…
10-22 07:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x1d8c31…
10-22 06:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xff3ef1…
10-22 06:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x8812fe…
10-22 05:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf4d1b8…
10-22 05:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xbce0f3…
10-22 04:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa85805…
10-22 04:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4505e1…
10-22 03:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x5f372f…
10-22 03:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xea9937…
10-22 03:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xdddce5…
10-22 03:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x3e7843…
10-22 03:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x93ec0e…
10-22 03:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x898320…
10-22 03:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x2fcfec…
10-22 03:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x99376b…
10-22 03:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x1259d2…
10-22 03:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xa39641…
10-22 03:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xe2064c…
10-22 03:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x1fa763…
10-22 02:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xd12cb7…
10-22 02:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x71661c…
10-22 02:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x2f2e56…
10-22 02:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xcb3e8b…
10-22 02:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x11a578…
10-22 02:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xc9caef…
10-22 02:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x1cb0ef…
10-22 02:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x32c450…
10-22 02:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x12dfcc…
10-22 02:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x67fe1b…
10-22 02:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x64f25a…
10-22 02:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xeb8622…
10-22 02:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x67b411…
10-22 01:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xab2130…
10-22 01:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xa66db7…
10-22 01:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x113a56…
10-22 01:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xc832f9…
10-22 01:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x55fa53…
10-22 01:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf6b54c…
10-22 01:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x778f04…
10-22 01:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x2eeb47…
10-22 01:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x9e1741…
10-22 01:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x90922d…
10-22 01:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x8e85e1…
10-22 00:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf7656a…
10-22 00:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x7eb21b…
10-22 00:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x5a3794…
10-22 00:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xe040a7…
10-22 00:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xa67822…
10-22 00:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x99790a…
10-21 23:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x56bcd1…
10-21 23:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x22bc31…
10-21 22:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x9768d7…
10-21 22:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xa83f88…
10-21 22:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x96dd64…
10-21 22:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x8ebfd1…
10-21 22:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x45e260…
10-21 22:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x31433c…
10-21 22:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xdc0103…
10-21 22:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3b39b0…
10-21 20:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x7a67af…
10-21 20:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x705175…
10-21 20:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x13b8ba…
10-21 19:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xb59567…
10-21 19:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x827e7d…
10-21 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xf13049…
10-21 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x591e71…
10-21 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x1f4c69…
10-21 18:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x305fc6…
10-21 18:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x0727ad…
10-21 17:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xffe58e…
10-21 17:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x3a7383…