Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.15K

Unrealized P&L

-$145

Hit rate

2.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$115

Open exposure

$224

9 positions

First seen

2026-06-05

last 10-26 20:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

57% 20% -$724

Other

39% 25% -$229

Tech

4% 0% -$200

Sports

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	Yes	+625	$50	8¢	$53	+$3	10-14 15:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	+143	$53	34¢	$49	-$4	10-26 19:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+500	$70	10¢	$48	-$22	10-26 19:49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	+714	$140	4¢	$29	-$111	06-10 19:15
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	+54	$10	28¢	$15	+$5	10-26 14:11
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	+13	$10	93¢	$12	+$2	10-26 14:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,322	$25	1¢	$11	-$14	10-21 16:54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	+167	$10	4¢	$6	-$4	10-26 19:47
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+19	$1	5¢	$1	$0	06-07 02:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$978	4,724	4,724	+0	No	-$222	07-03 15:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	3	$660	2,714	2,000	+714	open	—	06-10 19:15
iran closes its airspace by june 15	2	$570	9,073	0	+9,073	Yes	-$570	06-07 22:39
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$567	3,333	3,333	+0	open	—	06-07 21:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?	2	$560	566	566	+0	open	—	10-22 14:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$379	1,115	1,115	+0	open	—	06-14 13:07
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	3	$247	429	286	+143	open	—	10-26 19:48
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	1	$200	3,186	0	+3,186	Yes	-$200	06-09 05:51
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$197	1,191	1,191	+0	No	-$3	06-14 13:07
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	2	$185	596	596	+0	open	—	06-14 13:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	2	$176	588	588	+0	open	—	10-26 19:48
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	2	$137	476	476	+0	No	-$63	06-14 13:07
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	2	$120	912	0	+912	Yes	-$120	10-23 10:46
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$94	201	201	+0	No	-$6	10-26 09:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$88	135	135	+0	open	—	10-15 06:57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$70	500	0	+500	open	—	10-26 19:49
kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	1	$50	625	0	+625	open	—	10-14 15:48
Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	1	$25	57	0	+57	Yes	+$32	10-16 22:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	1	$25	1,322	0	+1,322	open	—	10-21 16:54
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	1	$25	37	0	+37	Como 1907	+$12	10-21 17:59
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$13	154	0	+154	No	-$13	10-26 17:09
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	06-07 00:47
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	1	$10	54	0	+54	open	—	10-26 14:11
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	10-26 20:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	1	$10	167	0	+167	open	—	10-26 19:47
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	10-26 14:12
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$1	19	0	+19	open	—	06-07 02:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 20:09:56	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xb01f73…
10-26 19:49:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0x45b729…
10-26 19:48:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x97887c…
10-26 19:48:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	588	13¢	$76	0x4cf522…
10-26 19:47:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0xf0ee6e…
10-26 19:47:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	286	34¢	$97	0xe6af34…
10-26 19:47:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x41c994…
10-26 19:45:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xf12f88…
10-26 17:09:50	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	154	8¢	$13	0x76b997…
10-26 14:12:38	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x70ba9e…
10-26 14:11:50	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0x6b71a0…
10-26 09:13:42	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	201	22¢	$44	0x58cb5b…
10-24 13:33:47	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	201	25¢	$50	0xc1d414…
10-23 10:46:30	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	703	3¢	$20	0xf9bff2…
10-22 15:57:54	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	209	48¢	$100	0xd4c0f4…
10-22 14:24:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	566	49¢	$277	0x3aebb5…
10-22 10:38:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	566	50¢	$283	0x17834f…
10-21 17:59:08	Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	Como 1907	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x03759e…
10-21 16:54:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0xf8fc71…
10-21 16:54:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,322	2¢	$25	0x6428fa…
10-16 22:41:35	Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x8622d4…
10-15 06:57:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	135	28¢	$38	0x1e36aa…
10-14 15:48:46	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	Yes	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0x6d253e…
10-14 15:47:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x5939f2…
07-03 15:39:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4,724	8¢	$378	0x395fc8…
07-02 12:46:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,724	13¢	$600	0x231fe0…
06-14 13:07:30	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,191	8¢	$97	0x26e898…
06-14 13:07:24	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	SELL	596	15¢	$89	0x0f9142…
06-14 13:07:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	526	15¢	$79	0x09a495…
06-14 13:07:10	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	476	8¢	$37	0xfb7228…
06-12 11:56:57	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,191	8¢	$100	0x70d265…
06-10 21:04:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0xb0b6e7…
06-10 19:15:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0xec7b79…
06-09 19:56:54	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x5c6ddf…
06-09 05:51:10	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,186	6¢	$200	0xd2dcca…
06-08 18:27:57	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	596	16¢	$95	0x647892…
06-08 05:29:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	588	17¢	$100	0xd00d16…
06-07 22:39:22	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	3,373	8¢	$270	0x41cc1b…
06-07 21:33:42	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	5,701	5¢	$300	0x4193d7…
06-07 21:08:31	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,333	8¢	$267	0x369a7c…
06-07 14:02:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,000	13¢	$260	0x0718f9…
06-07 02:26:49	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xefc9fd…
06-07 00:48:40	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,333	9¢	$300	0x4729b9…
06-07 00:48:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,000	15¢	$300	0xbafbe4…
06-07 00:47:10	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	10	78¢	$7	0xf9af77…
06-05 22:41:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0x90cb6d…
06-05 13:52:21	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8fa320…