Crowded-Populist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.6%

Resolved

Trades

109

lifetime

Volume

$224

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-11 20:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 60% +$6

Other

10% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	10	$44	35	35	+0	Down	+$4	05-10 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	5	$26	29	14	+15	Up	$-8	05-10 00:07
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	4	$22	13	13	+0	Under	+$4	05-10 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	7	$12	38	12	+27	Down	+$2	05-09 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	6	$12	12	11	+1	Down	+$2	05-10 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	4	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	5	$9	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	6	$9	6	6	+0	Down	$-0	05-10 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	4	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	6	$8	8	8	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	7	$8	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	6	$8	13	13	+0	Down	$-0	05-09 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	4	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	5	$5	9	5	+3	Down	$-1	05-10 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	4	$5	6	6	+0	Down	$-1	05-09 23:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	3	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 23:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	3	$4	6	3	+3	Down	$-0	05-11 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 23:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	4	$4	5	5	+0	Up	$-0	05-09 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	$-0	05-09 23:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-09 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Down	$-1	05-09 23:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 20:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xe33086…
05-11 20:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x47e567…
05-11 20:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3f5107…
05-11 20:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x3147d7…
05-11 20:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa57633…
05-11 20:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x16ff18…
05-11 20:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xdb683f…
05-11 20:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x1deee7…
05-11 20:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0772b4…
05-11 20:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8fca34…
05-11 20:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x15a1fd…
05-11 20:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x47109f…
05-11 20:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc951af…
05-11 20:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x27d922…
05-11 20:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa02d0b…
05-11 20:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xda01df…
05-11 20:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xddea0d…
05-10 22:49:55	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x311f87…
05-10 20:20:17	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x42113d…
05-10 19:38:03	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x95029d…
05-10 19:36:20	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb4e4c7…
05-10 00:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf967dd…
05-10 00:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xf69750…
05-10 00:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x03d33f…
05-10 00:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x8adb65…
05-10 00:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x699e36…
05-10 00:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x926df1…
05-10 00:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x66fa71…
05-10 00:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x38ca46…
05-10 00:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0xf03221…
05-10 00:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0xe75213…
05-10 00:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x297b88…
05-10 00:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x1a813d…
05-10 00:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x6f699b…
05-10 00:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf281f7…
05-10 00:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x8d0f8f…
05-10 00:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0xff36e2…
05-10 00:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xeffb99…
05-10 00:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc6f77b…
05-10 00:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x212e2d…
05-10 00:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	14	64¢	$9	0x420de0…
05-10 00:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6a38e5…
05-10 00:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf1c969…
05-10 00:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x30556a…
05-10 00:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xcaab3b…
05-10 00:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd0aa0b…
05-10 00:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$5	0xca8a86…
05-10 00:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xc91eb0…
05-10 00:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x5fb159…
05-10 00:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	79¢	$7	0x4cc263…
05-10 00:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x5c7750…
05-10 00:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x451ae0…
05-10 00:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x32e1ec…
05-10 00:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9b2023…
05-09 23:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x30a692…
05-09 23:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x339fa2…
05-09 23:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x592ef7…
05-09 23:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x988c53…
05-09 23:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xcb9d2c…
05-09 23:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x8e207f…
05-09 23:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xf7ab46…
05-09 23:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xfe095d…
05-09 23:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xada69a…
05-09 23:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x3bcce3…
05-09 23:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc9c247…
05-09 23:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x7679fc…
05-09 23:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe685bd…
05-09 23:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x773358…
05-09 23:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe805fc…
05-09 23:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0xaab873…
05-09 23:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x859a1a…
05-09 23:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x9baba4…
05-09 23:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x37fbf7…
05-09 23:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x6aa40e…
05-09 23:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xea9141…
05-09 23:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8ba085…
05-09 23:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x4ef797…
05-09 23:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8fee25…
05-09 23:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd11079…
05-09 23:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x5639ab…
05-09 23:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x28feee…
05-09 23:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x55d67a…
05-09 23:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x01c6c3…
05-09 23:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6b700d…
05-09 23:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3650ed…
05-09 23:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x294c9a…
05-09 23:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x68d30c…
05-09 23:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf4a9a6…
05-09 23:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x000192…
05-09 23:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x47f32b…
05-09 23:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x371669…
05-09 23:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x00508a…
05-09 23:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9487a6…
05-09 23:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf32457…
05-09 23:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x59b0b2…
05-09 23:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2a8bac…
05-09 23:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5127db…
05-09 23:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf0ea05…
05-09 23:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xdd74d4…
05-09 23:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x988ace…