Busy-Crystal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$147

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.2%

Resolved

Trades

388

lifetime

Volume

$10.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 08-11 23:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Politics

76% 44% +$204

Other

20% 42% -$249

Crypto

2% 35% -$43

Sports

2% 43% -$61

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will otto ritter win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 232	130	$3.7K	12,743	12,786	-43	No	-$813	04-19 22:04
will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	74	$3.7K	4,896	3,820	+1,076	Yes	+$1,122	04-19 17:40
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	7	$412	555	229	+326	Yes	-$146	01-30 01:08
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev	2	$197	109	109	+0	Alexander Zverev	+$19	05-10 14:41
Evo Morales arrested by May 31?	11	$191	658	351	+307	No	-$59	05-20 06:22
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	2	$133	324	0	+324	Spain	-$133	07-19 13:21
will luis fernando camacho win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 723	7	$107	102	102	+0	No	+$17	03-22 23:17
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$100	215	0	+215	Argentina	+$115	07-14 23:59
wta pegula eala 2026 08 02	6	$89	68	68	+0	Alexandra Eala	-$11	08-03 16:54
rodrigo paz out as president of bolivia by june 30 2026	6	$84	141	110	+31	No	-$24	06-03 22:33
Will the US strike Iran next?	4	$80	154	0	+154	No	-$80	01-15 02:43
will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	3	$75	115	41	+74	No	-$53	08-10 01:05
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-07-30?	2	$65	42	42	+0	Yes	+$19	07-31 00:37
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	3	$64	96	96	+0	No	+$4	01-22 00:50
Will Bamin Real Potosí win on 2026-08-09?	2	$62	38	38	+0	Yes	+$13	08-09 23:52
will bitcoin reach 98k january 12 18	2	$55	38	38	+0	No	+$15	01-14 20:42
cdr alb rma 2026 01 14 alb	2	$50	45	45	+0	Yes	+$40	01-14 22:53
atp zandsch mensik 2026 08 10 match total 22pt5	4	$47	47	47	+0	Under	-$5	08-10 01:05
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	5	$44	287	287	+0	open	—	05-28 14:11
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$42	10,983	0	+10,983	No	-$42	06-03 22:33
f1 australian grand prix red flag 2026 03 07	2	$41	112	0	+112	No	-$41	03-07 10:22
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	2	$40	28	28	+0	Yes	$0	07-30 23:33
will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by jan 31	2	$39	27	27	+0	No	+$9	01-18 22:19
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	4	$39	227	227	+0	open	—	06-03 11:23
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	2	$36	32	32	+0	open	—	05-09 21:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:40 UTC	3	$34	28	19	+9	Down	+$4	03-07 22:45
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$34	341	0	+341	No	-$34	03-16 18:45
Will SE Palmeiras vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?	2	$33	25	25	+0	Yes	+$17	08-09 21:14
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?	2	$32	26	26	+0	Yes	+$7	07-26 01:19
ucl ben1 rma1 2026 01 28 ben1	2	$30	20	20	+0	Yes	+$10	01-28 22:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 23:20:28	Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-08-11?	Yes	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x04b72f…
08-10 21:00:10	atp mrva basile 2026 08 10	Pierluigi Basile	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x45c243…
08-10 20:10:24	atp mrva basile 2026 08 10	Pierluigi Basile	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8ce2d0…
08-10 20:10:06	atp mrva basile 2026 08 10	Pierluigi Basile	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x783f48…
08-10 01:05:54	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	BUY	31	29¢	$9	0x471805…
08-10 01:05:12	atp zandsch mensik 2026 08 10 match total 22pt5	Over	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0x7a361d…
08-10 01:04:48	wta eala bencic 2026 08 09	Alexandra Eala	SELL	12	35¢	$4	0xbcdfee…
08-10 00:52:45	atp zandsch mensik 2026 08 10 match total 22pt5	Over	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xf10840…
08-10 00:36:18	wta eala bencic 2026 08 09	Alexandra Eala	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x161a72…
08-10 00:32:33	atp zandsch mensik 2026 08 10 match total 22pt5	Over	SELL	32	49¢	$16	0x46813b…
08-10 00:31:55	atp zandsch mensik 2026 08 10 match total 22pt5	Over	BUY	33	52¢	$17	0xa8532c…
08-09 23:52:10	Will Bamin Real Potosí win on 2026-08-09?	Yes	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x650eaa…
08-09 21:19:21	Will Bamin Real Potosí win on 2026-08-09?	Yes	BUY	38	65¢	$24	0xd17635…
08-09 21:14:09	Will SE Palmeiras vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xe1a3a9…
08-09 19:51:43	mlb atl nyy 2026 08 09	New York Yankees	SELL	14	47¢	$7	0xbd8e59…
08-09 19:44:07	mlb atl nyy 2026 08 09	New York Yankees	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x4394bb…
08-09 19:42:40	Will SE Palmeiras vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x343ce6…
08-08 12:22:33	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	SELL	41	26¢	$11	0x20c0f4…
08-05 13:04:29	will marcelo attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630259	Yes	BUY	84	65¢	$55	0x011ab4…
08-03 16:54:35	wta pegula eala 2026 08 02	Jessica Pegula	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0x78e1ef…
08-03 14:35:23	wta pegula eala 2026 08 02	Jessica Pegula	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x3a5ccc…
08-03 12:09:17	wta pegula eala 2026 08 02	Jessica Pegula	BUY	28	81¢	$23	0xee0f21…
08-02 23:07:54	Will CDOriente Petrolero win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0xdff9f1…
08-02 23:06:20	Will Club Always Ready vs. Club Bolívar end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xdb2b3f…
08-02 22:53:23	Will CDOriente Petrolero vs. CA Nacional Potosí end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	21	23¢	$5	0xedf908…
08-02 22:47:36	Will CDOriente Petrolero vs. CA Nacional Potosí end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x9eafc7…
08-02 22:41:00	Will Club Always Ready vs. Club Bolívar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbbad36…
08-02 22:40:08	wta pegula eala 2026 08 02	Jessica Pegula	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0x15645a…
08-02 20:44:35	wta pegula eala 2026 08 02	Jessica Pegula	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x22f1f2…
08-02 15:15:02	wta pegula eala 2026 08 02	Jessica Pegula	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xedf4b2…
07-31 00:37:20	Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-07-30?	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x48f98f…
07-30 23:33:47	Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-07-30?	Yes	BUY	42	55¢	$23	0x1635b9…
07-30 23:33:27	Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	28	70¢	$20	0xd154f2…
07-30 23:33:18	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0x69d636…
07-27 21:07:34	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0x8fa2c6…
07-27 21:05:16	Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0xaf3e9d…
07-26 01:26:13	Will CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	59	12¢	$7	0x61bd37…
07-26 01:21:43	Will CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xf427f3…
07-26 01:19:24	la velada del ano 6 illojuan vs thegrefg 20260708193004008	TheGrefg	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xe534ee…
07-26 01:19:10	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?	Yes	SELL	26	76¢	$20	0x2f7667…
07-25 23:32:45	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?	Yes	BUY	26	49¢	$13	0x91c0f6…
07-25 23:32:10	la velada del ano 6 lit killah vs kidd keo 20260708165412956	Lit Killah	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xdefec0…
07-25 22:47:39	la velada del ano 6 illojuan vs thegrefg 20260708193004008	TheGrefg	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x1f9281…
07-25 22:47:19	la velada del ano 6 lit killah vs kidd keo 20260708165412956	Lit Killah	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x14ef3c…
07-25 21:16:24	la velada del ano 6 edu aguirre vs gaston edul 20260708163317222	Aguirre	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc579ca…
07-25 19:25:34	la velada del ano 6 lit killah vs kidd keo 20260708165412956	Lit Killah	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xa0d72b…
07-25 19:25:03	la velada del ano 6 illojuan vs thegrefg 20260708193004008	TheGrefg	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x101a3b…
07-25 19:22:37	la velada del ano 6 edu aguirre vs gaston edul 20260708163317222	Aguirre	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xc7eaa4…
07-24 00:11:28	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-07-23?	Yes	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x240617…
07-23 23:56:21	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x129b71…
07-20 11:06:33	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	429	1¢	$3	0xd5efca…
07-20 08:55:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0xe16633…
07-20 08:44:19	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1,200	0¢	$6	0x8015e1…
07-19 18:59:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xcead2a…
07-19 17:06:22	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x2facdb…
07-19 13:26:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte3	Yes	BUY	192	3¢	$5	0x41d1ca…
07-19 13:21:49	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	63	41¢	$26	0x71b550…
07-17 21:47:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	260	41¢	$107	0xa85ab5…
07-15 07:29:17	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x0024e9…
07-14 23:59:01	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	215	46¢	$100	0x626885…
07-11 11:27:31	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x3794a3…
06-03 22:33:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,445	0¢	$10	0x830c7a…
06-03 22:33:16	rodrigo paz out as president of bolivia by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	85	12¢	$10	0xc80f11…
06-03 17:41:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,218	0¢	$13	0x7b76ae…
06-03 17:41:22	Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0x170cd3…
06-03 17:36:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,203	0¢	$7	0x327e6b…
06-03 17:36:18	Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	81¢	$7	0x074898…
06-03 11:24:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,625	0¢	$6	0xa9f090…
06-03 11:23:39	Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	Yes	SELL	118	6¢	$7	0xa82630…
06-03 10:06:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,492	0¢	$6	0x5e43a3…
06-03 10:05:48	Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	Yes	SELL	109	6¢	$7	0xede880…
05-28 14:12:01	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0xb8fed6…
05-28 14:11:16	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	172	6¢	$10	0xc963c6…
05-20 07:36:12	Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x0b9835…
05-20 06:23:01	Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x241897…
05-20 06:22:05	Evo Morales arrested by May 31?	Yes	SELL	189	19¢	$36	0xf734e5…
05-20 06:20:13	Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0xb08287…
05-14 23:37:47	Evo Morales arrested by May 31?	Yes	BUY	72	35¢	$25	0x5087a4…
05-13 08:11:00	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	2,973	1¢	$24	0x3e7f30…
05-12 17:56:12	Evo Morales arrested by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xd5fefb…
05-12 16:46:40	Evo Morales arrested by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x42f494…
05-12 15:45:15	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x32dcb6…
05-12 15:45:03	Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0xdf63ff…
05-12 13:35:52	Evo Morales arrested by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17	19¢	$3	0x3ab535…
05-12 11:31:53	Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xc5803c…
05-12 11:31:35	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	9¢	$10	0x7de487…
05-11 16:51:37	Evo Morales arrested by May 31?	Yes	SELL	24	17¢	$4	0xcebe62…
05-11 07:16:58	Evo Morales arrested by May 31?	Yes	SELL	39	17¢	$7	0xc74b87…
05-10 23:04:28	Evo Morales arrested by May 31?	Yes	SELL	73	19¢	$14	0x3735dc…
05-10 14:41:43	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	SELL	109	100¢	$108	0x88d824…
05-10 11:13:00	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	109	82¢	$89	0xb50333…
05-09 22:41:10	UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Marco Tulio	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x1d478c…
05-09 21:25:24	UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)	Jose Ochoa	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0xaa18d7…
05-09 21:16:32	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Sean Brady	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x50a5ca…
05-09 21:13:46	UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)	Jose Ochoa	BUY	12	63¢	$7	0xe7bfad…
05-09 21:13:16	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Sean Brady	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x1350f1…
05-09 21:12:41	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Sean Brady	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x3d7588…
05-09 21:12:08	UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	Yaroslav Amosov	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x5db6f7…
05-09 21:11:54	UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Marco Tulio	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xbd5954…
05-09 21:11:38	UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	Pat Sabatini	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa7b5c3…