Discrete-Satisfaction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$131

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$455

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-24

last 06-02 20:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 50% -$100

Politics

13% 50% -$10

Other

4% 0% -$20

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-02).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	No		+28	$10	22¢	$6	-$4	05-24 17:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$35	44	0	+44	Up	-$35	05-24 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	6	$33	36	0	+36	Up	+$3	05-24 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	3	$30	64	0	+64	Up	-$30	05-25 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	3	$30	38	0	+38	Down	+$8	05-25 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	3	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	05-25 18:34
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	2	$22	45	45	+0	No	+$2	05-24 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	4	$22	34	0	+34	Down	+$12	05-24 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	6	$19	22	0	+22	Up	+$3	05-24 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	7	$16	18	0	+18	Up	+$2	05-24 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$15	514	0	+514	Up	-$15	05-24 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$15	21	0	+21	Down	-$15	05-25 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	3	$12	15	0	+15	Up	+$3	05-24 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	3	$12	14	0	+14	Down	+$2	05-25 18:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24?	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$10	05-24 18:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	1	$10	34	0	+34	Yes	-$10	05-24 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	-$10	05-25 19:09
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	1	$10	20	0	+20	Yes	-$10	05-24 18:12
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	1	$10	28	0	+28	open	—	05-24 17:38
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 24, 2026?	1	$10	507	0	+507	Yes	-$10	05-24 17:47
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	1	$10	20	0	+20	cancelled	$0	05-24 17:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$10	385	0	+385	Yes	-$10	05-24 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$10	13	0	+13	Down	+$3	05-24 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$10	16	0	+16	Down	-$10	05-25 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	05-24 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-24 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$8	11	0	+11	Down	+$3	05-25 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Down	-$5	05-24 21:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	1	$5	12	0	+12	No	+$8	05-24 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	-$5	05-30 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	-$5	05-24 23:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 20:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x2f7868…
06-02 20:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8ee967…
05-30 18:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2e64b0…
05-25 19:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x4868ac…
05-25 18:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x960461…
05-25 18:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa79034…
05-25 18:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xec6181…
05-25 18:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xefb391…
05-25 18:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xffdbf4…
05-25 18:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfc6bbe…
05-25 18:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x6f8190…
05-25 18:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xdd5952…
05-25 18:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x7ba858…
05-25 18:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x55ae16…
05-25 18:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd93e31…
05-25 18:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9e5c89…
05-25 18:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x45a727…
05-25 18:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xe4d2db…
05-25 18:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x9c064c…
05-25 18:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x0308d9…
05-25 18:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x62c20d…
05-25 18:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd46fe8…
05-25 18:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xd3358a…
05-25 18:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xa7729e…
05-25 18:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa4164e…
05-24 23:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x71fa14…
05-24 22:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3add54…
05-24 22:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xed9d55…
05-24 22:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xcd78c4…
05-24 22:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1f554b…
05-24 22:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x4332e5…
05-24 22:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xe9c09d…
05-24 22:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xc0a23c…
05-24 22:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x768e22…
05-24 22:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xfec48f…
05-24 22:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfb2f0d…
05-24 22:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x434269…
05-24 22:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1e43e6…
05-24 22:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x3fc7f8…
05-24 22:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x54ae7f…
05-24 22:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x67de39…
05-24 22:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x1f2923…
05-24 22:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x18455e…
05-24 22:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xad99a1…
05-24 22:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x8c18bf…
05-24 22:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x30e2a1…
05-24 22:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf1c429…
05-24 22:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5c5713…
05-24 22:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x34fb89…
05-24 22:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x45c0b4…
05-24 22:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x2fc90a…
05-24 22:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x2d268b…
05-24 22:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x44730b…
05-24 22:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb5e642…
05-24 22:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x955af5…
05-24 22:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xb49c1e…
05-24 22:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xdd7a09…
05-24 22:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x8e94e4…
05-24 22:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe7eb4e…
05-24 22:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x0099e3…
05-24 22:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xbbaac0…
05-24 22:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x38a62d…
05-24 22:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8c0458…
05-24 22:00:41	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	27¢	$12	0xa14bc4…
05-24 21:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6ff6b8…
05-24 21:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x0c7089…
05-24 21:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1fee9a…
05-24 21:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0ab5da…
05-24 21:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6393eb…
05-24 21:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x42aa1d…
05-24 21:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x745cc7…
05-24 21:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf80a05…
05-24 21:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf95690…
05-24 21:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1f4b5b…
05-24 21:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x9c820e…
05-24 21:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x726ab4…
05-24 20:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x122eb2…
05-24 20:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x2bb8b3…
05-24 18:59:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x38fbea…
05-24 18:33:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x754a84…
05-24 18:19:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x8f1107…
05-24 18:12:16	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xccd111…
05-24 18:05:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	385	3¢	$10	0xa081e5…
05-24 17:47:10	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 24, 2026?	No	BUY	507	2¢	$10	0x614767…
05-24 17:41:46	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2d25bb…
05-24 17:38:19	Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x3ca08a…
05-24 17:31:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x3b0fc0…