Outrageous-Incident — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-06 02:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 100% +$0

Other

14% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 1700 on march 9	1	$84	84	+84	open	—	03-09 09:53
bitcoin above 86k on january 19	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	01-19 07:51
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	06-01 09:01
bitcoin above 88k on january 6	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	01-06 03:34
bitcoin above 86k on february 1	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	02-01 02:34
bitcoin above 68k on june 6 2026	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	06-06 02:47
ethereum above 2200 on february 13	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	02-13 08:08
bitcoin above 72k on april 2	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	04-02 06:36
bitcoin above 72k on february 28	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	02-28 02:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	05-20 02:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	05-30 02:40
bitcoin above 76k on march 24	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	03-24 10:45
ethereum above 2400 on january 28	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	01-27 08:09
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 19	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	03-19 03:28
bitcoin above 78k on march 16	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	03-15 02:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 12?	1	$81	81	+81	No	+$0	05-10 10:54
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 440 459	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	02-05 01:33
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	05-13 02:53
bitcoin above 84k on january 23	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	01-23 03:54
bitcoin above 80k on april 21	1	$79	79	+79	open	—	04-21 07:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 9?	1	$79	79	+79	Yes	+$0	05-07 02:33
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$79	79	+79	open	—	04-26 02:53
bitcoin above 80k on april 16	1	$79	79	+79	open	—	04-16 03:12
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 240plus	1	$79	79	+79	open	—	04-11 07:59
bitcoin above 90k on january 15	1	$78	78	+78	open	—	01-15 03:57
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 360 379	1	$77	77	+77	open	—	04-06 11:21
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	1	$77	77	+77	open	—	03-29 02:33
bitcoin above 76k on march 4	1	$65	65	+65	open	—	03-04 08:55
ethereum above 1500 on march 5	1	$19	19	+19	open	—	03-04 08:55
Iran leadership change by March 13?	1	$4	1,800	+1,800	open	—	03-15 02:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 02:47:13	bitcoin above 68k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x7286eb…
06-01 09:01:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xaadf34…
05-30 02:40:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xed3d64…
05-20 02:54:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x23dcfc…
05-13 02:53:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xf06e7e…
05-10 10:54:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xc2c563…
05-07 02:33:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xd908cd…
04-30 02:17:26	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2f2b79…
04-26 02:53:04	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xabd70f…
04-21 07:13:14	bitcoin above 80k on april 21	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x0a313e…
04-16 03:12:58	bitcoin above 80k on april 16	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x18c465…
04-11 07:59:55	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 240plus	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x07967e…
04-06 11:21:11	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 360 379	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x5f3381…
04-06 11:20:57	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb04f28…
04-06 11:20:25	will dualshot recorder be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 7	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8f5775…
04-06 11:20:07	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5b2c7a…
04-02 06:36:47	bitcoin above 72k on april 2	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xdd756d…
03-29 02:33:16	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x95b655…
03-29 02:33:06	ethereum above 1700 on march 29	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1ad6a5…
03-29 02:32:54	will radarscope be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9fb62d…
03-29 02:32:44	will googl reach 420 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf04add…
03-24 10:45:17	bitcoin above 76k on march 24	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x6bf745…
03-19 03:28:45	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 19	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xa5e0a8…
03-15 02:14:11	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xfb80ea…
03-15 02:13:55	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	1,800	0¢	$4	0x5cae60…
03-09 09:53:25	ethereum above 1700 on march 9	Yes	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xc3fca8…
03-04 08:55:13	ethereum above 1500 on march 5	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3a4730…
03-04 08:55:03	bitcoin above 76k on march 4	No	BUY	65	99¢	$65	0x2e7d47…
02-28 02:32:13	bitcoin above 72k on february 28	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xbdd59e…
02-13 08:08:59	ethereum above 2200 on february 13	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xdadc3f…
02-05 01:33:47	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 440 459	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x9c44d2…
02-05 01:33:35	will upscrolled be 1 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc3c9b7…
02-05 01:33:13	will oracle be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3afdd9…
02-05 01:33:03	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe0415f…
02-01 02:34:50	bitcoin above 86k on february 1	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x5b1c03…
01-27 08:09:49	ethereum above 2400 on january 28	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x4957f6…
01-23 03:54:28	bitcoin above 84k on january 23	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x92fb31…
01-23 03:54:14	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xff8556…
01-23 03:53:52	will the us next strike iran on january 22 2026 et 837	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbf8331…
01-19 07:51:16	bitcoin above 86k on january 19	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xd97baf…
01-15 03:57:36	bitcoin above 90k on january 15	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x6cf931…
01-15 03:57:24	elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 0 39	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x82cc3e…
01-15 03:56:56	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8fb3ac…
01-15 03:55:54	elon musk of tweets january 2026 1160 1199	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd14a6e…
01-15 03:55:42	will moonshot have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x85eccf…
01-06 03:34:31	bitcoin above 88k on january 6	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xe4f390…