Realized P&L
-$70
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
13.0%
Resolved
9
Trades
200
lifetime
Volume
$675
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$71
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-13
last 06-10 18:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
49%
Other
34% 17% $-40
Sports
10% 0% $-30
Tech
5%
Crypto
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President by June 30? No +18 $18 99¢ $18 +$0 06-04 05:20
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +9 $8 92¢ $8 $-0 06-11 03:20
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No -7 $-7 99¢ $-7 $-0 06-04 03:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +6 $5 90¢ $6 +$1 06-11 02:29
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? No +4 $4 100¢ $4 +$0 06-03 23:13
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30? No +4 $4 99¢ $4 +$0 06-01 12:53
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30? No +4 $4 99¢ $4 +$0 06-01 15:54
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? No +4 $4 99¢ $4 +$0 06-02 21:22
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30? No +4 $4 100¢ $4 +$0 06-10 18:32
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +4 $4 93¢ $4 $-0 06-04 03:45
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No -4 $-4 99¢ $-4 $-0 06-04 01:10
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 $-0 06-11 02:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -2 $-2 99¢ $-2 $-0 06-04 00:40