Oblong-Cough — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.04K

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

40.0%

Resolved

170

Trades

558

lifetime

Volume

$10.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$47

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-04 03:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 16% -$641

Other

22% 8% -$332

Politics

19% 4% -$887

Sports

13% 11% -$183

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+1,481	$51	3¢	$47	-$4	11-04 03:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 21:05 UTC	2	$905	864	857	+7	Up	+$512	02-14 21:09
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$811	1,009	1,009	+0	No	+$713	02-13 16:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 20:30 UTC	5	$537	464	462	+2	Down	+$380	02-13 20:35
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	6	$483	10,010	5,000	+5,010	Yes	-$43	02-13 16:13
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$464	1,004	1,004	+0	No	+$364	07-19 17:06
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$455	11,130	6,111	+5,019	No	-$51	02-22 21:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 16:50 UTC	3	$267	149	149	+1	Up	+$28	02-13 16:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 17:15 UTC	2	$263	244	240	+4	Down	+$66	02-13 17:19
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	6	$252	14,725	6,978	+7,746	No	-$143	01-07 20:53
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	13	$232	33,710	1,031	+32,679	No	-$170	07-07 01:23
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	4	$230	5,125	0	+5,125	No	-$230	11-04 02:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 02:55 UTC	2	$218	154	152	+2	Down	+$85	02-14 03:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 21:15 UTC	2	$204	200	200	+0	Up	+$192	02-14 21:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 03:45 UTC	2	$200	995	0	+995	Down	-$200	02-14 03:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 17:35 UTC	2	$200	464	0	+464	Up	-$200	02-13 17:39
will trump say epstein during the 2026 state of the union address 269	1	$179	1,138	0	+1,138	No	-$179	02-23 18:04
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	6	$177	12,782	0	+12,782	No	-$177	08-18 14:12
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	3	$129	5,385	5,385	+0	open	—	08-27 14:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 02:25 UTC	12	$120	4,000	0	+4,000	Up	-$120	02-15 02:29
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	4	$108	68,880	38,880	+30,000	No	-$30	02-13 15:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 18:30 UTC	2	$102	93	93	+0	Down	+$82	02-13 18:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 03:50 UTC	2	$101	1,218	0	+1,218	Up	-$101	02-14 03:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 20:25 UTC	2	$101	2,004	0	+2,004	Down	-$97	02-14 20:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 17:40 UTC	1	$100	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	-$100	02-14 17:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 03:20 UTC	1	$100	208	0	+208	Down	-$100	02-15 03:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 20:15 UTC	1	$100	400	0	+400	Up	-$100	02-13 20:19
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	1	$99	1,656	0	+1,656	Belgium	-$99	07-07 01:27
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	4	$96	4,812	4,098	+714	No	-$54	07-24 13:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 19:30 UTC	2	$91	77	76	+1	Down	+$60	02-13 19:35
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	3	$86	3,556	2,370	+1,187	No	-$34	07-24 13:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 03:15:39	Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,429	3¢	$50	0x741ea6…
11-04 02:40:40	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	588	3¢	$20	0x940b74…
11-04 02:40:06	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,726	4¢	$100	0x50b87e…
11-04 02:30:34	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	169	6¢	$10	0x0fdc8f…
11-04 02:29:16	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,546	1¢	$20	0xf106be…
11-04 02:28:51	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,642	6¢	$100	0x088028…
09-16 15:25:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,194	1¢	$26	0xc7e6f6…
09-16 15:17:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	620	1¢	$5	0xab1838…
09-16 15:16:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1,048	1¢	$5	0xa9d133…
09-16 14:49:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8,880	0¢	$9	0x41fc51…
09-16 14:44:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,048	1¢	$10	0x49291f…
09-16 14:43:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,111	1¢	$10	0x2037f1…
09-16 14:11:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xb50ff3…
08-27 14:23:43	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	2,933	0¢	$12	0xc31d69…
08-27 14:23:40	Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	2,000	1¢	$18	0xaee35c…
08-27 14:23:36	Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	3,750	0¢	$19	0xdf24f0…
08-27 14:23:31	Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	5,385	1¢	$59	0xac9f9a…
08-18 14:13:12	Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	1,250	1¢	$10	0xb7cc41…
08-18 14:12:28	Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	7,953	0¢	$10	0x4f6b53…
08-18 14:12:04	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x328a3e…
08-18 03:08:55	Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	1,538	1¢	$20	0x9f7ac3…
08-18 03:08:45	Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	2,500	1¢	$20	0x161be0…
08-18 03:08:36	Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0x0ec90c…
08-18 03:05:58	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	2,933	1¢	$20	0x2dbf77…
08-18 03:04:34	Will James Fishback at least 30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	BUY	1,111	2¢	$20	0x6816c0…
08-18 03:03:30	Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	3,846	1¢	$50	0x36235a…
08-14 22:48:28	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	1,460	2¢	$22	0xb3b9de…
08-14 22:47:00	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	333	2¢	$5	0x118fc7…
08-14 22:28:25	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	1,417	1¢	$20	0x65e1c1…
08-14 22:28:03	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	3,571	1¢	$50	0x06003c…
08-14 22:27:36	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	5,000	1¢	$70	0xae3b94…
07-24 13:08:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xd03721…
07-24 13:07:48	Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0xbd9fd2…
07-24 13:07:37	Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,187	3¢	$30	0xb15d3c…
07-22 21:59:19	Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$18	0x3f803f…
07-22 21:59:13	Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	7,971	0¢	$22	0xd73c69…
07-22 13:02:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,429	1¢	$10	0x0ae1fe…
07-22 11:45:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,333	1¢	$20	0x905561…
07-22 11:44:13	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	2,511	0¢	$3	0xe02240…
07-22 11:43:54	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	4,000	1¢	$24	0xb9e112…
07-22 11:43:37	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$8	0x4b489f…
07-22 11:43:33	Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	4,356	0¢	$11	0x1f8b52…
07-22 11:43:27	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	3,621	0¢	$12	0xd7410b…
07-22 11:43:22	Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	4,098	1¢	$21	0xb25b80…
07-22 11:43:16	Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	2,370	1¢	$26	0xe6860c…
07-20 22:43:43	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	2,511	0¢	$10	0x2d4f88…
07-20 15:10:39	Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	2,971	0¢	$10	0x3f979b…
07-20 15:10:18	Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x1d116a…
07-20 15:10:06	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$20	0x893ec7…
07-20 15:09:55	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	3,621	1¢	$20	0xa8da78…
07-20 15:09:43	Will LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xeee2b7…
07-20 15:09:39	Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	6,118	0¢	$6	0x7d3c33…
07-20 15:09:39	Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	3,882	0¢	$4	0x169f63…
07-20 15:09:36	Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x04fe47…
07-20 15:09:28	Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x16ca2b…
07-20 15:09:24	Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	3,473	0¢	$3	0xf7051c…
07-20 15:09:24	Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	4,652	0¢	$5	0xb8732e…
07-20 15:09:24	Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,875	0¢	$2	0x1d6d83…
07-20 15:09:09	Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5,371	0¢	$5	0xb9d192…
07-20 15:09:09	Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	4,629	0¢	$5	0x697b4d…
07-20 15:09:01	Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x3fc72d…
07-20 15:08:55	Will LeBron James play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x683955…
07-20 15:08:40	Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	2,370	1¢	$30	0x0345b6…
07-20 01:24:36	Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0xf96201…
07-20 01:24:19	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x78cfe1…
07-20 01:22:49	Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xafe0ca…
07-19 22:02:04	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	4,000	0¢	$10	0xb8d46b…
07-19 22:01:01	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	667	3¢	$20	0xafe9df…
07-19 21:56:46	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x2c93fd…
07-19 21:47:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xa16382…
07-19 19:34:46	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x6d371f…
07-19 19:34:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lamine yamal gte3	Yes	BUY	112	3¢	$3	0xdd9a50…
07-19 19:33:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte3	Yes	BUY	477	2¢	$10	0xf3bf7f…
07-19 19:33:21	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	431	2¢	$10	0x664a80…
07-19 18:15:22	Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,023	1¢	$10	0x603d1e…
07-19 18:14:51	Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	2,888	2¢	$50	0x1f4f7c…
07-19 18:14:33	Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xd357de…
07-19 17:06:01	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,004	41¢	$414	0xfa9206…
07-18 19:06:51	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,232	1¢	$10	0xa5d29b…
07-18 19:06:42	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,250	1¢	$10	0x82d9ad…
07-09 21:48:17	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x3b2fb6…
07-09 21:47:55	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xbf9103…
07-09 21:47:02	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x11a0e9…
07-09 21:44:35	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xab2927…
07-09 21:33:20	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$15	0xea1c02…
07-07 17:57:17	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x3876d4…
07-07 17:57:08	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xa9c1d3…
07-07 17:52:58	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$20	0x6872c5…
07-07 17:45:47	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	800	5¢	$40	0x6494c1…
07-07 17:44:01	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	204	5¢	$10	0x04615a…
07-07 01:27:17	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	1,656	6¢	$99	0x4ac8bc…
07-07 01:23:31	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0x6c3348…
07-07 01:22:55	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xf82463…
07-07 01:22:44	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$30	0x6dfaf3…
07-07 01:22:34	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$30	0xfe22e2…
07-07 01:18:22	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,818	1¢	$20	0x9516b7…
07-06 22:26:44	Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,111	1¢	$10	0x5a45d1…
07-06 22:25:26	Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x5aef34…
07-06 22:25:19	Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x82cf1f…
07-06 22:23:53	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$30	0x39017b…