Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$2.01K

Unrealized P&L

+$925

Hit rate

89.0%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

52 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$20.0K

$94.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.83K

Open exposure

$40.9K

3 positions

First seen

2026-09-15

last 10-28 14:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

54% — —

Other

46% 75% -$1,847

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	+21,009	$19,959	97¢	$20.5K	+$504	09-15 16:05
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+10,436	$9,999	98¢	$10.3K	+$254	10-13 09:07
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	+11,107	$9,996	92¢	$10.2K	+$167	09-30 12:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	35	$28.4K	29,879	0	+29,879	No	+$1,482	10-28 14:31
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	1	$20.0K	21,009	0	+21,009	open	—	09-15 16:05
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	8	$11.2K	6,107	6,107	+0	open	—	10-23 20:03
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$10.8K	7,404	5,923	+1,481	No	+$115	10-26 17:59
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$10.0K	10,436	0	+10,436	open	—	10-13 09:07
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	1	$10.0K	11,107	0	+11,107	open	—	09-30 12:16
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	1	$3.5K	4,010	0	+4,010	Yes	-$3,495	10-27 22:09
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$1.2K	1,216	0	+1,216	No	+$51	10-21 17:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 14:31:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x6a8751…
10-28 14:30:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	320	95¢	$305	0x7140f9…
10-28 14:30:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	278	95¢	$265	0x8a8542…
10-28 14:30:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xba28eb…
10-28 14:29:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	291	95¢	$277	0x44e759…
10-28 14:29:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	68	95¢	$65	0x846b96…
10-28 14:29:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0xe718e4…
10-28 14:29:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	635	96¢	$607	0xb24fc8…
10-28 14:28:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$287	0x17704f…
10-28 14:28:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0x8f8c39…
10-28 14:28:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0xe44356…
10-28 14:28:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	228	96¢	$218	0x34b813…
10-28 14:27:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0x61ae8b…
10-28 14:26:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,600	96¢	$1,529	0xb1a8c8…
10-28 14:25:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	213	95¢	$203	0x042a49…
10-28 14:24:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8,200	95¢	$7,823	0x621a3a…
10-28 14:23:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	698	96¢	$667	0xdb964f…
10-28 14:23:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0x024f54…
10-28 14:23:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,300	96¢	$1,242	0x4b16d0…
10-28 14:23:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,999	95¢	$1,907	0x1f30ad…
10-28 14:23:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	260	96¢	$248	0x6a4846…
10-28 14:22:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	188	95¢	$180	0xd12590…
10-28 14:22:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	109	95¢	$104	0xeeee7b…
10-28 14:21:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x8e0f68…
10-28 14:20:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,146	96¢	$1,095	0xf74a58…
10-28 14:18:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0x23ab8e…
10-28 14:18:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0xbe51b7…
10-28 14:18:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0x71f845…
10-28 14:17:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0x58c50b…
10-28 14:16:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0xc680c5…
10-28 14:16:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0x226fba…
10-28 14:16:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0xfdc63d…
10-28 14:15:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	533	96¢	$509	0x7ef536…
10-27 22:09:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4,010	87¢	$3,495	0xbd31d0…
10-27 12:11:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8,053	94¢	$7,567	0x3a56c8…
10-26 17:59:08	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	5,923	79¢	$4,699	0x547e8e…
10-26 13:34:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	896	95¢	$851	0xf0251c…
10-26 12:33:27	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	7,404	82¢	$6,065	0x1dc139…
10-23 20:03:29	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6,107	96¢	$5,863	0x708e0c…
10-21 17:52:08	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	417	96¢	$400	0x576fb5…
10-20 14:27:48	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,246	89¢	$1,999	0x32a191…
10-20 14:27:26	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,154	87¢	$1,000	0x1fae34…
10-20 14:26:36	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	583	86¢	$500	0x65ef53…
10-20 09:21:41	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	165	95¢	$157	0x414d88…
10-19 08:11:08	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	633	96¢	$608	0x72684f…
10-13 09:07:59	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,436	96¢	$9,999	0x08e0f5…
10-10 14:00:55	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x6cba03…
09-30 12:16:30	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	11,107	90¢	$9,996	0xb35998…
09-29 07:54:50	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	580	86¢	$499	0x1b7b3a…
09-25 08:46:26	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	713	84¢	$599	0xf07225…
09-20 20:37:08	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	822	85¢	$699	0xbbc7ac…
09-15 16:05:40	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21,009	95¢	$19,959	0x0cf4f7…