Upset-Postfix — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$991

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

87.6%

Resolved

1,628

Trades

3,258

lifetime

Volume

$89.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$70

1 position

First seen

2026-03-03

last 11-04 23:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 137 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 87% +$449

Other

6% 74% -$213

Politics

4% 73% -$1,202

Tech

0% 50% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+72	$69	97¢	$70	+$1	11-04 23:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	7	$1.1K	37,316	0	+37,316	Yes	-$1,117	04-10 23:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 15:35 UTC	3	$963	664	353	+311	Down	-$33	04-19 15:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 13:25 UTC	7	$935	1,021	11	+1,010	Down	-$321	04-09 13:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 13:15 UTC	4	$894	934	0	+934	Up	+$40	04-09 13:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 13:10 UTC	4	$843	898	0	+898	Down	+$55	04-09 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 12:55 UTC	2	$825	844	0	+844	Up	+$19	04-09 12:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 12:45 UTC	4	$762	830	0	+830	Down	+$69	04-09 12:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 12:10 UTC	8	$712	779	55	+724	Down	+$33	04-09 12:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 11:50 UTC	7	$664	767	0	+767	Down	+$26	04-09 11:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 11:40 UTC	10	$617	711	39	+672	Down	+$79	04-09 11:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 13:35 UTC	4	$608	687	0	+687	Down	-$398	04-09 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 10:55 UTC	5	$582	592	0	+592	Down	+$10	04-09 10:59
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$561	657	0	+657	No	+$96	03-25 10:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 22:20 UTC	3	$559	584	0	+584	Down	+$25	04-08 22:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 22:00 UTC	2	$542	560	0	+560	Down	+$18	04-08 22:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 21:10 UTC	6	$530	541	0	+541	Up	+$11	04-08 21:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 16:15 UTC	1	$530	530	0	+530	Down	+$1	04-18 16:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 18:45 UTC	3	$525	266	266	+0	Up	+$1	04-22 18:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 21:15 UTC	4	$515	524	0	+524	Down	+$9	04-18 21:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 21:00 UTC	2	$506	532	0	+532	Down	+$27	04-08 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 13:40 UTC	1	$502	575	0	+575	Down	+$73	04-07 13:44
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$497	273	273	+0	No	+$49	04-02 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 20:15 UTC	4	$470	492	0	+492	Up	+$22	04-08 20:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 00:20 UTC	3	$456	465	0	+465	Down	+$9	04-19 00:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 19:50 UTC	2	$452	472	0	+472	Down	-$11	04-08 19:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 20:10 UTC	4	$450	471	0	+471	Up	+$21	04-08 20:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 19:45 UTC	5	$450	470	17	+453	Up	+$5	04-08 19:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 13:15 UTC	1	$448	506	0	+506	Down	+$57	04-07 13:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 21:15 UTC	2	$442	442	0	+442	Down	+$0	04-19 21:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 19:15 UTC	5	$426	449	0	+449	Down	+$23	04-08 19:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 23:46:49	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	96¢	$69	0xc5a818…
10-16 11:32:12	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	70	71¢	$49	0xb71043…
10-15 11:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x3baa17…
10-15 11:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x7719f9…
10-14 23:01:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x68520b…
10-14 23:00:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf426a4…
10-14 23:00:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xe7ad4b…
10-14 23:00:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x11d216…
10-14 23:00:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xbe08b8…
10-14 23:00:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd1000f…
10-14 12:54:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x601892…
10-14 00:07:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xc615a8…
10-14 00:07:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa006f9…
10-14 00:07:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:05 UTC	Up	SELL	3	54¢	$1	0xbb2594…
10-14 00:07:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x85047d…
10-14 00:06:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:05 UTC	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x92ba95…
10-14 00:06:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x150e10…
10-14 00:06:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x889861…
10-14 00:05:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x765dc7…
10-14 00:03:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x4dc6c9…
10-13 23:59:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe47d9d…
10-13 23:51:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0xb9c9f4…
10-13 23:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0adde5…
10-13 23:47:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x1f0abd…
10-13 23:46:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd24ea2…
10-13 23:43:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:40 UTC	Down	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x3da81d…
10-13 23:40:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0fa3db…
10-13 23:36:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$2	0x9a5069…
10-13 23:36:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x172dd9…
10-13 23:36:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:35 UTC	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x87ad39…
10-13 23:35:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x80d4d6…
10-13 23:32:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC	Up	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x684c85…
10-13 23:32:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xc2c890…
10-13 23:30:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x598dc2…
10-13 23:27:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:25 UTC	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xed8029…
10-13 23:26:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7712e9…
10-13 23:25:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:25 UTC	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x01a12b…
10-13 23:25:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x755ec0…
10-13 23:23:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:20 UTC	Up	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xc2c092…
10-13 23:22:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x19fa4f…
10-13 23:15:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xd54a90…
10-13 23:15:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xec13b3…
10-13 23:10:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8ce89f…
10-13 23:10:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xeb9f7d…
10-13 23:09:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x668275…
10-13 23:08:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:05 UTC	Up	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xd125e9…
10-13 23:06:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5264e2…
10-13 23:06:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x21c1be…
10-13 23:05:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9cd5ea…
10-13 23:02:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x419143…
10-13 23:00:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xbbbd6a…
10-13 22:57:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x5f0760…
10-13 22:55:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x789c2f…
10-13 22:55:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x531000…
10-13 22:55:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcf9237…
10-13 22:51:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:50 UTC	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0xa3f182…
10-13 22:50:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf6da02…
10-13 22:50:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x246d69…
10-13 22:50:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x12c232…
10-13 22:49:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8fb4c8…
10-13 22:47:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd2e5ed…
10-13 22:43:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x894c64…
10-13 22:41:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xde6fb3…
10-13 22:41:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x70ae12…
10-13 22:40:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xafb6f2…
10-13 22:35:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x066336…
10-13 22:30:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x307b0d…
10-13 22:29:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:25 UTC	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x33a241…
10-13 22:25:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x242de5…
10-13 22:16:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x0dbbf4…
10-13 22:15:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe85e34…
10-13 22:13:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xcbda8e…
10-13 22:12:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc1ced1…
10-13 22:08:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:05 UTC	Up	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x7f45d2…
10-13 22:08:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4b4dd5…
10-13 22:08:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1449ad…
10-13 21:57:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:55 UTC	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x3046ee…
10-13 21:57:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x015bcc…
10-13 21:56:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:55 UTC	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x23f7fe…
10-13 21:55:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x81c212…
10-13 19:03:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x47bfdc…
10-13 18:18:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x8a535e…
10-13 18:17:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xbcd9ca…
10-13 18:05:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x9a8738…
10-13 18:05:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xbd34db…
10-12 11:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x642ae9…
10-12 11:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xca7ac9…
10-12 11:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1a784c…
10-12 11:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xe55f6c…
10-12 11:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x19663f…
10-12 11:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xe16544…
10-12 11:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd00dc7…
10-12 11:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x2cbd69…
10-12 11:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2dd135…
10-10 22:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xbadcfa…
10-10 19:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x5db3e6…
10-10 19:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xcf871e…
10-10 19:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x539792…
10-10 19:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4db9aa…
10-10 19:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x99cc39…