Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.9%

Resolved

Trades

809

lifetime

Volume

$7.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 03-31 15:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

41% 67% $-0

Politics

26% 33% $-0

Sports

18% — —

Crypto

14% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	11	$274	143	143	+0	open	—	03-06 15:03
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	11	$226	119	119	+0	open	—	02-15 01:12
mwoh usa ger 2026 02 15	9	$141	78	78	+0	open	—	02-15 18:22
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	14	$112	66	49	+17	open	—	03-31 15:09
will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	10	$111	57	57	+0	open	—	02-28 01:57
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	11	$105	90	58	+32	open	—	02-28 02:13
trump out as president by march 31	6	$105	53	53	+0	open	—	03-31 15:10
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	7	$102	57	57	+0	open	—	02-28 08:33
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$99	52	52	+0	open	—	02-23 08:19
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	6	$98	62	62	+0	open	—	03-21 23:23
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	8	$93	48	48	+0	open	—	02-23 00:06
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$91	46	46	+0	open	—	02-15 13:43
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 10	7	$89	45	45	+0	open	—	03-08 22:12
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$87	45	45	+0	open	—	02-15 09:01
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	15	$86	50	49	+1	open	—	02-28 04:40
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	6	$77	39	39	+0	open	—	03-27 12:01
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$77	39	39	+0	open	—	02-23 12:55
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	4	$73	38	38	+0	open	—	03-04 16:06
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 300 319	2	$73	42	42	+0	open	—	03-09 23:19
will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	7	$71	38	38	+0	open	—	03-21 01:28
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 280 299	2	$69	35	35	+0	open	—	03-09 16:04
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	2	$69	35	35	+0	open	—	02-15 04:49
lol gen dk 2026 02 14	5	$69	38	38	+0	open	—	02-14 10:06
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	3	$63	32	32	+0	open	—	02-18 00:42
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 280 299	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	03-12 00:43
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	9	$61	38	37	+1	open	—	02-28 05:31
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	13	$60	45	40	+5	open	—	02-28 03:53
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	8	$59	41	28	+12	open	—	03-04 18:20
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$53	28	28	+0	open	—	03-16 07:49
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$53	28	28	+0	open	—	02-14 09:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-31 15:10:11	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6754a0…
03-31 15:10:05	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x933b07…
03-31 15:09:53	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x917c4e…
03-31 15:09:43	Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xad9347…
03-31 15:09:37	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb0f8ff…
03-31 15:09:33	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xe21647…
03-27 20:30:07	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0xb240c4…
03-27 12:01:53	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x03cd02…
03-27 11:46:43	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xcc451d…
03-27 10:12:05	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x408d5b…
03-27 09:42:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xd59794…
03-27 09:42:09	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xac4973…
03-27 09:41:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xd56220…
03-26 23:42:51	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0xef492a…
03-26 16:41:25	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0xd27e2a…
03-26 16:12:17	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x862daa…
03-26 16:12:07	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb5f285…
03-26 15:19:37	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x100779…
03-26 15:00:47	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xa8ff98…
03-26 14:40:19	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x7bdb60…
03-26 13:58:21	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x14356e…
03-26 10:17:49	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x75d993…
03-26 09:58:57	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x5cf18c…
03-26 08:15:41	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xfba9fe…
03-26 00:54:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0xcadc9a…
03-25 05:32:03	Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xf56ca1…
03-25 04:08:29	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x9c09a2…
03-25 03:49:53	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xa1a2ab…
03-25 03:35:41	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x6a104d…
03-25 03:31:11	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x6e1ff5…
03-25 01:54:05	Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x1be35a…
03-24 09:02:09	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xee1087…
03-24 06:35:41	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x415e7a…
03-24 06:25:33	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x128d3c…
03-24 05:39:39	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x4daa80…
03-24 05:36:37	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x96ac16…
03-24 05:00:31	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1e2e1b…
03-24 04:42:03	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xa8c7b1…
03-23 23:13:37	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x50b8bc…
03-23 23:01:31	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x7ce262…
03-23 23:00:51	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x9356d4…
03-23 15:57:55	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	18	68¢	$12	0xb484ea…
03-23 15:49:53	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	18	70¢	$12	0xf533cf…
03-22 08:04:03	will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 734	No	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xf50479…
03-22 08:03:45	will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 734	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x864223…
03-22 07:02:21	will mrbeasts next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1 755	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x019c5a…
03-22 06:49:45	will mrbeasts next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1 755	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3c40fd…
03-21 23:33:09	will manuel saavedra win the 2026 santa cruz de la sierra mayoral election	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x32bf13…
03-21 23:23:11	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x9ec2f2…
03-21 23:00:19	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x814789…
03-21 12:42:53	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x6e8723…
03-21 10:34:29	Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x046b3b…
03-21 08:56:17	Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x02df0f…
03-21 08:54:39	will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x7faff5…
03-21 08:40:17	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xdee61b…
03-21 08:35:27	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8293ba…
03-21 08:34:31	will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	Yes	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xde2c8a…
03-21 05:53:29	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xc464b6…
03-21 04:53:19	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xcd3a28…
03-21 04:12:57	will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0xf98ad5…
03-21 03:53:59	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfc8acd…
03-21 03:12:23	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1855ae…
03-21 02:31:43	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xe7093a…
03-21 02:30:37	will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6b4d85…
03-21 01:50:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2afffb…
03-21 01:49:17	will miguel roca win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0x56b94f…
03-21 01:28:21	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xa5327d…
03-21 01:28:17	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x3a708c…
03-21 01:27:47	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0xea877d…
03-21 00:02:49	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x066c95…
03-20 23:42:33	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4c6b62…
03-20 23:01:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x16f828…
03-20 16:43:17	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xfb61d1…
03-20 16:11:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4bbae4…
03-20 16:10:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x267610…
03-20 15:52:01	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x388245…
03-20 15:50:33	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc4dd28…
03-20 15:44:31	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$7	0xfb007f…
03-20 15:41:55	will virginia win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x41329e…
03-20 15:30:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb3969e…
03-20 15:10:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x21a2dc…
03-20 14:49:01	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x4c73b8…
03-20 14:34:15	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xb35e7a…
03-20 14:29:19	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x720d38…
03-20 14:12:55	will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x7cff6c…
03-20 14:03:03	will gonzaga win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x0dadd7…
03-20 13:27:17	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x6a8cf7…
03-20 11:05:39	will fidesz kdnp win 115 129 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x7c0faf…
03-20 11:05:39	will fidesz kdnp win 115 129 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x263fa9…
03-20 10:41:59	will fidesz kdnp win 115 129 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x2e88be…
03-20 09:11:57	will virginia win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8c0c1b…
03-20 08:28:41	will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6b7793…
03-20 08:10:41	will gonzaga win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x338920…
03-20 07:06:59	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x810e4a…
03-20 06:58:53	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x3a0616…
03-20 06:57:35	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xfce121…
03-20 05:51:45	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x7b2d87…
03-20 05:32:53	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0xfaea24…
03-20 05:26:11	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xa1b633…
03-20 05:02:47	will fidesz kdnp win 115 129 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xdd42da…